Thursday 18 July horse racing tips – Wall’s 15/8 chance can avoid Drama with Leicester success
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for all of Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
A further seven UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Thursday with afternoon action coming on the flat from the meetings at Chepstow, Leicester and Hamilton; while day four of the Killarney Summer Festival sees an all-jumps racecard in the afternoon.
In the evening, there is further flat racing from Epsom, while Leopardstown in Ireland also race on the level where the Group Three Meld Stakes takes centre-stage.
Completing the Thursday line-up is a meeting from Ffos Las over the sticks.
Hamilton (flat) – 1.40 – 5.15pm (8 races)
Chepstow (flat) – 2.00 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Leicester (flat) – 2.20 – 5.25pm (7 races)
Killarney (jumps) – 2.25 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Leopardstown (flat) – 5.40 – 8.55pm (7 races)
Ffos Las (jumps) – 5.50 – 9.05pm (7 races)
Epsom (flat) – 6.00 – 8.45pm (6 races)
THURSDAY 18 JULY NAP SELECTION
(2.40) The consistent HARVEY DENT (9/4, Ladbrokes) is quickly turned out again having gone close at Chester five days ago.
Archie Watson’s Mayson gelding had won the time before at Carlisle, beating Ghayyar by almost two lengths, and he was denied only around one length behind City Wanderer on the Roodeye where he was run down late by the winner.
Paul Mulrennan takes over from a claimer for this latest outing, and he can compete from the same mark as last time so a big run wouldn’t come as a surprise as he bids to recapture winning form over this longer trip which is no issue for him.
(4.40) Irish raider BLUE WHISPER (11/2, William Hill) almost took advantage of a basement handicap mark when finishing a close third here last month, and Stephen Donoghue’s charge can get off the mark with a repeat of that run.
The Bated Breath gelding has shown only moderate form throughout his career to date for both James Eustace and his current handler, and until that latest bronze medal finish he had yet to better crossing the line in fifth as his best previous finishing position.
Beaten less than one length behind Chinese Spirit, finishing well from off the pace, he may yet prove to be fairly handicapped off a mark of just 50, and if he is able to replicate the performance he produced last time out then he could go close again.
1.40 – Point Of Order
2.10 – Astrophysics
2.40 – Harvey Dent
3.10 – Bellepower
3.40 – Lever Du Soleil
4.10 – New Arrangement
4.40 – Blue Whisper
5.15 – Kafoo
(2.30) PAPA DELTA (9/4, William Hill) posted a career-best effort when winning last time out at Lingfield, and Tony Carroll’s Makfi gelding could take some stopping here as he bids to follow up in a weak race.
A three-time winner in 2018 – all on the all-weather – he is effective on turf as he showed when finding only Liam’s Lass too strong at Lingfield at the beginning of June, and despite his last time win on polytrack he switches to turf from a lower mark so it would be no surprise if he were to take advantage.
With his rivals struggling for form, he should prove a tough nut in a poor contest.
(3.30) None of these runners are particularly consistent, but JAGANORY (11/2, Ladbrokes) could be worth chancing to get back to winning ways at a venue where he has run well before and boasts a course win.
The Dylan Thomas gelding struck his last success at Bath back in May, beating Dalness Express by almost three lengths; but Chris Mason’s charge has struggled since to match that performance and he was a shade disappointing when last seen back there latest when crossing the line some five lengths’ adrift of Holdenhurst where he finished third.
The handicapper though has cut him some slack, easing him 2lbs in the weights, and he is only 2lbs higher than his last winning rating. Given he has won from even higher marks in the past, he could take advantage of the handicapper’s leniency sooner than later.
2.00 – Loose Chippings
2.30 – Papa Delta
3.00 – Above
3.30 – Jaganory
4.00 – Kiowa
4.30 – Trelinney
5.05 – Seaborn
(3.20) DRAMATIC DEVICE (15/8, Bet365) boasts the best form in this contest, and the Dansili gelding can get off the mark at the third attempt since joining Chris Wall from Andre Fabre.
Twice a runner-up in France from five starts, he had finished fourth on debut for his new handler at this venue in May prior to finding only one too good behind Cardano at Newmarket latest where he was denied only by a short-head.
He perhaps just waited to long to give his challenge, but he was closing down the eventual winner with each stride and might well have won in a few more strides. He has been hit with a 3lbs rise in the weights, but a repeat of that effort could be good enough back in novice company to see him open his win account.
(4.20) The Henry Candy team are in good form, and EULA VARNER (5/1, William Hill) can get back on the scoresheet following her return to action at Chepstow last month.
That run was the Showcasing mare’s first start in almost one year, and she might well have needed the run given that she was unable to sustain her effort to the line, and she faded to finish fourth of eight runners behind Bungee Jump.
She had won on her final start of the previous season, scoring on better ground at Salisbury, and she ought to find improvement for her reappearance effort which should have sharpened her up considerably.
2lbs lower in the weights for this second start of the campaign, she can go close for a yard enjoying a good spell at present, and every chance she won’t be far away here.
2.20 – Making History
2.50 – Forseti
3.20 – Dramatic Device
3.50 – Mr Tyrrell
4.20 – Eula Varner
4.50 – Becky Sharp
5.25 – Evening Attire
(3.55) PEACHES AND CREAM (11/8, William Hill) bolted up for Gavin Cromwell at Downpatrick three days ago, and given the yard’s current streak of form it wouldn’t come as a surprise if the Salutino gelding made light work of the subsequent 5lbs penalty he has to carry here.
