Saturday 7 September horse racing tips – Haggas’ 5/2 chance can get back on the winning trail at Ascot
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Saturday’s scheduled UK and Irish racemeetings.
A busy Saturday sees eight UK and Irish horse racing fixtures taking place, and the day’s action on the flat comes from Ascot where there is competitive handicap action; while Haydock’s meeting on Saturday afternoon features Group One action with the Sprint Cup Stakes, while the Group Three Unibet Mile provides solid support to the main event of the day.
Thirsk and Navan in Ireland are both in action on turf on Saturday, while Kempton race on the all-weather are also racing on the level on Saturday.
There is also jumps racing from Stratford on the afternoon as well as from Wexford.in Ireland. Completing Saturday’s fixture list is an evening all-weather card at Wolverhampton.
Ascot (flat) – 1.35 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Navan (flat) – 1.45 – 5.15pm (7 races)
Haydock (flat) – 1.50 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Thirsk (flat) – 1.55 – 5.55pm (8 races)
Wexford (jumps) – 2.00 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 2.05 – 5.35pm (7 races)
Stratford (jumps) – 2.15 – 5.40pm (7 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
(2.10) POCKET SQUARE (2/1,Bet365) shaped well on her debut at Yarmouth last month, eventually finishing third although beaten almost two lengths behind Festive Star.
Roger Charlton’s Night Of Thunder filly may just have needed that first experience, but she ought to know more now ahead of her second career start and open to improvement she can go close here at the second attempt.
There is a suspicion that that debut effort came in a decent race, and she could prove herself to be a smart sort in time so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her progress on the back of that run to post a big effort.
(3.20) MUBTASIMAH (5/2, Bet365) had won all three starts this term at York, Haydock and Newmarket prior to seeing her winning streak ended at York last month. However, William Haggas’ charge can bounce back here in a more suitable contest.
The Dark Angel filly struck her last win when beating the reopposing Desirous at Flat HQ, value for her one length victory; she was subsequently only beaten two lengths into fifth latest in a valuable handicap on the Knavesmire behind Excellent Times.
A return to one mile will surely suit and with the likelihood of further improvement still to come she can resume winning ways here.
(3.55) Faylaq was denied a hat-trick latest, and a further hike of the weights demands more from him; while Cirque Royal has to prove as effective on turf. Both are respected, but BAASEM (5/1, Paddy Power) could be the answer for Owen Burrows, and the hat-trick seeking New Approach gelding can go close.
A stiffer test has seen him improve on earlier efforts, running out an impressive winner over this trip at Lingfield in July and then following up by a wide margin at Doncaster in August where he routed Withoutdestination and others by some 14 lengths.
The bare form is questionable, but he’s clearly a progressive sort who could still have more to offer and he is 2-2 over this trip where he is unexposed. The handicapper hasn’t missed him with a 12lbs rise in the weights for that facile success last time out which facilitates a step up in class as a result.
However, he could have considerable improvement to come over this trip and while on form he’ll need a shade more he could prove equal to the task.
1.35 – Cherokee Trail
2.10 – Pocket Square
2.45 – Spanish City
3.20 – Mubtasimah
3.55 – Baasem
4.30 – Open Wide
5.05 – Texting
(2.20) TIDE OF TIME (7/1, William Hill) has been in decent heart of race, winning at Down Royal back in June and then making the frame on both subsequent outings at the Curragh and Tipperary respectively.
Ed Lynam’s charge had been out of sorts prior to hitting his purple patch, but he possibly needed his first couple of outings following a break and the Choisir gelding could get back to winning ways.
A dual-winner at this venue last October, a return to this venue could spark his return to the winners’ enclosure, and while the handicapper has cut him no slack he takes on arguably less strong opposition than last time so every chance he can strike again back at this venue.
(4.40) It has been a round dozen appearances since DANEHILL QUEST (5/1, Ladbrokes) last got his head in front, but Sheila Lavery’s charge could be worth chancing to end his losing streak and get back on the scoresheet.
His last win came at Kilbeggan back in August last year, but he has proven a largely consistent sort this term, finishing runner-up in four of his last five outings which include at Killarney last month where the Camacho gelding was beaten only a short-head behind Marlborough Sounds.
Although the handicapper has pushed him up 4lbs for that last run, he has the services of a 7lbs claimer for this outing which leaves him weighted to be competitive in this contest and he can make his presence felt.
