May 20 / 16.12 Ayr

16.12

Good To Firm

Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I)

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 7f 50y
  • Class 5
  • 9 runners
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Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

3/1 (Won)

  • Win: £5.50
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 221112 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Won three in a row at Southwell (1m, AW) earlier this year and solid second there (1m) a fortnight ago; he won here in 2024 and holds strong claims if transferring his fine recent form back to turf.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

10

(3)

3rd Oct 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Roaring Ralph

9st 8lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: Michael Dods

Three-time winner here early in the season, all over 1m, who's lost his form of late, the switch from blinkers to cheekpieces not helping; runs in a sprint for the first time this year.

25/1

13th

3

(10)

17th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Roaring Ralph

9st 12lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Michael Dods

Found a rich vein of form earlier in the year, with five wins between February and June (including 7f here), but has been operating below that level in recent starts.

16/1

5th

6

(6)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

19:10 Southwell (AW)

Roaring Ralph

9st 8lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael Dods

Four of his five AW wins have been at this track and the other at Wolverhampton; only 1lb higher than for June's Wetherby win but hasn't been at best on his last two starts; better is needed back on the AW but he's capable.

11/1

15/2

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 246585 CD

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 3lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 64

Form & Verdict
Beaten 13 times since last win at Newcastle (7f, AW) last September but close fifth of seven at Ayr (1m, good to firm) recently and he may appreciate the return to 7f; his mark continues to fall and he might not be far away.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(8)

29th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

16:08 Ayr

Novak

10st 0lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

There's a question mark regarding ground slower than good to soft and he was below par at Thirsk a fortnight ago (even allowing for slight interference); however, he was in good form previously, finishing second over C&D (good to soft) then winning at Musselburgh (7f, good); not discounted.

8/1

7th

8

(3)

14th Sep 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:21 Thirsk

Novak

9st 4lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: Iain Jardine

Gained a deserved first success of 2026 in 7f handicap at Musselburgh 20 days ago; back up 3lb but this reliable sort can go well again.

9/2

1st

5

(1)

25th Aug 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 15y

Class 6

16:15 Musselburgh

Novak

9st 6lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Gained last five wins on AW but has proved consistent in Scotland since returned to turf; finished 1l second at Ayr (7f) most recently; reasonably solid contender in current form.

7/1

7/2

  • Place: £1.30

Form: 673606 CD

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
His form has been patchy since an easy win at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) last November but he's 2lb below that last winning mark and his form figures at Ayr read 3112, so it will be no surprise if he's in the mix.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(6)

31st Jul 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

14:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Muqdad

10st 2lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: David O’Meara

Operating below last year's peak form but posted sound effort when third at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last week and remains on same mark as for emphatic C&D success in November; no surprise if he features.

5/1

3rd

4

(4)

23rd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

16:15 Doncaster

Al Muqdad

9st 6lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: David O’Meara

Went close over C&D (good to firm) last month and 1m seemed to stretch him back here since (all wins at 7f, including here); his last success came off this mark; likely to be on the premises under Rodriguez.

5/1

5th

4

(8)

3rd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 213y

Class 5

14:35 Doncaster

Al Muqdad

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Returned from a break with good third at Ayr (7f, good to firm) in May and he went very close here (7f, good to firm) last Friday; he's done all of his winning at 7f but can be in the mix if the return to 1m isn't an issue.

9/2

Form: 57-926

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 64

Form & Verdict
Inconsistent sort who was soundly beaten at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last time and his losing run continues; however, he kept on well for second at Pontefract (6f, good) two starts ago and is not written off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

14

(14)

5th Oct 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

14:40 Pontefract

Valentine Catcher

8st 11lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

He has been threatening in recent starts but he moves back up in class today and has the widest stall to overcome.

14/1

5th

3

(9)

26th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

16:40 Ripon

Valentine Catcher

9st 11lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

6f places off this mark on his last three outings, but 2-25 overall (below form on sole start here) and there's been no win since 2024.

5/1

3rd

9

(8)

8th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

16:02 Leicester

Valentine Catcher

9st 4lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Tim Easterby

Without a win since 2024 but posted his best effort of the season when third of 13 in 6f handicap at Hamilton six days ago; must enter calculations off the same mark.

7/2

Form: 5705-6 CD

Last run: 38 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Went off the boil towards the end of last season and also below his best on last month's reappearance at Musselburgh, taking his losing sequence to 15; however, this two-time C&D winner may have needed that latest outing and he's well handicapped on last year's best course form; not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

8

(3)

30th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 15y

Class 6

14:48 Musselburgh

Kelpie Grey

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

On a long losing run but made the frame at Ayr (1m, soft) 12 days ago and ran another good race when second back at Ayr yesterday; should go well again.

7/2

2nd

8

(1)

29th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

16:08 Ayr

Kelpie Grey

9st 3lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

His losing run goes back all the way to May 2024 and he's regressed this year; however, his recent third here (1m, soft) was a step back in the right direction and this two-time course winner is another 2lb lower today; might be in the shake-up.

