Tuesday 8 October horse racing tips – Johnston’s 11/10 chance can chalk up Brighton success
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Tuesday’s UK and Irish horse racing fixtures.
Five meetings again go to post on Tuesday with afternoon action on the flat from the meetings at Leicester, Brighton and Catterick; while over the sticks there is a fixture in Ireland at Galway.
Completing the Tuesday line-up is an all-weather fixture on the polytrack at Chelmsford.
Leicester (flat) – 1.50 – 5.35pm (8 races)
Brighton (flat) – 2.00 – 5.15pm (7 races)
Galway (jumps) – 2.05 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Catterick (flat) – 2.10 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 4.40 – 8.10pm (8 races)
(3.25) SPIRIT RIDGE (9/4, William Hill) won two of his four starts last term, including at this venue in October where the Nathaniel gelding beat Scaramanga by a half-length on his handicap debut.
Amanda Perrett’s charge hasn’t managed to add to his tally, but he wasn’t beaten far into the runner-up berth latest at Newmarket behind Dramatic Device and a repeat of that run might be good enough to see him get off the mark for the season and add to his winning tally.
He tried to make all the running that day, and he was only denied late when run down by the winner. However, he could get his own way up front here, while he remains low mileage and could have more to offer so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him get back on the scoresheet.
(5.05) EPONINA (13/2, Paddy Power) has been running better than his bare results might suggest, and Michael Appleby’s charge could go one better than her latest runner-up effort behind Harvest Day at Thirsk where he struck by a half-length.
The Zoffany mare was a soft ground winner back in June at Chester, and her overall record in the mud is solid so these conditions will be right up her street and she may be able to go one better where she is only 1lb higher in the weights than when posting that runner-up effort last time.
This looks easier than that last outing, while she drops back to seven furlongs which might suit having only been run down late last time. She has won here in the past also, while she remains fairly treated on her best form so every chance that she can regain the winning thread in an ordinary contest.
1.50 – Tavus
2.20 – Max Guevara
2.55 – Tarboosh
3.25 – Spirit Ridge
4.00 – Karisoke
4.35 – Zapper Cass
5.05 – Eponina
(2.30) OVERWRITE (11/10, Bet365) stepped up on his debut seventh to show marked improvement in finding only Strait Of Hormuz too strong at Chester last month, and Mark Johnston’s charge could get off the mark at the third attempt.
The Zebedee gelding was beaten just over one length that day, perhaps doing too much too soon; but he still crossed the line clear of the third and open to further improvement on the back of that effort he could prove tough to beat here.
(3.35) HERODOTUS (6/1, William Hill) shaped well on his debut over seven furlongs here last month, beaten five lengths behind Ziggle Pops but looking in need of the experience; Andrew Balding’s charge can build on that effort to go one better here.
The Iffraaj colt steps up in trip following that initial outing which certainly suggested he may improve for a longer trip, and likely to progress on the back of that promising first run then it wouldn’t be a huge shock to see him post another big run where his experience of this undulating track could reap dividends.
2.00 – Global Agreement
2.30 – Overwrite
3.05 – Silverturnstogold
3.35 – Herodotus
4.10 – Cafe Sydney
4.45 – Royal Dancer
5.15 – Pocket Warrior
(2.35) CASH ME OUTSIDE (11/2, Paddy Power) returns from a break, but the Oscar mare had been in good fettle prior to her absence with a pair of runner-up efforts prior to a win at Wexford where she ran out a half-length winner over Capture The Action.
Paul Nolans’ charge found plenty for pressure to see off a field which included a next-time winner, and a mark of 102 switching to the handicap ranks may not overestimate her given that she has the potential to do better still.
Assuming her break hasn’t taken the edge off her and she turns out here fully wound up then it isn’t hard to imagine her running a big race and she can follow up that last win with another one here.
(3.10) DUMHACH THRA (7/2, Bet365) posted a career-best effort to get off the mark here last month, beating Sizing Malbay by four lengths, and with the potential to improve further on the back of that success the Milan gelding can follow up.
Mags Mullins’ charge was a bumper winner at Tramore last June, and although he’s taken some time to get to grips with hurdling he posted a much better run on his second start in a handicap where he found only one too good over course and distance before opening his account latest.
The ground was soft that day and conditions will be similar here; while a 9lbs rise could prove lenient given that he appeared to score readily and had a subsequent winner behind him. Further improvement ought to see him go close then, and he can double up here to strike again.
2.05 – Atlantic Shore
2.35 – Cash Me Outside
3.10 – Dumhach Thra
3.40 – Gun Digger
4.15 – Fine Brunello
4.50 – Damut
5.20 – Seanbhothar
(2.45) SHEPHERDS WAY (6/4, William Hill) was only beaten a neck behind the reopposing Lara Silver nine days ago at Musselburgh when attempting to concede 3lbs; however, on these revised weights Michael Dods’ charge could be worth siding with to reverse that form.
The Dark Angel filly had won the time before at Musselburgh when beating Summer Heights, and she was only run down late latest by Ian Jardine’s charge who carries a penalty here.
There may not be much to split the pair again, but the Dods runner is taken to gain revenge with the weights more in her favour than last time.
(3.50) Charles Byrnes can make a successful raid on Catterick with MR SMITH (11/8, William Hill) who struck on his last outing on the flat at Carlisle back in June, and the Galileo gelding has since gone back-to-back over hurdles with wins at Galway and Roscommon latterly.
He had 12 lengths to spare latest, and he remains well treated at the weights back on the level where he is 6lbs higher than when successful last time out, although a good 5lbs claimer helps to alleviate some of that burden here.
If he can continue in the sort of form he has been showing of late then he could defy this higher mark, and it would be no surprise to see another big run.
2.10 – Mighty Spirit
2.45 – Shepherds Way
3.15 – Mischief Star
3.50 – Mr Smith
4.25 – Black Friday
4.55 – Breathable
5.30 – I’ll Be Good
(5.10) HIDDEN SPELL (11/4, Ladbrokes) has been running well in defeat in all four career starts, most recently finishing around three lengths’ third behind Jeanie B at Pontefract last month.
Karl Burke’s Dandy Man filly was hampered late in that contest, and she was only beaten a neck behind a subsequent winner so she could well get off the mark now if switching to polytrack.
On her form to date she arguably sets the standard for the others to match, and still with the potential to improve further she could be worth siding with here to open her win account.
(5.40) Those with experience don’t set the bar particularly high on their respective exploits so newcomer SECRET VICTORY (7/4, William Hill) can make a winning start for the Charlie Appleby camp with the stable operating at almost a 1 in 3 strike-rate with its’ juveniles this campaign.
The well-bred Dubawi colt is related to the smart Royal Line as well as Group Two winner Masterstroke, and he probably wouldn’t need to be anything out of the ordinary on his first outing for his top yard to collect this prize.
4.40 – Dragon Command
5.10 – Hidden Spell
5.40 – Secret Victory
6.10 – Arctic Sound
6.40 – Jeweller
7.10 – To The Moon
7.40 – Falls Creek
8.10 – Masai Spirit