1.45 – Mutiny
2.20 – Tide Of Time
2.55 – Aspen Belle
3.30 – For The Trees
4.05 – Attack At Dawn
4.40 – Danehill Quest
5.15 – Summer’s Dream
5.50 – Bandiuc Eile
(2.25) HERE COMES WHEN (9/1, William Hill) could be worth chancing to bounce back to form, and Andrew Balding’s Group One winner remains capable of very smart form at his best.
The 2017 Sussex Stakes winner wasn’t seen to best effect last term on better ground until winning the corresponding race on heavy ground with a defeat of Circus Couture; and his subsequent outing in France is forgiven.
He ran well on his reappearance at Sandown back in May in the Group Three Brigadier Gerard Stakes, possibly stretched by the longer trip although the fast ground wouldn’t have played to the strengths of the Danehill Dancer gelding who will relish the more testing conditions here.
He concedes a few years to these rivals which may make him vulnerable as a result to younger potential improvers; but he has concrete form in the book in the conditions and if he turns out here somewhere near his best then he could go close.
(3.00) PYLEDRIVER (14/1, Paddy Power, each-way) made a good impression when winning on debut at Salisbury back in July, beating Great Ambassador, and William Muir’s charge showed the benefit of that experience and success to run better than the bare result might suggest when finishing fourth of five runners in a Listed race at Newbury latest.
The Harbour Watch colt was beaten around three lengths that day, but he could have more to offer and remains unexposed after just two starts. That run also showed he can handle softer ground, and in an open race he could be worth chancing at big odds to get back on the scoresheet here.
1.50 – Moon King
2.25 – Here Comes When
3.00 – Pyledriver
3.35 – Alright Sunshine
4.10 – Hello Youmzain
4.45 – Broken Spear
5.20 – Barossa Red
(2.30) COLD LIGHT OF DAY (12/1, Paddy Power) didn’t progress as hoped when finishing sixth here last month, but the softer ground may not have suited and Michael Dods’ charge is given another chance.
The Sea The Moon filly had shown ability on her first outing, finishing fifth at Redcar; but she struggled to match that level next time although the better ground here and a step up in trip could both yield improvement.
She remains open to progress despite that lesser run last time out, and not one to write off just yet she is perhaps worth chancing to get off the mark here.
(3.05) PLYMOUTH ROCK (11/4, Bet365) was let down by inexperience on debut where he was well-fancied to go close having been sent off second favourite; but John Quinn’s charge stepped up on that performance to find only one too good at Nottingham on his next start.
The Starspangledbanner colt proved no match for the winner, trailing home some six lengths adrift; but he in turn was clear of the rest and with that form having since been boosted he could prove the one to beat in this contest with the potential to improve further.
Evidently well-regarded given he holds a Group One entry for later in the campaign, and he ought to be suited by this step up in trip. Likely to improve further on the back of his two runs to date, he could prove tough to beat here.
1.55 – Walkonby
2.30 – Cold Light Of Day
3.05 – Plymouth Rock
3.40 – East Street Revue
4.15 – Boston George
4.50 – Astrologer
5.25 – Rowland Ward
5.55 – Triggered
(3.10) WHOYAKIDDING (6/1, Ladbrokes) won over hurdles here last September, and while his chase form this term has been patchy there was nothing wrong with his recent win at Tramore last month where the Beat All gelding beat the reopposing Shes Flat Tothemat by just over one length.
He won easier than the bare margin of victory might suggest, and reverting to hurdles from a lower mark then he might be able to follow up that last win if able to produce a similar level of form.
Garrett Ahern’s charge ought to remain competitive here and it wouldn’t be a big shock to see him going close back over the smaller obstacles.
(4.20) WESTLAND ROW (4/1, Bet365) has been in good form, reeling off a hat-trick of wins and the Oscar gelding is forgiven his latest third-place finish at Killarney which came in a stronger race than this, and Gordon Elliott’s charge didn’t help his cause by making a bad blunder at the third last fence.
He had posted wins previously over both hurdles and fences at Kilbeggan, and he struck back over fences at Tramore prior to that last Killarney effort; he turns out here from the same mark, and if over those recent exertions then he could bounce back in a less taxing affair.
He bumped into two good sorts from the Willie Mullins camp that day, and if running up to that level then he could prove tough to beat here.
