2019 Sovereign Stakes tips – 6/1 outsider overpriced in Salisbury’s Thursday feature

Accidental Agent (centre) winning the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2018.

Accidental Agent (centre) winning the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2018.

Our expert has taken a look through the betting for Thursday’s Sovereign Stakes and provides readers with his tips for Salisbury.

The highlight of the action on Thursday is most definitely the Sovereign Stakes, a Group Three contest run over a mile at Salisbury. Some talented three-year-olds will test their metal with a couple of proven older horses down the straight mile at the Wiltshire venue and only the toughest of the lot will be able to come out on top.

Our expert has taken a look through the betting for Thursday’s renewal of the Sovereign Stakes and provided readers with his betting selections.

3:50pm Salisbury Tattersalls Sovereign Stakes (Group 3) 1m

There should be a decent amount of early pace in this year’s race, with Mojito and Marie’s Diamond likely to lead the runners up the centre of the track. Although both have impressed this term, front-runners haven’t got the greatest record in this Group Three and both will have to produce a career-best display to hold off some talented rivals.

Flashcard deservedly leads the way in the betting, after his runaway victory in a handicap at Newmarket. I’m keen to take Andrew Balding’s charge on, however, as he makes a sizeable step up in class.

I’m surprised to see King Ottokar and Kick On dropped back to a mile, as both have run well over further during the season. Great Scott is the one – of those dropping back in trip – who looks most suited by today’s distance. Yet, only five three-year-olds have managed to beat their elders in 20 editions of the Sovereign Stakes and to see a Group One winner in ACCIDENTAL AGENT sitting on such a lengthy price is a chance I don’t want to turn down.

Eve Johnson Houghton’s stable star has been a little unruly this season. Following a refusal to race as he returned to Royal Ascot to defend his Queen Anne Stakes crown, Accidental Agent was very slowly away before finishing fourth in the Summer Mile and looked extremely fractious throughout his last-place finish in the Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.

Accidental Agent will now drop down to Group Three level for the first time since the start of the 2018 season and Johnson Houghton will be hopeful the low-key setting of Salisbury will help her stalwart settle much better. Although his recent performances haven’t been great, Charlie Bishop’s mount has still managed to clock RPR’s of 109, not forgetting that third place finish on his first start of the season in the Lockinge, so it’s clear there’s still a good amount of ability left in the five-year-old’s legs.

Bishop’s mount has secured a couple of victories on ground softer than good, all of his best performances have come over a straight-mile and he should be able to slot into the pack quite comfortably from stall two. At 6/1, Accidental Agent is undoubtedly the best bet in this competitive race.