Thursday 22 August horse racing tips – Murphy’s 4/1 chance can strike a first hurdles win at Fontwell
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
The second day of the York Ebor Festival meeting featuring the Group One Yorkshire Oaks is the highlight of Thursday’s six-fixture schedule of horse racing, and there also afternoon flat racing from Chepstow as well as a jumps racing card from Stratford going to post.
Meanwhile, in the evening there is further action on the flat from Leicester, while Fontwell go over the sticks; and Killarney hosts a mixed flat and jumps racing card to round off the day.
Stratford (jumps) – 1.00 – 5.00pm (8 races)
Chepstow (flat) – 1.45 – 5.05pm (7 races)
York (flat) – 1.55 – 4.50pm (6 races)
Killarney (mixed) – 4.35 – 8.100pm (8 races)
Fontwell (jumps) – 4.40 – 7.50pm (7 races)
Leicester (flat) – 5.30 – 8.00pm (6 races)
(1.35) ARCADIAN SEA (13/8, Bet365) is improving with each start over hurdles, finding only one too good latest at Market Rasen where he was beaten less than one length behind Stubborn Logic back in June where he was just outbattled by the winner.
The third from that race has won since, and this doesn’t look quite so demanding a contest so it would come as no surprise to see Sarah Humphrey’s charge get off the mark now.
(2.40) Past course-winner EL TERREMOTO (8/1, Ladbrokes) is given another chance having failed to build on his promising reappearance in the Summer Plate where he finished fourth.
David Pipe’s charge subsequently finished third at Perth, although that was a slightly disappointing effort given his earlier run; but he could be worth siding with to do better here in first-time blinkers, and the handicapper has dropped him 2lbs in the weights which leaves him competitively weighted.
His new yard probably haven’t got to the bottom of him just yet, and he is 2-3 over this distance; he could still have more to offer over fences, and he is given another opportunity to get back on the scoresheet here.
1.00 – Blue N Yellow
1.35 – Arcadian Sea
2.05 – Precious Bounty
2.40 – El Terremoto
3.15 – Jaxlight
3.50 – High Hatton
4.25 – Oneofthesenights
5.00 – Gennady
(2.15) Lightly-raced RED ROMANCE (4/1, Bet365) could have more to offer on the back of a breakthrough win at Lingfield last month, and Clive Cox’s charge could follow up.
The Dutch Art filly ran out a narrow head winner over Caen Na Coile in that contest, keeping on well in ground that may just have been too soft for her. This slightly better ground will hold no fears, and she shaped in that win as if a step up to one mile would suit.
She can find further improvement for this stiffer test, while a 3lbs rise in the weights doesn’t look unduly harsh so every chance she can follow up here.
(3.25) DON’T STOP DANCING (13/8, Coral) can get back on track having gotten off the mark at this venue on his penultimate outing where the Anjaal colt scored by a neck over Above, readily.
He made all that day, and he had enough in reserve to hold off two subsequent dual-winners, and Ron Harris’ charge was probably flying too high in the Richmond Stakes latest where he beat only two rivals home behind Golden Horde.
This is easier back in much calmer waters, and the drop to the minimum distance shouldn’t pose much of an issue given the speed he had shown when winning here previously so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him get back on the scoresheet here.
1.45 – Charlie Arthur
2.15 – Red Romance
2.50 – Another Boy
3.25 – Don’t Stop Dancing
4.00 – Valentino Sunrise
4.30 – Danglydontask
5.05 – Aussie Breeze
(3.00) KYNREN (6/1, Ladbrokes) deserves to win a big handicap having posted a host of creditable efforts in defeat, and David Barron’s charge can gain an overdue win.
The Clodovil gelding won three times as a juvenile, and he produced several solid runs last term which include being denied only by a neck behind Poet’s Society in this race twelve months ago before running with credit in the Cambridgeshire and Balmoral Handicap respectively on his next outings.
Twice a runner-up this term, firstly in the Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster and then going down only by a neck behind Cape Byron at Ascot in the Victoria Cup, he ran better than the bare result when finishing just over two lengths’ fifth behind Afaak in the Royal Hunt Cup from this mark, and a repeat of that effort could see him go one better than twelve months ago.
He finished in front of the far side group where he had raced from the number three stall; while of the first four home, the lowest drawn horse raced from stall 18 so it was an excellent effort racing on the wrong side of the track to finish where he did.
The handicapper has left him alone for this latest outing, and while he may ideally prefer a bit more cut in the ground he is effective on this quicker surface so every chance he can post another big run here and he should remain competitive.
(4.50) SALAYEL (5/1, Coral) was a decent sort when trained in the UAE by Nick Bachalard, winning at Jebel Ali in February, and the Bated Breath filly made a very encouraging start for Roger Varian when finding only California Love too strong at Newmarket last month where she was beaten a head.
