Thursday 11 July horse racing tips – Gosden’s 7/4 chance set to Flower at Doncaster
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for every UK and Irish horse racing meeting on Thursday, including day one of the Newmarket July Festival.
Thursday’s fixture list of UK and Irish horse racing action takes in six meetings, headed by the start of the three-day July Festival meeting at Newmarket on their July Course where top-class racing action is fronted on day one by the Group Two July Stakes and Group Two Tattersalls Stakes on a quality seven-race card.
There is also flat racing action going to post at Doncaster and Carlisle on Thursday afternoon.
Meanwhile, in the evening there is further flat racing taking place at Newbury and Epsom, as well as from Leopardstown in Ireland where the Group Three Stanerra Stakes takes place.
Doncaster (flat) – 1.40 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Newmarket (flat) – 1.50 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Carlisle (flat) – 2.00 – 5.55pm (8 races)
Newbury (flat) – 5.40 – 8.50pm (7 races)
Leopardstown (flat) – 5.50 – 9.00pm (7 races)
Epsom (flat) – 6.00 – 8.40pm (6 races)
THURSDAY 11 JULY NAP SELECTION
(2.45) TIPPERARY JACK (4/1, Paddy Power) didn’t fare badly on his debut here in May, finishing fifth of ten runners behind Nahaarr over this trip, and the Violence colt improved for the experience to get off the mark next time with a defeat of Destination at Kempton.
John Best’s charge ran out a two lengths’ winner that day, running on well to score over seven furlongs. That form has been boosted by the third winning since, and there could be more to come from him.
He travelled strongly into that contest, and the drop back to six furlongs for this outing is unlikely to present an issue granted a strong pace. He can find further improvement to strike again here.
(3.20) DUNEFLOWER (7/4, William Hill) has shown herself to be a useful performer, bettering her debut runner-up finish at Newmarket to strike on the all-weather next time out. John Gosden’s charge has since returned from a break to finish fourth at Wetherby, and then third at Nottingham over this trip and the Dubawi filly can get back to winning ways here.
Her last outing in May saw her finish three lengths and a nose behind Layaleena and Nearooz, and she was arguably unlucky in that run having missed the break. She finished well however from a poor position, and she is entitled to improve still.
Assuming she can get away on terms this time around then it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see her competitive again, and she can go close here.
1.40 – Perla Blanca
2.10 – St Ives
2.45 – Tipperary Jack
3.20 – Duneflower
3.55 – Celcius
4.25 – Corncrake
5.00 – Warning Fire
(3.00) Lightly-raced MAGICAL WISH (13/2, Coral) could be worth chancing to get back on track having made the frame in all but one of his starts to date this term.
A Lingfield winner in April, he wasn’t beaten far behind Space Blues at York when contesting a competitive handicap contest, finishing sixth and crossing the line around five lengths behind the easy winner.
The Heeraat colt has since finished a close third back at the Knavesmire behind Recon Mission, and he found only one too good behind Make A Wish at Sandown latest where he was denied by a neck.
He mounted a strong challenge throughout the last furlong, but he was just unable to get past the gutsy winner who held on well for the win. But racing off the same mark here as he drops back to six furlongs, he can bounce back to winning ways and no surprise to see him going close with Sylvestre De Sousa in the saddle.
(4.40) TURGENEV (7/4, Paddy Power) has progressed with every run this term, finishing third to Cape Of Good Hope on his second start of the season at Epsom in the Listed Blue Riband Trial before posting a creditable fifth of eight runners behind Telecaster at York in the Dante.
John Gosden’s charge subsequently was beaten just over one length behind Biometric in the Britannia Stakes, and a repeat of that run could be good enough to see the Dubawi colt get back on the scoresheet.
A dual-winner last term, scoring successes at Newcastle and here on the Rowley Mile course, he rounded off last term by finishing seventh in the Vertem Futurity Trophy, and he probably needed his reappearance behind King Ottakar on his return at Newbury in April.
He can continue to find improvement despite having failed to win this term in four starts, and stepping back into Listed company from a handicap he can make his presence felt.
1.50 – Eagles By Day
2.25 – Guildsman
3.00 – Magical Wish
3.35 – Masar
4.05 – Daily Times
4.40 – Turgenev
5.10 – Wings Of Time
(3.10) Unless an above-average debutante is lurking in this field the way looks clear for ALABAMA WHITMAN (4/7, Totesport) to collect a first win, and the Ivawood filly could prove hard to beat.
Richard Spencer’s charge shaped well on her debut at Windsor in May, finding only one too good and beating a subsequent winner. She stepped up for the experience to finish an excellent fourth in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot, running on well.
Although no match for the winner, she finished clear of the rest – which includes a subsequent Group Two placed rival – and a repeat of that effort will make her a tough nut to crack back down in grade.
