Tuesday 17 September horse racing tips – Appleby’s 5/2 chance can Sea off Yarmouth rivals
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Tuesday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
A further five UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Tuesday where the afternoon flat racing action comes from Redcar, Yarmouth and Chepstow; while in Ireland there is a twilight fixture at Galway on the level where there is Listed action on the card.
Completing Tuesday’s line-up of horse racing meetings is an evening meeting on the all-weather at Newcastle.
Redcar (flat) – 2.00 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Yarmouth (flat) – 2.10 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Chepstow (flat) – 2.20 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Galway (flat) – 4.15 – 7.15pm (7 races)
Newcastle (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
(2.30) LIGHT THE FUSE (11/4, William Hill) stepped up on some decent form in maiden and novice company to go close on his handicap debut at Epsom last month, beaten less than one length behind Good Job Power; and the Dandy Man colt could be worth chancing here to get off the mark.
Karl Burke’s charge kept on well behind an impressive winner although he was ultimately no match for that one who scored comfortably; but he was four lengths’ clear of the third and a subsequent 3lbs rise in the weights remains workable.
First-time cheekpieces are deployed here in hope of delivering some progress, and with him appearing to go the right way now in handicaps he could go one better here.
(3.00) ATHOLLBLAIR BOY (7/4, William Hill) ran a cracker in a stronger race than this during the Doncaster St Leger Festival, and assuming this doesn’t come too soon then Nigel Tinkler’s charge can get back to winning ways eased back down in grade.
The Frozen Power gelding has proven himself a consistent performer this campaign, winning twice which includes at Doncaster in June, and he finished fourth on his previous visit to this Cleveland track.
He found only the tough Saluti too strong latest, beaten a neck under this rider, and he turns out here from the same mark so could take advantage if coping with two quick runs in succession.
2.00 – River Cam
2.30 – Light The Fuse
3.00 – Athollblair Boy
3.30 – Golden Parade
4.00 – Star Shield
4.30 – Call Me Ginger
5.00 – Jan De Heem
(3.40) SEA OF MYSTERY (5/2, Ladbrokes) has looked more at home over shorter trips the last twice, finding only one too strong at Brighton in September and then getting off the mark at Leicester latest when beating Orange Suit by three-parts of a length.
Michael Appleby’s charge appeared to win a shade readily on that occasion, and the runner-up has since won to give the form a boost so the Sea The Stars gelding looks to hold solid claims of a follow up here.
He escapes a penalty for that last-time success, while his rider can utilise his full 7lbs claim for this assignment so may well prove a tough nut to crack, and every chance he can follow up that last-time win here.
(4.40) INVINCIBLE LARNE (4/1, Unibet) has been steadily progressive this term, making the frame in each of his last four outings which includes a win here last month where the Invincible Spirit colt ran out a four lengths’ winner over Phoenix Star.
Mick Quinn’s charge subsequently found only one too good on the Chelmsford all-weather latest, beaten around two lengths, but a return to this venue could rekindle the winning spark and he may be able to regain the winning thread.
His last-time conquerer looked a decent prospect, and while his impressive breakthrough success came over five furlongs, he shaped latest as if this trip was very much within his scope and he could take advantage turning out quickly from the same mark.
Assuming this doesn’t come too soon just five days on, he can quickly get back on the scoresheet here.
2.10 – Striding Edge
2.40 – Tiger Crusade
3.10 – El Misk
3.40 – Sea Of Mystery
4.10 – Imhotep
4.40 – Invincible Larne
5.10 – Merry Banter
(3.20) BROKEN RIFLE (11/4, William Hill) has finished no better than fourth in any of his three starts to date, but Ivan Furtado’s charge could be worth chancing to break his duck now that he tries handicapping.
The Havana Gold gelding most recently finished fourth behind Don’t Stop Dancing at this venue in July, beaten around four lengths, and that form has been significantly franked by the runner-up and third both winning twice since.
Possibly given too much to do on that occasion although the slow pace may not have helped either, he could find improvement trying a handicap now where an opening 72 might not overfaze him; while cheekpieces added to the mix could offer further scope to progress in a race where he may get more of a strong pace to aim at this time around.
