Thursday 3 October horse racing tips – Watson’s 11/10 chance could be hard to beat at Wolverhampton
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for each of Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
A fixture list of five UK and Irish horse racing meetings awaits punters on Thursday, and the afternoon action sees all-weather racing from Lingfield’s polytrack surface following the loss of Salisbury’s scheduled fixture on the flat.
There is also jumps racing action in the afternoon from Warwick, as well as Clonmel in Ireland; while in the evening there is another double-header of all-weather fixtures with meetings at Wolverhampton on tapeta, and Chelmsford on the all-weather.
Lingfield (flat, aw) – 1.40 – 4.55pm (7 races)
Clonmel (jumps) – 1.45 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Warwick (jumps) – 2.00 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.10 – 8.15pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
(2.10) IMPERIAL EMPIRE (5/2, William Hill) has shown race-by-race progress, getting off the mark latest when out-pointing the reopposing Forbidden Land at Sandown in August, and Charlie Appleby’s charge may be able to follow up here.
The Dubawi colt overhauled the runner-up late in the day to score by a short-head, all out to win. He was in receipt of 3lbs that day from the runner-up and he is 1lb worse off with Richard Hannon’s rival now.
However, he could be worth chancing to find the improvement needed to confirm that earlier form, and this step up to one mile could be the catalyst for better so every chance he can go in again.
(3.15) ROVANIEMI (11/4, Bet365) shaped with considerable promise on his debut on the turf course at this venue back in August, finding only one too good behind Johan, and the Oasis Dream colt can go one better here given that he is sure to improve for the experience.
David Simcock’s charge was beaten just over three lengths on that occasion, travelling well through the race before finding less than expected and he was hanging under pressure.
The winner has won again since to give the form something of a boost, and open to plenty of promise switching to polytrack then he could prove a tough nut to crack given his potential for better to come.
1.40 – Recondite
2.10 – Imperial Empire
2.45 – Almahha
3.15 – Rovaniemi
3.50 – Black Medick
4.20 – Brogans Bay
4.55 – Road To Paris
(2.20) ABBI SHORE (14/1, Paddy Power) has shown some ability in two hurdles starts for Joseph O’Brien, finishing sixth on debut at Bellewstown in July and then bettering that result and performance following a short break when crossing the line in fourth behind Quarry Lil over this course and distance last month.
The Schiaparelli mare wasn’t helped by a couple of jumping errors in that last outing; but she ought to continue to improve with experience and she could be worth chancing at a decent price to get off the mark at the third attempt in a pretty moderate contest.
(4.00) MINELLA TIMES (2/1, William Hill) could be the answer in a tricky contest, and the Oscar gelding can get off the mark over fences.
Henry de Bromhead’s charge won over hurdles at Kilbeggan last May, and he has been lightly raced since with just seven subsequent outings which include three over fences.
The latest of those came at Galway in August where he finished around eight lengths’ fourth behind Dandy Mag and he sets the standard on his form to date over the larger obstacles. He could be worth chancing to find further improvement stepped up to three miles, and he can give a good account.
1.50 – Gun Merchant
2.20 – Abbi Shore
2.55 – Boro Melody
3.25 – Premier D’Troice
4.00 – Minella Times
4.30 – Kavanaghs Corner
5.00 – Could Be Trouble
(2.35) FLINCK (11/4, William Hill) had shaped with some promise on his debut over hurdles at Exeter last December, finishing fifth of 12 runners behind Ask The Weatherman; Philip Hobbs’ charge duly showed the benefit of that experience to finish just two lengths’ third next time at Taunton behind Birds Of Prey.
He was arguably unlucky on that occasion as he was hampered over the last hurdle and stumbled badly, losing valuable momentum as a consequence, although he kept on well to hold on for the bronze-medal.
The Fame And Glory gelding looks the type who could improve further this season with those outings unlikely to have been lost on him, and he could take another forward step here to get off the mark at the third attempt in a moderate-looking contest.
(3.05) NUBE NEGRA (4/1, Ladbrokes) is a fairly useful sort over fences, but his progress seemed to stall last term where he was winless in four starts, including in the Scottish Champion Hurdle.
A dual-winner during the 2017/8 season, Dan Skelton’s Dink gelding switches to chasing now for his return to action, and the larger obstacles could elicit some improvement in the five-year old.
If he can translate the pick of his hurdles form to fences at the first attempt then the 2018 Fred Winter Hurdle third could make a winning transition to chasing despite some interesting rivals in opposition, and he can give trainer Dan Skelton back-to-back wins in the race.
2.00 – Arrivederci
2.35 – Flinck
3.05 – Nube Negra
3.40 – Stony Stream
4.40 – Chasma
4.45 – Bannixtown Glory
5.20 – Truckers Pass
(5.45) HASSAAD (11/10, Coral) was far from disgraced on her debut and sole start for Owen Burrows, finishing third of eleven runners behind Alhakman on the turf course at Lingfield, and Archie Watson’s charge showed the benefit of that experience to get off the mark at the second attempt when running out an easy nine lengths’ winner at Brighton last month where she struck by nine lengths.
She won in the manner of a potentially useful sort, and she should have more to offer having looked suited by the quicker ground, and she is sure to improve again for that success.
While she beat little at Brighton, travelling well and readily asserting over her two rivals, she ought to be hard to deny a second straight success if handling this tapeta.
(6.15) PRESTBURY PARK (11/8, William Hill) emerged from a spell in the doldrums to win easily at Pontefract late in September, running out a ready seven lengths’ winner over Hawaam, and connections quickly turn the Shamardal gelding out in a bid to follow up.
He has to back up that winning run however, and he has to do so from 5lbs higher in the weights; but if he were to turn up here in similar mood to Pontefract then he could well strike again, and he is still well-in at the weights despite his additional burden.
If that recent run hasn’t taking anything from him then he ought to prove tough to beat in his attempt to win again.
5.10 – Blue Venture
5.45 – Hassaad
6.15 – Prestbury Park
6.45 – Made Of Honour
7.15 – Homesick Boy
7.45 – Canasta
8.15 – Zero To Hero
(6.00) TWO HEARTS (11/8, William Hill) is yet to finish out of the first three horses home since being switched to handicaps, and Grant Tuer’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.
The Havana Gold gelding opened his account when successful at Wolverhampton in August, beating Port Noir by a nose, after which he was denied by less than one length from following up at Redcar last month behind Solemn Pledge.
He sets a decent standard for the others to aim at, while he turns out here from the same mark as last time – due to go up 5lbs – and he may be able to take advantage if handling the switch to polytrack.
(6.30) SOUTH COAST (6/5, Paddy Power) shaped with some promise at Kempton on her debut back in August, finishing fifth behind Miss Yoda, and Saeed bin Suroor’s charge stepped up for the experience to chase home Gold Souk at Epsom later that month despite still looking green.
The Epsom undulations may not have suited the daughter of War Front, but she can find another jolt of improvement on the back of that latest outing to go one better returned to polytrack and a more even track.
She ought to improve again, and no surprise to see her getting off the mark now at the third attempt.
5.30 – Predictable Tully
6.00 – Two Hearts
6.30 – South Coast
7.00 – Air Force Amy
7.30 – Aluqair
8.00 – Desert Fox
8.30 – Storm Lightning