January 30 / 13.32 Southwell (AW)

13.32

Standard

Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Light rain

4/1 (Won)

  • Win: £6.00
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 3239-2 C

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Two wins over further last summer; has run some good races over 1m at Kempton since September but he is edging up the weights and needs another step forward to win.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

4

(1)

12th May 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

19:20 Lingfield (AW)

Frostmagic

9st 7lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Ismail Mohammed

Handy sort who has mainly run well since the autumn, including a win at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) in January and a good third of ten on last month's Beverley return (7f, good to firm); shouldn't be far away.

5/1

3rd

7

(4)

23rd Apr 2026

Good

0m 7f 96y

Class 4

15:22 Beverley

Frostmagic

9st 7lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Ismail Mohammed

Has won over middle distances, including on turf, but seems to need shorter nowadays and made all over 1m at Southwell (AW) when last seen; could make a bold bid on this track provided he again goes from the front; stable going very well (3-5 with big LSP) this month; respected.

7/2

1st

6

(9)

30th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

13:32 Southwell (AW)

Frostmagic

9st 7lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Ismail Mohammed

Two wins over further last summer; has run some good races over 1m at Kempton since September but he is edging up the weights and needs another step forward to win.

4/1

12/1

  • Place: £5.10

Form: 12632- C

Last run: 274 days

W: 8st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 64

Form & Verdict
His four wins have come here but over 7f; stays 1m but back from nine months off may not be the time to catch him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

(5)

17th Oct 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

King Of York

9st 4lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Scott Dixon

Has done all his winning over C&D, most recently off 4lb higher in February; midfield in the latest of his two starts since returning from summer break; good chance if staging a full revival.

14/1

9th

4

(8)

24th Sep 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

King Of York

9st 9lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Scott Dixon

Five-time 7f winner here and on his last winning mark (February); wasn't in great form back in the spring but has gone well after a break.

16/1

8th

4

(7)

25th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

20:30 Southwell (AW)

King Of York

9st 6lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Scott Dixon

Five-time 7f winner here (well suited by a good test over that trip) who's currently 0-17 over C&D; patchy since a win here off 1lb lower in February and others have more pressing claims.

16/1

5/2

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 1121-1 CD

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Four wins (including over C&D) and a second from his last five starts; better than ever with a smooth Wolverhampton win four weeks ago; conditions to suit and another big run should be forthcoming.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

5

(11)

13th Sep 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Bath

Tonal

9st 8lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Ian Williams

Six-time AW winner who got off the mark on turf when overcoming a slow start and some trouble at Ffos Las in June (extended 7f); 5lb higher but remains 16lb beneath his AW mark.

9/2

1st

4

(5)

30th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 80y

Class 6

19:39 Ffos Las

Tonal

9st 11lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ian Williams

Won five times during the AW season; much better treated on turf now but has never been as good or consistent on grass, and he ran poorly at Yarmouth when last seen; Billy Loughnane is a positive booking but he wouldn't want too much rain.

6/1

10th

5

(1)

13th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

14:08 Yarmouth

Tonal

9st 6lb

J: Ryan Kavanagh

T: Ian Williams

Has won five times on the AW since October, most recently at Chelmsford (1m, AW; second has won since) in March, and another solid effort at Southwell last month; 0-9 on grass but he's on a much lower mark on this surface.

5/1

OUR TIP

9/2

Form: 23531- CD

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Game effort to win a C&D handicap six weeks ago and a 3lb rise looks fair given the Topspeed figure and the subsequent wins of the second (twice), fourth, fifth and seventh; solid claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(6)

17th Sep 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

16:08 Pontefract

Hale End

10st 0lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Michael Dods

Ayr winner in July (1m, good to firm) and solid runs since then off today's 5lb higher mark, finishing just ahead of Milteye (Walsingham further back) on his return to Ayr and then beating all bar a Prescott 3yo on the AW; hard to knock.

7/1

2nd

1

(5)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

19:10 Southwell (AW)

Hale End

10st 0lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: Michael Dods

Gained his seventh success when winning at Ayr (1m, good to firm) in July and ran another solid race there last month off the same mark as today's; respected but he is yet to win off a mark this high.

7/1

4th

7

(5)

8th Aug 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:00 Ayr

Hale End

9st 4lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Michael Dods

Kept on well for a seventh career success over C&D 19 days ago but he's gone back up 5lb and has never won anything better than a Class 5; others preferred.

13/2

10/1

Form: 01534- D

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Smooth win in a 1m handicap at Newcastle in October; respectable efforts in Class 4 events at Newcastle on her last two runs; respected back down in class.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(2)

5th Oct 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 5

16:21 Pontefract

Selection

10st 0lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ivan Furtado

Lost out only by a nose off today's mark over C&D (good to soft) in May and returned from break with pretty good fourth at Ayr (1m, soft) last month; features prominently in calculations.

4/1

4th

1

(11)

17th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:30 Ayr

Selection

10st 0lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ivan Furtado

4yo filly who went close over 1m at Pontefract (good to soft) but faded into a well-held fifth there in June; off since.

14/1

6th
1 (10)
Qazaq

12/1

Form: 7708-9 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Won his first three starts for Roger Varian, including a C&D handicap off a 14lb higher mark, but he failed to fire in 2025 and has finished down the field in four runs since joining Iain Jardine; now drops into a Class 5 and market support would pique interest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(5)

6th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

15:30 Ayr

Qazaq

9st 5lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Iain Jardine

Three AW wins; 0-9 on turf but has a 7f race in him on grass on best form in the spring and had another troubled run at Beverley on Friday; has worn various aids on last two starts, goes without this time.