11/2

3rd

9

(2)

18th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:15 Ayr

Kelpie Grey

9st 1lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Jim Goldie

Four-time winner (two here) who is stuck on a losing run and hasn't been in great form this year; merely mid-division in a first-time visor (retained) here yesterday.

14/1

OUR TIP

Form: 064725

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Inconsistent and soundly beaten back on turf at Doncaster this month; however, this two-time turf winner was runner-up at Kempton (7f, AW) two starts ago and is not discounted off a dangerous mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

2

(12)

16th Oct 2026

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

16:12 Redcar

Mr Cool

9st 12lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Charlie Johnston

All four wins have been on turf and latest was over C&D (good) in August; that was a narrow success but he's run two solid races since, including a close call at Leicester last week; looks interesting off same mark here and he's a key player.

5/1

10th

14

(6)

26th Sep 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Mr Cool

9st 4lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: Charlie Johnston

Found the drop to 5.3f against him last time and that was another in-form effort; high in the weights again, following two turf wins this summer, but fine on the AW and looks set to go well once more.

8/1

33/1

Form: 52-907

Last run: 105 days

W: 9st 1lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 62

Form & Verdict
Runner-up at Newcastle (1m, AW) in December on second stable start and she's also effective on turf; however, she was down the field at Newcastle (1m/1m2f, AW) on her last three starts and returns from a break today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(1)

19th Sep 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Maui Breeze

9st 0lb

J: Greg Fairley

T: Wilf Storey

Regressive filly who's turned in a string of ordinary efforts this year and now has a first-time tongue-tie added to her regular cheekpieces; the fact her peak RPRs have been achieved on Tapeta offers some hope for this return to AW but a leap of faith is needed.

20/1

11th

9

(10)

8th Sep 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

16:46 Catterick

Maui Breeze

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Wilf Storey

Regressive filly who's turned in a string of ordinary efforts this year, latterly in cheekpieces; the handicapper's easing off in chunks but she's hard to recommend anyway.

20/1

11/2

Form: 023-44 C

Last run: 15 days

W: 8st 12lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
His two wins last August/September (including here) came over 1m2f but he travelled well when fourth over 1m1f here (good to firm) on his recent return to action, when short of room close home, and he may have versatility in terms of trip; interesting contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

(3)

10th Aug 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

16:45 Ayr

Royal Blaze

10st 1lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ewan Whillans

In-form 5yo who won twice over C&D last month (good/good to firm); probably doesn't have much margin for error after latest 4lb rise but ought to be on the premises again.

4/1

1st

1

(9)

27th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:20 Ayr

Royal Blaze

9st 9lb

J: Greg Fairley

T: Ewan Whillans

Triple turf winner who made it 2-2 over C&D when bouncing back with a comfortable success (good) three weeks ago; remains feasibly treated off only 3lb higher and he won't mind if the forecast rain arrives; key player.

4/1

1st

7

(1)

6th Jul 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

15:00 Ayr

Royal Blaze

9st 11lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ewan Whillans

Needs to rebound from a substandard AW run ten days ago but made the frame on two of three turf starts in the spring (both times over 1m1f) and this longer trip probably suits better; can't be ignored off current mark.

12/1

33/1

Form: 32438-

Last run: 225 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
4yo who has shown ability and has edged down the weights, but she wasn't at the top of her game on her final three runs last season and remains a maiden after ten starts; others are more compelling.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

1

(11)

24th Aug 2026

Good

1m 0f 2y

Class 6

16:45 Musselburgh

Elizabeth Bay

9st 9lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Katie Scott

Maiden who's gone sharply the wrong way for this yard, running poorly in three starts this season; didn't look to see out 1m2f (soft) two months ago and this is easier again but she's hard to recommend.

33/1

9th

4

(3)

19th Jun 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

18:00 Ayr

Elizabeth Bay

9st 11lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Katie Scott

12-race maiden who ended last season on a low note and was also well beaten on first two outings this year (7f/1m); moves up in trip with a lot to prove.

33/1

10th

11

(9)

30th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 173y

Class 4

17:28 Carlisle

Elizabeth Bay

8st 5lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Katie Scott

Finished close up in 7f events on the AW for previous trainer but two handicap runs either side of a break were disappointing and her stamina will be under pressure back on this track.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £32.20
Straight Forecast £53.58
Tricast £239.10
Trifecta £156.10

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Kelpie Grey

SPOTLIGHT:

Royal Blaze

The Times:

Al Muqdad

The Star:

Maui Breeze

The Sun:

Novak

The Guardian:

Royal Blaze

TOPSPEED:

Kelpie Grey

POSTDATA:

Kelpie Grey

Telegraph:

Kelpie Grey

Daily Mail:

Kelpie Grey

Daily Mirror:

Kelpie Grey

Daily Record:

Kelpie Grey

D Express:

Al Muqdad