Thursday 19 September horse racing tips – Tate’s 3/1 chance can strike gold at Chelmsford
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Thursday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
The Ayr Gold Cup meeting kicks off on Thursday for the first of three days’ racing at the Scottish track, with the Listed Doonside Cup the feature of the day.
There is also flat racing action taking place from Yarmouth and Pontefract.
Meanwhile there is evening all-weather action from both Southwell on fibresand and Chelmsford on polytrack under the floodlights.
Yarmouth (flat) – 1.50 – 4.50pm (7 races)
Ayr (flat) – 2.00 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Pontefract (flat) – 2.10 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Southwell (flat, aw) – 5.15 – 8.15pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 4.55 – 8.30pm (8 races)
(3.00) VENTURA ROYAL (15/2, Ladbrokes) doesn’t have too many miles on the clock, and David O’Meara’s charge got back to winning ways when successful at Musselburgh last month in what was a career-best effort by the Teofilo filly.
Her sole previous win had come at Redcar almost two years previously, but having had only eight runs in the interim prior to getting back on the scoresheet she is obviously relatively low mileage, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her find some further measure of improvement.
She had two lengths to spare latest over How Bizarre, winning a shade readily, and a subsequent 5lbs rise in the weights is workable given that she posted her breakthrough win from this mark so she could still find some further improvement.
The return of Danny Tudhope to the saddle augurs well and the pair look set for a bold bid in what looks a winnable contest if turning up in similar form to her latest win.
(4.00) BOLLIN JOAN (10/1, William Hill) is none too consistent, but Tim Easterby’s charge could be worth chancing to get back to winning ways here.
The Mount Nelson filly is a dual-winner this term, scoring both successes at Doncaster with the latest coming in July where she ran out a three-parts winner over Katiesheidinlisa; but subsequent starts have been disappointing, and she failed to beat a rival home behind Regal Director at Redcar last month.
She did run better in defeat latest at York in an apprentices’ contest, beaten just over one length behind Shamad over a longer trip, and a repeat of that effort may be good enough here given she was a shade unfortunate not to have finished closer having met with trouble in running.
She competes from the same mark here, and she ought to get a strong pace to aim at so every chance she could bounce back under David Allan to pick up the score in a winnable contest.
1.30 – Morisco
2.00 – Maggies Angel
2.30 – Royal Regent
3.00 – Ventura Royal
3.30 – Forest Ranger
4.00 – Bollin Joan
4.30 – B Fifty Two
5.00 – True Romance
(2.20) STATE CROWN (7/2, Bet365) offered something to work on when finishing third on his debut at Chelmsford last month, and Charlie Appleby’s charge can put that experience to good use to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The New Approach colt finished two lengths’ third behind Surf Dancer, not helped by a slow start; but he finished well and that experience won’t have been lost on him so every chance he can improve on that debut to get off the mark at the second attempt.
He is one of three runners in the race to sport the Godolphin silks, but with William Buick in the plate he can go close here and confirm his place in the Vertem Futurity Trophy for which he holds an entry with a win.
(3.20) FLAMING MARVEL (7/1, William Hill) could be worth chancing back on turf despite having shown almost all his form to date on the all-weather; but the Redoute’s Choice gelding can post a big effort nonetheless, and James Fanshawe’s charge ought to go close here if translating his all-weather form back onto grass.
A dual-winner at Wolverhampton at the beginning of the year, he shaped well on his return from six months off the track when beaten four lengths’ behind Cantiniere back at Wolverhampton earlier in the month.
He ought to strip fitter for that outing, and he ran well on his only previous try on grass at Nottingham back in the summer of 2017 over a considerably shorter trip so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him step up on that latest run to get back on the scoresheet.
1.50 – Kassab
2.20 – State Crown
2.50 – Esprit Rose
3.20 – Flaming Marvel
3.50 – Lightening Dance
4.20 – Harrovian
4.50 – Tinto
(3.10) ANNA BUNINA (5/2, William Hill) is thriving at present, showing improvement with each start and arriving here in search of a hat-trick of wins having struck at Beverley and Ripon in recent starts.
