Thursday 29 August horse racing tips – Dods’ 5/2 chance can blow away Carlisle rivals in hat-trick bid
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Thursday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
The racing action cranks up a notch on Thursday with seven UK and Irish horse racing meetings going to post, with the afternoon flat racing action coming courtesy of Carlisle and Ffos Las, while Chelmsford race on the all-weather.
In the evening meanwhile are jumps fixtures at Fontwell and Sedgefield, as well as Bellewstown in Ireland; while Tipperary are also racing in Ireland on the flat where there is both Listed and Group Three action.
Ffos Las (flat) – 1.20 – 4.20pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 1.30 – 4.30pm (7 races)
Carlisle (flat) – 1.40 – 5.15pm (8 races)
Bellewstown (jumps) – 4.05 – 7.40pm (8 races)
Fontwell (jumps) – 4.35 – 7.35pm (7 races)
Sedgefield (jumps) – 4.50 – 7.50pm (7 races)
Tipperary (flat) – 4.55 – 7.55pm (7 races)
(2.20) TAWAAFOQ (11/4, Bet365) has returned from a break in decent fettle, making the frame in starts at Chepstow and Brighton prior to getting back on the scoresheet latest at Bath eight days ago where the Showcasing gelding ran out a head winner over Cathadeans Fury.
Alex Wintle’s charge was a dual-winner for Mick Quinn prior to joining this yard, and the application of a hood appears to have elicited some improvement judging on his latest runs.
A 5lbs penalty for that last success leaves him still with some scope to improve from a handicapping perspective, and he can give another good account of himself here.
(3.20) ALIGNAK (10/11, Ladbrokes) looked in need of his first run at Newmarket last October where Sir Michael Stoute’s charge could only beat one rival home.
However, like so many from the yard the Sea The Moon colt showed the benefit of that experience to find only one too good next time out back in May behind Humanitarian where he was beaten less than one length. That form looks pretty strong now with the third, fourth, sixth and eighth horses home winning eight times between them since.
The winner of that race was also though worthy of a couple of cracks in Group company, finishing seventh in the Epsom Derby, and with the potential for further improvement to come he ought to prove hard to beat here with the step up in trip likely to be in his favour.
1.20 – Endless Joy
1.50 – Cotubanama
2.20 – Tawaafoq
2.50 – It’s Good To Laugh
3.20 – Alignak
3.50 – Tavus
4.20 – Set Point Charlie
(2.30) DESERT FOX (3/1, Paddy Power) was a winner here back in May, beating Daring Guest by a half-length over this trip, and Michael Murphy’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.
The Foxwedge gelding bounced back from a couple of lesser runs over seven furlongs here and also on turf over this trip at Yarmouth to go close back over course and distance latest where he was beaten only a half-length behind Creek Harbour, and a repeat of that effort might be good enough here.
A 4lbs rise in the weights is offset by his rider’s claim, and the application of cheekpieces for the first time could also help him to find some improvement. He ought to remain competitive and it would be no surprise to see him firmly in the mix here.
(3.30) KING POWER (Evens, Bet365) was set a stiff task in the Italian Oaks on her last outing, but Andrew Balding’s charge had looked a progressive sort previously and the Frankel filly can get back on the scoresheet here.
Runner-up on her return to action at Sandown behind Sparkle Roll, she finished third in the Lingfield Oaks Trial behind Anapurna prior to that Italian mission, and on those pieces of form she looks to hold solid claims.
The ground at Lingfield was probably against her, but she can do better switching to the all-weather and if taking to the surface she ought to prove a tough nut to crack.
1.30 – Hashtagmetoo
2.00 – Solar Heights
2.30 – Desert Fox
3.00 – Surf Dancer
3.30 – King Power
4.00 – Done Deal
4.30 – Shifting Gold
5.00 – Eagle Queen
(2.10) BLACK CASPIAN (5/2, Paddy Power) showed the benefit of his debut at York back in June to find only one too good at Haydock on his second start, and Kevin Ryan’s charge can get off the mark at the third attempt.
The Dark Angel colt was beaten five lengths behind Lord Of The Lodge, and that rival proved to be a smart sort when chasing home Threat in the Gimcrack at York last week so the form looks strong.
Entries in Listed and Group Two contests later in the season suggest he’s a well-regarded sort, and likely to continue to improve he could well be a tough nut to crack here as he bids for a first career win.
(2.40) GALE FORCE MAYA (5/2, William Hill) is one of two strong runners in this contest for Michael Dods, but the Gale Force Ten filly edges the verdict and can land a hat-trick of wins following earlier successes over course and distance.
Latterly a half-length winner over Tenax where she looked to score with something to spare, she could still be fairly treated despite a 3lbs rise in the weights, and there may be further improvement to come from her while she is in such good heart.
Paul Mulrennan presumedly had the pick of the Dods pair and has elected to ride the selection over the yard’s Pendleton, and given her potential for better still she is perhaps worth chancing to strike again here.
1.40 – Ninjago
2.10 – Black Caspian
2.40 – Gale Force Maya
3.10 – Olympic Conquerer
3.40 – Sir Havelock
4.10 – Al Erayg
4.45 – Frankster
5.15 – Donnelly’s Rainbow
(4.40) CARRIE DES CHAMPS (5/2, William Hill) has shown herself already to be a potentially smart sort over hurdles, winning two of her three starts which include at Southwell latest where the Robin Des Champs mare beat The Distant Lady by an easy ten lengths.
