Thursday 12 September horse racing tips – Watson’s 4/1 chance could have punters Smiling at Chelmsford
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Thursday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Five UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Thursday, and the St Leger Festival continues into a second day where there is Group Two action on the racecard with the Park Hill Stakes and the May Hill Stakes both on the agenda at Town Moor, and the ITV Racing cameras will be on hand to cover the best of the action.
Meanwhile, there is further action on the flat from both Epsom and Chepstow; while the fifth day of the Listowel Harvest Festival sees more mixed flat and jumps racing in Ireland.
Completing the line-up for Thursday is an evening all-weather card from Chelmsford.
Epsom (flat) – 1.40 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Chepstow (flat) – 1.50 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Listowel (mixed) – 1.55 – 5.55pm (8 races)
Doncaster (flat) – 2.10 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 5.20 – 8.20pm (7 races)
(2.50) ISLE OF WOLVES (2/1, Bet365) got back on the scoresheet when successful over this course and distance last month, and Jim Boyle’s charge is taken to follow up.
The Nathaniel gelding had won at Lingfield last July, and following on from a pair of runner-up efforts at this venue and Windsor in July and August, he ran out a three lengths’ winner over Duke Of North latest.
His earlier runner-up effort over course and distance had seen him beaten less than one length behind Teodora De Vega, and she scored readily last time which suggests she could be up to the task of defying a 4lbs rise in the weights.
He did seem to enjoy a strong pace last time however, and he’s not certain to get the same here; but given his solid form here and at tracks like Goodwood and Lingfield which show he revels in tracks of this ilk then he ought to go close again if having the race run to suit.
(3.55) INDIAN VICEROY (10/3, Ladbrokes) won twice last term which included over this course and distance, and although things haven’t gone to plan since for the Kodiac gelding he could be worth chancing to follow up his recent return to winning form.
Hughie Morrison’s charge had shown better form when equipped with first-time cheekpieces at Kempton in August, finding only Dubrava too strong by a head; but he stepped up on that effort to get back on the winning trail when scoring by a similar margin back at Kempton over Lady Of Aran.
That form has taken a couple of knocks, but he is only 3lbs higher in the weights here and could strike again here.
1.40 – Afraid Of Nothing
2.15 – Kingston Kurrajong
2.50 – Isle Of Wolves
3.25 – Allegiant
3.55 – Indian Viceroy
4.30 – Conspiritor
5.05 – The Lamplighter
(3.00) SECRET POTION (9/2, William Hill) has been kept busy, but he has won two of his last three starts which includes here late last month under a double-penalty, and Ron Harris’ charge can give another good account of himself.
The Stimulation gelding had three-parts of a length to spare over Atty’s Edge, scoring a shade cosily, and although reassessed 4lbs higher in the weights he can continue to give a good account of himself despite needing another career-best effort to strike.
This isn’t the strongest of races however, and given he arrives in form he could be worth siding with to strike again despite his additional burden at the weights.
(4.05) ALAMEERY (8/1, Bet365) offered something to work with when finishing third at Lingfield on his debut last month, and the Kingman colt can show the benefit of that experience to do better this time around.
Ed Dunlop’s charge finished around ten lengths adrift of the winner on that occasion, weakening quickly having helped to force the pace; but he raced keenly and possibly failed to get home, although he should know more about what is required this time around.
Assuming he can settle better and show improvement on the back of his debut run then he can go close in a competitive and informative contest.
1.50 – Blue Venture
2.25 – Interrupted Dream
3.00 – Secret Potion
3.35 – Sky Vega
4.05 – Alameery
4.40 – Gilt Edge
5.10 – Essenaitch
(3.05) DEDILLON (6/1, Bet365) has proven to be a consistent sort this term, making the frame in all four starts and the Dylan Thomas filly can get off the mark here.
Andrew Slattery’s charge has found only one too good in her last two outings, latterly beaten five lengths behind Angels Amy at Roscommon in August, and that one bolted up here on Monday before possibly finding the run coming too soon on Wednesday when disappointing.
She finished clear of the third, and there is a suspicion that she could still have further improvement to come so every chance she can get off the mark here.