Jedd O’Keeffe’s charge also struck at Redcar back in April, and the Poet’s Voice filly can land her three-timer if continuing to progress.
Her latest success saw her run out a neck winner over Lady Alavesa on what was her first try at this longer trip, and a 2lbs rise looks lenient given she is unexposed over this distance so every chance she can find another chunk of progress to go in again here.
(3.40) GALE FORCE MAYA (10/3, Bet365) is progressing well, winning for the third straight time when going in at Carlisle last month.
Michael Dods’ charge had won twice previously at the track, as well as scoring earlier in the campaign over course and distance in May, and the Gale Force Ten filly was last seen beating Tenax by one length to strike a Carlisle hat-trick.
A 5lbs rise in the weights demands more as she goes up in grade, but she looks a progressive sort who could well have better to come and she can post another bold bid despite the stronger company.
2.10 – Mecca’s Hot Steps
2.40 – Hammer Gun
3.10 – Anna Bunina
3.40 – Gale Force Maya
4.10 – Forewarning
4.40 – Pianissimo
5.10 – Atletico
(5.30) TAVUS (6/4, Unibet) is chasing a hat-trick of wins having stepped up on earlier efforts to strike at both Newbury and Ffos Las, and Roger Charlton’s charge can land the three-timer here.
The Pour Moi gelding has shown improved form on turf having disappointed in three starts on the Kempton polytrack over the winter months. However, he could be worth chancing back on polytrack given he appears a progressive sort now, and he won with something to spare latest over Victoriano over this trip.
The emphasis on stamina has helped to yield improvement, and having won readily latest he could defy a 5lbs rise in the weights if proving as effective back on this surface.
(6.30) SHIMMERING DAWN (3/1, Ladbrokes) had been progressive over the early summer months, winning three on the bounce which include two over course and distance, and James Tate’s charge can bounce back from a lesser run in a Listed contest at Naas back in July.
The Morpheus filly beat only three rivals home on that occasion behind Servalan, not helping her cause by missing the break, and she wasn’t given a hard time once all chance had gone.
This represents an easier task dropping back into the handicap ranks where she has been eased 1lb in the weights, and despite that lacklustre run latest she remains one to be positive about and is taken to bounce back quickly here having been freshened up.
4.55 – Champagne Supernova
5.30 – Tavus
6.00 – Quduraat
6.30 – Shimmering Dawn
7.00 – Karisoke
7.30 – Parknacilla
8.00 – Chakrii
8.30 – Fair Power
(5.45) ALL RIGHT (7/2, Paddy Power) has been in good form since switching to handicaps, making the frame on all four starts which includes a win at Yarmouth two starts back; Henry Candy’s charge can quickly bounce back to winning form here having been on the wrong end of a half-length defeat behind Basilisk latest at Ffos Las.
The Intello filly had run out a near-two lengths’ victor over Percy Toplis the time before at Yarmouth, overcoming a slow start and appearing to win a shade readily. She didn’t do much wrong latest and she has only been raised 1lb in the weights for that latest near miss.
While she has to prove she can be as effective on this surface, she ought to post a bold bid if the fibresand doesn’t catch him out and it would come as no surprise to see her going close here with a strong pace again to chase after.
(6.15) CLIFFS OF FREEDOM (11/8, Paddy Power) offered something to work on when finding only one too good at Down Royal last month on debut, and the Canford Cliffs colt can put the experience to good use and get off the mark at the second attempt.
Kevin Coleman’s Irish raider was beaten just over two lengths on that occasion behind Natural Power, and he in turn had pulled clear of the rest of the field so it could rate as a decent performance.
Likely to improve for that outing, he could prove a tough nut to crack in this raid across the Irish Sea with the drop back to six furlongs unlikely to hold any fears.
5.15 – Break The Silence
5.45 – All Right
6.15 – Cliffs Of Freedom
6.45 – Mininggold
7.15 – Creativity
7.45 – Grimsdyke
8.15 – Doune Castle