Runner-up two runs ago at Down Royal, the four-year old appeared to have plenty up his sleeve when finishing 14 lengths clear of his field of rivals, and this race doesn’t appear to much stronger in depth.
A repeat of that effort ought to be enough to see the four-year old make a quick return to the winners’ enclosure and he should prove a tough nut to crack here for his red-hot stable.
(4.25) MING DYNASTY (11/10, Ladbrokes) will have to concede upwards of a stone to this field of rivals, but Gavin Cromwell’s charge has looked hugely progressive in winning starts at Kilbeggan and Bellewstown since his return from a short break.
Also a Naas winner back in February, the King’s Best gelding had Avenir D’une Vie in arrears when scoring at Kilbeggan in June, and he latterly won cosily by two lengths over Ejayteekay at Bellewstown where he was value for more than the official winning margin.
The fifth horse home in that race has won since, and while a 9lbs rise in the weights for that success will demand a shade more from him, he can continue his progression to follow up and bag himself a hat-trick of successes.
2.25 – Pravalaguna
2.55 – Game Present
3.25 – Sticky Situation
3.55 – Peaches And Cream
4.25 – Ming Dynasty
4.55 – Be My Hero
5.30 – Wings Of Destiny
(6.45) SYRENA (4/1, Bet365) got back on the scoresheet when holding off Jungle Jungle by a nose to score at Limerick latest, and Joseph O’Brien’s charge is chanced to follow up despite her profile suggesting she’s far from certain to be in the same form.
The Gale Force Ten filly also struck at Dundalk back in April by a similarly narrow margin, after which her subsequent form was patchy although she did manage to finish runner-up at Leopardstown in June.
A 3lbs rise for that last win still leaves her fairly weighted for another big run, and if she can hold her form then there’s every chance she can repeat that last-time win.
(7.50) This Group Three prize may just come too soon for Cape Of Good Hope who contested the recent Belmont Derby in the United States, so TINANDALI (9/2, Bet365) is chanced to give Dermot Weld a fifth winner in the race since 2010.
The Oasis Dream colt boasts course-winning form having opened his account over ten furlongs here in April, beating Grandmaster Flash, although he subsequently disappointed at the Curragh the following month in the Gallinule Stakes.
Clearly something was amiss that day as he was eased right off by jockey Oisin Orr, and he proved the run to be all wrong when returning to the track two weeks later to deliver a wide-margin victory over Invasion Day at Navan.
He could have more to offer and he remains a potentially smart sort, so while he probably needs to find a shade more stepping back into Group Three company for this latest outing, he could be worth siding with to take another forward step and enhance his trainer’s fine recent record in the race.
5.40 – For The Trees
6.10 – Howling Wolf
6.45 – Syrena
7.20 – Parkers Hill
7.50 – Tinandali
8.25 – Mudlahhim
8.55 – Champagne Terri
(6.20) TEASER (6/4, Ladbrokes) is a dual-winner over hurdles scoring at Warwick last December and then emerging from a brief spell where he was out of sorts to strike at Ludlow back in May.
David Pipe’s charge switches now to chasing following a short break, and he has the size and scope to make an impact tackling fences for the first time.
It can often pay to side with the yard’s chasing debutantes, and this doesn’t look a particularly strong assignment for his first crack at fences so he is worth chancing from what could prove a workable opening mark pitched straight into a handicap.
(7.30) A few of the runners in this race arrive in decent heart, but perhaps none more than DOVILS DATE (7/2, William Hill) who can continue his winning spree.
The Clodovil gelding has already racked up a hat-trick of wins over the summer, latterly running out a seven lengths’ winner over Linguine at Stratford where he won a shade cosily.
The handicapper has hit him with a 13lbs rise in the weights which is perhaps harsh and will demand that Tim Vaughn’s charge finds further improvement; but he’s been progressing well of late and he could still be improving so he is taken to strike again while in similar form.
5.50 – Midnight Folie
6.20 – Teaser
6.55 – On The Quiet
7.30 – Dovils Date
8.00 – Harbour Force
8.35 – Manor Park
9.05 – Braid Blue
(6.35) GOODWOOD REBEL (11/8, William Hill) has progressed with each run, showing improved form with every start and the Dandy Man colt went closest latest when beaten less than one length behind Gold Venture at Sailsbury.
Ralph Beckett’s charge caught the eye running on late, and he might well have won in a few more strides given that he was closing down the winner. That run sets the standard and he could well prove a tough nut to crack if running up to his mark of 77 in this maiden contest.
He steps up to seven furlongs for this latest run, and the quicker ground shouldn’t pose too much of an issue so every chance he can get off the mark now at the fourth attempt in what appears a very winnable race.
(7.10) MULTAMIS (3/1, Paddy Power) shouldn’t be judged on his last outing at Sandown where he lost a shoe mid-race, while the softer ground on that occasion may not have suited. Instead, Owen Burrows’ charge is perhaps better judged on his success the time before at this venue where the Charm Spirit gelding struck by one length over Spirit Warning.
He appeared to win a shade readily that day, and the runner-up from the race has won since to boost the form; as such he could be worth chancing to bounce back on this better surface and returned to the scene of his last win where he ought to give a good account of himself.
6.00 – Amaretto
6.35 – Goodwood Rebel
7.10 – Multamis
7.40 – Cool Reflection
8.15 – Peace Prevails
8.45 – Lady Morpheus