A further step up in trip could unlock more improvement, and she looks the one to beat here.
(4.15) AFANDEM (8/1, Bet365) isn’t the most consistent of performers, but he is capable on his day as he showed when romping to a five lengths’ victory over course and distance back in May.
The Vale Of York gelding typically failed to back up that performance on his next outing, but he wasn’t beaten far subsequently at Nottingham or back here latest when denied a head behind Gamesome, and Tim Easterby’s charge is taken to get back on the scoresheet at this track given his recent record here.
He is due to go up in the weights in future runs, but he can compete here from the same mark as last time and a repeat could see him get back to winning ways.
2.00 – Remember The Days
2.35 – Amber Star
3.10 – Alabama Whitman
3.45 – Ifton
4.15 – Afandem
4.50 – Caustic Love
5.20 – Ninjago
5.55 – Tarnhelm
(6.10) HARD NUT (4/1, Paddy Power) stepped up on a promising debut fifth at Windsor last month to get off the mark at the second attempt, beating My Motivate Girl at Chelmsford ten days later.
Richard Hannon’s charge only had a neck to spare at the line, but the Gutaifan colt appeared to win with a little bit up his sleeve and there could be better to come from him.
A penalty for that success means he has to concede weight all round, but he has the potential to improve and while this is a tougher test he could live up to his name by taking plenty of beating.
(7.15) RHYTHMIC INTENT (4/1, Bet365) is improving with every run, finishing third or better in each of his last three starts which includes being denied only by a nose on his latest outing at Sandown last month behind Ragnar.
Stuart Williams’ Lope De Vega colt still looked in need of the experience despite it being his fourth start, wandering about under pressure and headed before rallying and just failing to get back up.
That was his handicap debut, and he has been hit with a 4lbs rise; but he likely has further improvement to come, and he can find another jolt of improvement to get off the mark at the fifth attempt.
5.40 – Itizzit
6.10 – Hard Nut
6.40 – Special Secret
7.15 – Rhythmic Intent
7.45 – Kosciuszko
8.20 – Tamachan
8.50 – Ever Rock
(6.20) GIGA WHITE (2/1, Ladbrokes) had a progressive profile prior to disappointing at the Curragh last time, but Ger Lyons’ charge can bounce back here.
The Dark Angel gelding bettered each previous result in his three runs last time, winning at the third attempt with a success over South Pacific at Gowran Park where he struck by a neck. Runner-up on his reappearance at Naas in May where he was denied by a half-length, he wasn’t seen to best effect latest and the blinkers he wore there have been left off.
He is worth another chance to build on his earlier progressive form and it would be no surprise to see a much better effort taking on just three rivals; while a repeat of his reappearance run could see him hard to beat.
(7.25) MAGNETIC NORTH (13/2, Coral) has a previous course win to his name, scoring here last May, and Sheila Lavery’s charge posted good efforts in defeat subsequently, including behind Cuban Hope at Gowran Park two starts ago.
The Born To Sea gelding got back on the scoresheet when beating Onlyhuman by a half-length latest at Navan, and that horse has won since to give the form a boost. A subsequent 4lbs rise in the weights doesn’t look harsh, and with the potential for better still to come he could be worth chancing to follow up despite this being a stronger race.
5.50 – Love
6.20 – Giga White
6.50 – Gerry’s Way
7.25 – Magnetic North
7.55 – True Self
8.30 – Kangaroo Valley
9.00 – Go Another One
(6.30) SEPRANI (3/1, Totesport) bounced back from a lesser run at Goodwood in June where the ground might have been too soft to go down only by a nose behind Wilson at Brighton latest, and Amy Murphy’s charge could go one better here.
Also third at Newmarket on her return from a break behind Emily Goldfinch, the Sepoy mare was caught on the line latest having looked set to get off the mark for the season. That form has since been boosted by the fourth going in subsequently, and she is only 1lb higher here.
A previous course winner, she can post another big effort on the back of that outing, and every chance she can get back to winning ways with a repeat of that last run.
(7.35) HIGHLAND ACCLAIM (11/4, Ladbrokes) wasn’t seen at his best here seven days ago, but David O’Meara’s charge is given another chance on the back of his fine record over this course and distance.
The Acclamation gelding has four wins and a placed effort to his name from seven course and distance starts, and he struck back-to-back wins on the all-weather at Lingfield over the winter. Despite not being at his best in recent outings back on turf following a break – including last time when finishing fourth of seven runners behind Count Otto, he is capable of going close at his best, and this is a slightly easier assignment he takes on now.
He could be worth chancing to bounce back from that defeat last time, and no surprise to see him going close here.
6.00 – Be Prepared
6.30 – Seprani
7.05 – Ignatius
7.35 – Highland Acclaim
8.10 – Toro Dorado
8.40 – Grey Spirit