11/2

11th

3

(7)

3rd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 96y

Class 6

20:40 Beverley

Qazaq

9st 8lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Iain Jardine

On a long losing run as he's winless since 2024; ran okay in a new hood/cheekpieces combination at Musselburgh but has another change of headgear now; others probably safer.

10/1

3rd

2

(1)

22nd Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 15y

Class 6

15:15 Musselburgh

Qazaq

10st 2lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Iain Jardine

On a long losing run but he looked an unlucky second over C&D in April and hasn't enjoyed the rub of the green since, short of room last 1f when fifth at Catterick (7f) last time; weighted to go well off a reduced mark with cheekpieces added (hood also refitted).

7/2

14/1

Form: 8074-5

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
He has run some fair races in defeat for his new stable and his mark continues to ease; may need a drop into Class 6 before he is of serious interest though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(2)

26th Sep 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Packetofbiscuits

9st 12lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: John Mackie

Proved resurgent with close second at Yarmouth (1m) last week; scored twice over C&D in February; possibilities returned to this scenario, provided he backs up the latest effort.

4/1

2nd

1

(4)

17th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 3y

Class 5

17:15 Yarmouth

Packetofbiscuits

10st 0lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: John Mackie

Won twice over 7f on AW in February and seemed to have emerged from worrying slump in form when sixth at Thirsk (7f, good to soft) this month; needs to build on that effort but is on a good mark and 1m also suits.

16/1

6th

7

(4)

5th Sep 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:35 Thirsk

Packetofbiscuits

9st 1lb

J: Finlay Bassett

T: John Mackie

Won a couple of 7f handicaps at Southwell in February; this mark in range judged on his second at Southwell in March but his last three runs have been poor and it is easy to have reservations at present.

33/1

20/1

Form: 410-66 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Wide-margin win in Class 6 company in November (1m2f); not so good since and needs more to overcome this mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

3

(13)

1st Oct 2026

Good

1m 2f 50y

Class 5

16:18 Nottingham

Renesmee

9st 13lb

J: Kyle McHugh

T: Michael Keady

Having dropped down the weights she returned to form with a close second at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) a fortnight; this course winner is fine at today's trip and can be in the shake-up if backing up that latest effort.

9/1

2nd

3

(7)

18th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Renesmee

9st 12lb

J: Kyle McHugh

T: Michael Keady

Three-time AW winner but has lost her way since a good run at Chester in May and others have more going for them.

16/1

Form: 02/3-5

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Ex-Irish maiden; he hasn't landed a blow in two 7f runs for new yard (after 440 days off) but he moves back up in trip for his handicap debut and still has low mileage.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

9

(12)

21st Sep 2026

Soft

1m 4f 15y

Class 5

14:47 Hamilton

Thequietman

9st 6lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Simon Waugh

Well suited by soft/heavy ground; below his best for David O'Meara this year and bought for just 2,000gns in July; best watched on stable debut.

66/1

6

(5)

26th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 43y

Class 5

12:15 Doncaster

Thequietman

9st 5lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: David O’Meara

Ex-Irish maiden who has been essentially regressive for current stable; ended up tailed off (bled from nose) last time; perhaps best watched unless the market suggests a turnaround is likely.

16/1

8th

5

(3)

2nd Jun 2026

Good

1m 2f 5y

Class 5

16:48 Pontefract

Thequietman

9st 6lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Ex-Irish maiden who has been essentially regressive, over 7f/1m in a hood, for current stable; however, pedigree suggests this return to 1m2f is worth exploring; headgear is removed; resurgence is possible.

16/1

Form: 37106- D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Two AW wins, the latest at Chelmsford off 2lb lower last October; not so good twice since and could prove vulnerable back against male opposition.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

2

(5)

26th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Beauty By My Side

10st 0lb

J: Harry Burns

T: Joseph Parr

Both wins have been on AW but she's struggled since scoring at Chelmsford (1m) last autumn and needs a huge revival; cheekpieces (absent for last four starts) return.

66/1

8th

7

(6)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:40 Southwell (AW)

Beauty By My Side

9st 1lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Joseph Parr

Both wins have been on AW (7f/1m) but she's struggled since scoring at Chelmsford (1m) last autumn and needs a major revival.

33/1

8th

8

(5)

12th Aug 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Beauty By My Side

9st 5lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Joseph Parr

Dual AW winner (7f/1m), most recently at Chelmsford (first-time cheekpieces) in October but she's mostly struggled since, including at Ascot last time after a five-month break; dropped another 2lb.

40/1

33/1

Form: 454/6-

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
May come on for last month's stable/handicap debut after 402 days off but such progress is essential.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(9)

29th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cy Twombly

9st 9lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: John Mackie

Still to get his head in front and he comes here under a cloud, eighth of 13 in 1m Southwell handicap five days ago; not easy to make a case for.

20/1

8th

11

(9)

24th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

16:22 Southwell (AW)

Cy Twombly

9st 4lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: John Mackie

Remains winless (0-12); minimal late gains when eighth of 12 at Wolverhampton (8.5f; 66-1) last week; highly unlikely to be the solution.

25/1

8th

3

(12)

15th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cy Twombly

9st 10lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: John Mackie

Remains winless and he failed to beat a rival in 1m2f Leicester handicap a week ago; not easy to make a case for.

66/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £53.40
Straight Forecast £106.19
Tricast £190.67
Trifecta £244.80

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Tonal

SPOTLIGHT:

Hale End

NEWMARKET:

Frostmagic

D Express:

Thequietman

POSTDATA:

Tonal

The Times:

Tonal

The Guardian:

Tonal

Daily Mirror:

Tonal

The Sun:

Tonal

Daily Record:

Tonal

TOPSPEED:

Hale End

Telegraph:

Hale End

Daily Mail:

Hale End

The Star:

Hale End