Racing keenly throughout, she stuck well to her task despite lack of a recent run, and she should prove a lot sharper for that reappearance which was her first start on turf where she had pulled four lengths clear of the third, Chaleur, who reopposes here.
The handicapper has taken no chances with a 6lbs rise in the weights, but she could well have further improvement to come on the back of that first run in four months, and a Group Three entry suggests connections are hopeful that she’ll be more than a handicapper in time.
This is competitive, but it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her build on that runner-up effort and go one better.
1.55 – Under the Stars
2.25 – Raahy
3.00 – Kynren
3.35 – Enable
4.15 – Frosty
4.50 – Salayel
(5.10) TANKERVILLE (11/4, Bet365) was sent off favourite for the Ballysax Stakes back in April, but Dermot Weld’s charge was possibly amiss in beating only one home behind Broome. However, back from almost five months off the track the Kitten’s Joy colt could do better.
A debut winner at Gowran Park last October on his sole juvenile start, he dropped away tamely on his return; but he remains with potential and could prove a different proposition now with the softer ground unlikely to present an issue.
Still unexposed, this longer trip could unlock some further improvement and he is given another chance to build on the promise he had shown on his debut.
(7.10) ISLAND MASTER (11/2, William Hill) got back on the scoresheet when successful over course and distance, and William Burke’s charge can follow up here.
The Turtle Island gelding had won at Galway last September, and he was building on his reappearance at Tramore back in June when running out a neck winner over Invincible Don having finished third the time before.
A 5lbs rise in the weights makes life tougher, but the 10-year old could repeat the dose given his good spell of form. Assuming he turns out here in similar mood then it isn’t hard to see him posting a big effort here.
4.35 – Mount Jannu
5.10 – Tankerville
5.40 – Pearl Warrior
6.10 – Run For Mary
6.40 – Stormey
7.10 – Island Master
7.40 – Movewiththetimes
8.10 – Getaway Katie
(5.15) THAQAFFA (4/1, Paddy Power) has shown some useful form on the flat, and Amy Murphy’s charge can get off the mark at the third attempt over hurdles having shaped with some promise on both starts over obstacles.
The Kodiac gelding reeled off a hat-trick of wins on the all-weather last January, and although winless since on the flat and over obstacles, he has filled the frame on both hurdles starts to date at Stratford and Uttoxeter respectively.
The winner and runner-up from that Uttoxeter outing have both won since to give the form a boost, and with the potential for better still despite disappointing back on the flat latest he could open his account now on his third start.
(5.50) GATEWAY TO EUROPE (11/4, William Hill) has filled the frame in five of his last six starts, finding only one too good on his last two runs at Uttoxeter; Neil King’s charge can open his account now at the fifth attempt over obstacles.
Useful in bumpers for Brian Nolan in Ireland, he was beaten a head and four lengths respectively in his last two outings where he has filled the runner-up berth each time.
But he switches to handicapping now where he features on a workable opening rating, and he ought to remain competitive. Still with the potential to improve over timber, he can go close here under Bryony Frost.
4.40 – Black Anthem
5.15 – Thaqaffa
5.50 – Gateway To Europe
6.20 – Goldslinger
6.50 – Monkey Puzzle
7.20 – No No Cardinal
7.50 – Petite Jack
(6.00) SHAMMAH (9/2, Bet365) won at Windsor earlier in the season, beating Newyorkstateofmind, prior to being tried in a Listed contest at Newmarket, and the Frankel filly can get back on track here.
Richard Hannon’s charge struggled at that level, and she subsequently struggled in a Class 3 handicap next time where she failed to beat a rival. Despite that disappointment however she has filled the frame in her last two outings at Chester and Newbury respectively, and she can remain competitive here.
Beaten a neck latest, she turns out here off 2lbs lower in the weights although she is due to go up 3lbs in future races so could well exploit this lower mark and no surprise if she goes close.
(6.30) PINNATA (7/2, Ladbrokes) reeled off a treble on the all-weather over the winter, and although Stuart Williams’ charge struggled subsequently, he has returned from a break in good form back on turf where he has hit the crossbar on both outings at Newmarket in recent weeks.
Possibly just in need of the return in July where the Shamardal gelding finished around four lengths behind Seductive Moment, he stepped up on that effort to go down only by a half-length latest behind Humble Gratitude.
He looked tricky on that occasion, travelling well into the race but hanging right under pressure and perhaps he didn’t quite go through with his finishing effort. However, he could be worth chancing to exploit this current mark given he is due to go up 3lbs in future races, and this looks a decent opportunity for him to get back on the scoreboard.
5.30 – Wyclif
6.00 – Shammah
6.30 – Pinnata
7.00 – Harmonise
7.30 – Yarrow Gate
8.00 – Evening Attire