(4.50) CANFORD ART (2/1, Bet365) has posted decent efforts in his past couple of starts, finishing a good fifth in a big-field handicap at Navan before getting off the mark on turf at Limerick next time where the Canford Cliffs filly ran out a one length winner.
Peter Fahey’s charge then went to Down Royal to chase home Very Smart, beaten a neck in a race that has thrown up several subsequent winners and where he was only run down late in the day over that seven furlongs trip.
He is only 1lb higer in the weights for this Welsh raid, but he is thoroughly unexposed at this trip and could have more to offer now he faces more of a test of stamina. He could have more still to offer, and it would be no surprise to see him going close here.
2.20 – Prevent
2.50 – Renegade Master
3.20 – Broken Rifle
3.50 – Festival Day
4.20 – Daryana
4.50 – Canford Art
5.20 – Give Battle
(4.45) Dermot Weld loves having winners at Galway, and BASHIYR (7/4, Paddy Power) could be the answer to a tricky contest where the Invincible Spirit gelding is far less exposed than his rivals although there are a couple of improving types in opposition.
Twice-raced, he got off the mark at the second attempt when scoring at Gowran Park earlier in the month, beating Miss Clash having finished runner-up on debut over the same course and distance in August.
That win came on soft ground so there is strong hope that this heavy ground won’t be an issue for him, and he has the scope to improve considerably on his two outings to date where he can follow up with a second career win.
(6.15) SIMPLY BEAUTIFUL (15/8, William Hill) could be worth chancing to get back on the scoresheet having performed with credit in Group Three company the last twice, and Aidan O’Briens’ charge has made the frame in both her starts to date in Listed company so should be capable of a big run here.
A winner at Naas back in June, the Galileo filly has been kept busy this campaign, and this will be her tenth outing of the season so there is a slight chance she may be beginning to feel her exertions; but she wasn’t disgraced in finishing fifth latest at the Curragh in the Snow Fairy Stakes behind Goddess where the shorter trip might have been too sharp a test.
The front three in that race have gone on to finish 2nd, 3rd and 5th in the recent Blandford Stakes, and she was just over one length behind the placed horses so the form looks decent.
She had finished runner-up over this trip the time before, and now in receipt of weight for age as she drops back to Listed level and returns to a more suitable trip then she can go close here if her busy season doesn’t begin to catch her up.
4.15 – Persia
4.45 – Bashiyr
5.15 – Voyageofdiscovery
5.45 – Shehreen
6.15 – Simply Beautiful
6.45 – Molly Kaye
7.15 – Angel Fish
(6.00) DEAL A DOLLAR (2/1, Bet365) finished runner-up here back in May, beaten a head behind Kashagan, after which he may just have needed his return from three months off at Goodwood when finishing sixth lengths’ seventh behind Aktau.
Sir Michael Stoute’s charge built on that effort to win next time at Kempton, fitted with first-time blinkers to beat Grey D’ars by a length, and the Frankel colt went close to a repeat win at Wolverhampton latest when denied only by a half-length behind Cantiniere.
That was a better run than it appeared given he met some trouble in running, but he could be worth siding with here to get back on the scoresheet given he remains open to improvment.
(7.30) FIERY MISSION (11/4, William Hill) hasn’t found as much progress as hoped on the back of his debut third behind Vasiliev at Windsor in June, but Sir Michael Stoute’s charge could show some improvement switched to handicaps now.
The Noble Mission colt was latterly beaten around five lengths behind Roman Stone at Carlisle last month, but the soft ground there may not have seen him to best effect and he could do better now tackling the all-weather.
He finished fourth on polytrack previously, beaten some nine lengths behind Lady Lawyer where he wasn’t helped by being hampered, and the winner and runner-up have both won since. A mark of 72 for his handicap debut looks very workable judging on what he has shown thus far, and it wouldn’t come as much of a surprise if he were to find some improvement now.
5.30 – Ad Libitum
6.00 – Deal A Dollar
6.30 – Ravenscar
7.00 – Faakhirah
7.30 – Fiery Mission
8.00 – Rochford
8.30 – Be Proud