(5.25) STACKS MOUNTAIN (9/1, Ladbrokes) won twice during the summer, scoring at Tipperary and Punchestown, and Henry de Bromhead’s charge can get back on the scoresheet after running better than the bare result suggests on each of his last two outings.
The Black Sam Bellamy gelding has finished fourth on both those occasions, beating only one home at Killarney latest where he wore first-time cheekpieces, and the headgear is retained for this outing.
He wasn’t helped by being hampered late on in that race although he was held at the time; but he could well bounce back returned to the handicap ranks where a good 7lbs claimer can ease a chunk of his weight burden so he can remain competitive and he could still have better to come as a relatively unexposed stayer.
1.55 – Santiago
2.30 – Emphatic
3.05 – Dedillon
3.40 – Dalileo
4.15 – Saglawy
4.50 – Chosen Mate
5.25 – Stacks Mountain
5.55 – Minellafordollars
(2.40) This race been a happy hunting ground for four-year olds, with seven of the last ten winners representing that age group; ENBIHAAR (5/4, Ladbrokes) then could be the answer to this Group Two puzzle, and the Redoute’s Choice filly can successfully concede weight all round to some smart rivals.
John Gosden’s charge has been hugely progressive this term, winning three of her four starts which include a pair of Group Two contests at Haydock and Goodwood respectively.
The former came in the Lancashire Oaks where she struck by a neck over Dramatic Queen; but she seemed to find further improvement stepping up to this trip latterly where she ran out a convincing winner of the Lillie Langtry Stakes with a five lengths’ defeat of Manuela De Vega.
She had both the reopposing pair of Peach Tree and South Sea Pearl behind her that day, and a repeat of that effort could make her difficult to beat despite the concession of 10lbs and more to this field of rivals.
(4.55) Good Birthday won well at Beverley last time, but the Dabirsim colt will likely need to find another jolt of improvement and DAVYDENKO (11/8, Bet365) gets the vote to register another win.
Sir Michael Stotues’ charge is 3-4 this term, striking wins at Windsor and Thirsk earlier in the season prior to disapppointing in a big field at Ascot when contesting the Britannia Stakes.
Despite that lesser run he quickly bounced back to post a three lengths’ success over Good Fortune at Newmarket latest, scoring readily and beating a decent pair from the Godolphin yard in the process.
The handicapper hasn’t missed him with an 8lbs rise in the weights, but he can continue to progress and every chance he can win again with this longer trip potentially pulling out more progress in the Intello colt.
2.10 – Company Minx
2.40 – Enbihaar
3.15 – Repartee
3.45 – Boomer
4.20 – Saluti
4.55 – Davydenko
5.30 – I Could Do Better
(5.50) MITTY’S SMILE (4/1, Bet365) stepped up on a promising debut fourth at Newbury to make no mistake on her next outing at Windsor where she beat Mild Illusion by just over one length.
Archie Watson’s charge hasn’t matched that level in two subsequent outings, but she had excuses at Ayr when last of five runners and may just have been feeling those exertions when finishing fourth at Leicester when last seen.
The No Nay Never filly was beaten around three lengths on that occasion behind Insania, possibly given too much to do. However, a step up in trip ought to suit, and with the application of first-time cheekpieces a possible source of improvement then she could be worth siding with to get back on the scoresheet on her polytrack debut.
(6.50) The application of cheekpieces worked the oracle for BEDOUIN’S STORY (7/2, Bet365) last time out, with the Farhh gelding running out a ready winner at York back in July, beating Medahim by two lengths, and Saeed bin Suroor’s charge can follow up.
A three-time winner last term, he didn’t fully convince in a series of runs at Meydan over the winter, and he failed to fire at Newmarket in April behind Beringer. However, he ran better in defeat back on the all-weather in subsequent outings at Newcastle prior to that success on the Knavesmire where the softer ground appeared more to his liking and he ran out a ready winner.
He has to back up that performance now returned to the all-weather, but if the headgear can have the same effect as last time then he can remain competitive and every chance he can strike again.
5.20 – Last Surprise
5.50 – Mitty’s Smile
6.20 – Invincible Larne
6.50 – Bedouin’s Story
7.20 – Harry’s Bar
7.50 – Brasca
8.20 – Moonmeister