2.00 – Frankincense
2.35 – Mister Butler
3.10 – Whoyakodding
3.45 – Harrys Gift
4.20 – Westland Row
4.55 – Carrigready
5.30 – Glacial Shadow
Gordon Elliott can get amongst the winners at Wexford on Saturday
(2.40) WRITTEN BROADCAST (9/2, Ladbrokes) made the frame in each of his first two starts prior to a lesser effort at Goodwood in July where he may not have acted on the track; Richard Hannon’s charge quickly bounced back however with a better effort at Windsor, beaten into third behind Winning Streak.
The Gutaifan colt has shown enough in those starts to suggest he can be competitive here, and the step up in trip on his handicap debut where he features from a potentially lenient mark may well see him get off the mark now.
The runner-up from that last outing has won since, and with the potential to improve further he gets the vote here to open his account.
(3.15) It could be worth giving another chance to KING’S SLIPPER (9/1, William Hill) who boasts a decent record at this track, and the Leroidesanimaux gelding can get back on the scoresheet.
Clive Cox’s charge looked progressive last term, winning twice – including once here – and making the frame on three other occasions, which included on his final outing of the campaign when denied only by a neck over course and distance behind Glassy Waters.
Gelded over the winter, he made a winning return to action over course and distance back in April, and his subsequent disappointment at Thirsk is readily excused. Given a subsequent break, he returned with a creditable fifth of nine runners behind Power Of Darkness at Salisbury despite missing the break and then being badly squeezed up and losing all chance.
He was only beaten around two lengths however, and eased 1lb in the weights he could bounce back returned to this venue.
2.05 – Royal Line
2.40 – Written Broadcast
3.15 – King’s Slipper
3.50 – Dubai Souq
4.25 – Huraiz
5.00 – Ritchie Valens
5.35 – Envisaging
(2.50) POTTERMAN (Evens, William Hill) is 3-4 this term, latterly beating the reopposing Canton Prince at Worcester last month by three lengths.
Alan King’s charge had also won over hurdles at Warwick before getting off the mark at the first attempt over fences at Worcester where he was a ten lengths’ winner; and he bounced back from finishing third at Ffos Las with that last win where he struck a shade cosily.
He now has to give that same rival 6lbs, but he could well confirm the form despite the revised weights given he remains unexposed and looks a progressive sort who could have more still to offer.
(5.10) BAGAN (3/1, William Hill) was an early casualty on his first try over fences at Bangor last month, unseating his rider at the fourth fence; but the Sulamani gelding made no mistake next time when turned out just three days later to win over course and distance, beating Cesar Du Gouet by seven lengths.
He did the job readily and there is a feeling he has more in the locker over the larger obstacles so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him defy a 7lbs rise in the weights here with a repeat of that win in a fairly ordinary contest.
2.15 – Pacify
2.50 – Potterman
3.25 – Best Not Argue
4.00 – Fingerontheswitch
4.35 – Beach Break
5.10 – Bagan
5.40 – Eva’s Diva
(6.30) COOL SPHERE (15/8, Bet365) turns out quickly just two days on from a near miss on the turf at Lingfield, but Robert Cowell’s charge could get back on the scoresheet here.
The Orb colt was a winner on the polytrack at the same venue in August, after which he found only one too good at Chelmsford; and now making the switch to tapeta for the first time he could be worth giving another chance.
He had been thought worthy of a crack at the Molecomb Stakes, and while he cut little ice in that Group Three contest, he has been in better form in recent runs since his sights were eased. Beaten just over one length behind Poets Dance latest, he turns out from the same mark but has the services of Cieran Fallon whose 5lbs claim is noteworthy, and every chance he can get back on the scoresheet here.
(7.00) ARYAAF (3/1, Ladbrokes) is showing race-by-race progress, finding another jolt of improvement to get off the mark at Bath last month, and Simon Crisford’s charge could prove a tough nut to crack with the promise of further improvement to come.
The Kodiac Filly beat Prissy Missy by three-parts of a length on that occasion, winning a shade cosily, and the form has since been given a boost by the runner-up winning next time.
A subsequent 4lbs rise in the weights doesn’t look unduly harsh given that she remains open to further progress, and every chance she can strike again here if handling the tapeta surface..
5.30 – Enzo
6.00 – Love Dreams
6.30 – Cool Sphere
7.00 – Aryaaf
7.30 – Universal Order
8.00 – Aussie Breeze
8.30 – Dreamseller