She overcame some lacklustre jumping on that occasion, but Gordon Elliott’s charge could prove a tough nut to crack nonetheless here where she could have better still to come.
Her jumping will have to improve if she’s to reach her full potential, and she has shown some frailties in that department; but with the potential for improvement she ought to go well in this contest, and no surprise if she strikes again.
(5.40) LUCKY ROAD (4/1, Bet365) has found some improvement from out of the blue, and Gavin Cromwell’s charge arrives here on a hat-trick of wins having already been successful at Sligo and Killarney in July.
The Salutino gelding ran out a nine lengths’ winner over Cailean’s Angel at Sligo prior to following up under a penalty with a half-length victory over Give Battle despite some late mistakes. That form has been boosted by wins from the runner-up and fourth, as well as the seventh and ninth horses home who have all struck since.
The handicapper certainly hasn’t missed him with an 11lbs rise in the weights, but given his current good spell of form he looks worth siding with again to land his three-timer.
4.05 – Elegant Dawn
4.40 – Carrie Des Champs
5.10 – Days Without End
5.40 – Lucky Road
6.10 – Bay Hill
6.40 – Sicario
7.10 – Bye Bye O Bye
7.40 – Tudors Glory
(5.05) MOUNTAIN OF ANGELS (9/4, Paddy Power) returned from ten months off the track to score at Southwell in June, but the Midnight Legend mare could only finish third when next seen out at Ffos Las in July although the longer trip might have stretched her stamina.
Evan William’s charge eases back in distance for this latest outing, and the handicapper has dropped her 2lbs in the weights which gives her a chance here.
First blinkers are also applied which might help to elicit some further improvement, and given a short break she can bounce back from that last outing with a better run.
(6.05) This could go to KINGS TEMPTATION (6/5, William Hill) who won over course and distance back in May, and the King’s Theatre gelding has made the frame in two of his three starts since returning from a short break and wind surgery.
Ben Case’s charge latterly finished nine lengths’ runner-up behind Mr Mafia at Southwell, no match for the easy winner but finishing clear of the third horse home. That performance has earned her 1lb drop in the ratings and she can remain competitive in a race that probably won’t take a great deal of winning.
4.35 – Glimpse Of Gold
5.05 – Mountain Of Angels
5.35 – Ulysses
6.05 – Kings Temptation
6.35 – Victarion
7.05 – Ennistown
7.35 – Do You Know What
(5.20) MY RENAISSANCE (9/4, William Hill) has largely been out of sorts since winning over fences at Cartmel last July, but Sam Drake’s charge could be worth chancing to bounce back in a poor race at a venue where he has goner well in the past.
The Medicean gelding was last seen over fences finishing fourth of five runners behind Ardera Cross at Cartmel back in July, after which he went close on the all-weather when beaten less than two lengths into third behind Melgate Majeure.
He disappointed back over hurdles earlier in the month at Sedgefield, but he returns to chasing from a mark that certainly isn’t beyond him if he can recapture his best. None of this quintet arrive in any great heart, but he is a better chaser than hurdler and this won’t take much winning so he is chanced to do better and end his winless streak.
(6.20) FLYING VERSE (10/3, Ladbrokes) won three times last term over hurdles, and although he acquitted himself well in defeat in the wake of his last success at Bangor last October, he was possibly in the handicapper’s grip.
David Dennis’ charge shaped better than the bare result on his first chase start at Ffos Las back in July, and he duly stepped up on that experience to beat Exxaro next time at Newton Abbot, winning by five lengths.
On that evidence he looks capable of defying a 4lbs rise in the weights with the prospect of further improvement to come in this discipline, and he can follow up here.
4.50 – Pads
5.20 – My Renaissance
5.50 – Charming Dream
6.20 – Flying Verse
6.50 – Prince Khurram
7.20 – Prince Kayf
7.50 – Ourmullion
(5.25) TASALKA (5/2, Ladbrokes) represents a yard in decent form, and the Lope De Vega filly can get off the mark here.
Dermot Weld’s charge offered plenty to work on when finishing fourth at the Curragh back in July, and she stepped up on that experience to find only Ridenza too strong next time upped to seven furlongs at Leopardstown earlier in August.
Beaten just over one length there, this slightly stiffer seven furlongs could offer up some further improvement and it would be no surprise to see her getting off the mark at the third attempt with the potential for better still.
(5.55) SKITTER SCATTER (9/4, Paddy Power) may have been amiss when making her seasonal return at Newmarket back in May, but that run came in the 1000 Guineas and the Scat Daddy filly can be forgiven that run.
She had showed really progressive form as a juvenile, winning three of her five starts which included a Group One success at the Curragh in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, and she could prove a tough nut to crack on her return and if back to her best.
It is too soon to write her off following that lacklustre outing, and while she may need this latest return to action she is surely capable of better for John Oxx so she is chanced to bounce back to winning form here.
4.55 – Bellsinthewood
5.25 – Tasalka
5.55 – Skitter Scatter
6.25 – Lily Lily Rose
6.55 – Hit The Bid
7.25 – Lancaster House
7.55 – Irradiate