July 16 / 17.52 Worcester

17.52

Good

CopyBet Bog Today For Tomorrow’s Racing Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

  • Prize money: £3247.81
  • 2m 4f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 6 runners
SKY
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CopyBet Bog Today For Tomorrow’s Racing Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

10/11 (Won)

  • Win: £2.20
  • Place: £1.20

Form: 3-2121 D

Last run: 4 days

W: 12st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Has left his hurdle form behind over fences and he beat the odds-on winner with the pair clear at Stratford last weekend (2m3f, good to firm); carries a penalty for that in what looks a winnable contest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

27th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

2m 4f 216y

Class 4

19:12 Newton Abbot

Thickthorn Tom

11st 11lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Cut little ice over hurdles last season, but he's been progressive over fences this summer and made it three wins from his last four starts when scoring at Worcester (2m4f, good) last month; up another 5lb but he's on a roll and could be a major force again.

13/8

1st

2

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Thickthorn Tom

12st 0lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Has left his hurdle form behind over fences and he beat the odds-on winner with the pair clear at Stratford last weekend (2m3f, good to firm); carries a penalty for that in what looks a winnable contest.

10/11

3/1

  • Place: £1.60

Form: P5P-43 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 12st 0lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 102

Form & Verdict
Multiple hurdle winner who is rated 12lb lower over fences and he rediscovered some form when beaten 2l at Cartmel three weeks ago (2m5f, good); should be bang there if repeating that effort.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

28th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

2m 3f 65y

Class 5

17:32 Sedgefield

Thank You Blue

11st 11lb

J: Ian Power

T: Jennie Candlish

Six hurdle wins, including two over 2m4f here; yet to score over fences, but in the frame on all three starts this season, last time (July) finishing runner-up at Worcester (2m4f, good); a possible.

4/1

2nd

1

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Thank You Blue

12st 0lb

J: Ian Power

T: Jennie Candlish

Multiple hurdle winner who is rated 12lb lower over fences and he rediscovered some form when beaten 2l at Cartmel three weeks ago (2m5f, good); should be bang there if repeating that effort.

3/1

3rd

1

26th Jun 2026

Good

2m 5f 34y

Class 5

16:23 Cartmel

Thank You Blue

12st 0lb

J: Ian Power

T: Jennie Candlish

Won three on the bounce over hurdles in February (2m-2m4f, good to soft/soft) but has lost his form in the blink of an eye and finished last on his recent return to chasing (0-8).

10/1

Form: U2-635 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 11st 12lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Won twice over fences within a week last December but has essentially struggled off his new mark and still 6lb higher than for those two wins; still commands some respect in this weak a race.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

10

19th Aug 2026

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 5

20:08 Worcester

Atreides

11st 8lb

J: Laurie Gallacher

T: Neil Mulholland

Won twice over fences within a week last December; some minor honours since and edging back down the weights for this first hurdle race since February 2025 but trying this longer trip on penultimate start resulted in his worst recent performance; 10lb claimer is recruited.

16/1

3rd

3

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Atreides

11st 12lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Neil Mulholland

Won twice over fences within a week last December but has essentially struggled off his new mark and still 6lb higher than for those two wins; still commands some respect in this weak a race.

9/2

5th

9

1st Jul 2026

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 4

13:20 Worcester

Atreides

11st 3lb

J: Bradley Harris

T: Neil Mulholland

Consistent either side of two wins at about 2m4f last December (good to soft and heavy) but there's nothing eyecatching about his mark now and he needs to find extra for the new trip.

12/1

Form: 8539-5 D

Last run: 40 days

W: 11st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 93

Form & Verdict
Struggles for consistency and has gone backwards since finishing third at Hereford in March (3m1f, good); first-time blinkers did nothing for him last time and they're retained.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Atlanta Brave

11st 5lb

J: Conor O’Farrell

T: Kerry Lee

Struggles for consistency and has gone backwards since finishing third at Hereford in March (3m1f, good); first-time blinkers did nothing for him last time and they're retained.

10/1

5th

9

6th Jun 2026

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 5

14:20 Worcester

Atlanta Brave

11st 5lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Kerry Lee

Hasn't won for three years and struggles for consistency; made an encouraging return when third at Hereford (3m1f, good) in March but couldn't back it up when well beaten at Bangor in refitted cheekpieces last time; blinkers now replace them but others appeal more.

66/1

9th

2

18th Apr 2026

Good

3m 0f 30y

Class 5

13:52 Bangor-on-Dee

Atlanta Brave

12st 0lb

J: Conor O’Farrell

T: Kerry Lee

Has become bitterly disappointing but handicapped accordingly and his third at Hereford was better (3m1f, good); cheekpieces are back on but they'd done little for him previously.

10/1

Form: /88/0-

Last run: 434 days

W: 10st 11lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Eight defeats under rules include seven as a chaser; forgettable form in Irish points this year.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

19th Aug 2026

Good

2m 0f 110y

Class 5

17:33 Worcester

Keep Me Posted

10st 8lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Matt Sheppard

Unplaced in all seven Irish points this year and made low-key return to racing under rules when well beaten here (2m4f, good) on last month's stable debut; drops back in trip with cheekpieces tried today.

33/1

5th

6

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Keep Me Posted

10st 11lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Matt Sheppard

Eight defeats under rules include seven as a chaser; forgettable form in Irish points this year.

20/1

11th

10

8th May 2025

Good To Yielding

2m 0f 130y

17:35 Tipperary

Keep Me Posted

10st 0lb

J: Miss L Costello

T: Thomas S Costello

in touch with leaders, not fluent 2nd, soon dropped to midfield

25/1

Form: 6P/P-5

Last run: 18 days

W: 11st 12lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Record of 1-14 in Irish points; 0-9 over hurdles (was placed); made a quiet stable debut in that discipline and he was pulled up in a hunter chase on one previous run over fences.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

16th Jul 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:52 Worcester

Suttons Hill

11st 12lb

J: Joe Anderson

T: Barry Brennan

Record of 1-14 in Irish points; 0-9 over hurdles (was placed); made a quiet stable debut in that discipline and he was pulled up in a hunter chase on one previous run over fences.

20/1

5th

6

28th Jun 2026

Good

2m 3f 207y

Class 4

17:20 Uttoxeter

Suttons Hill

11st 6lb

J: Joe Anderson

T: Barry Brennan

0-8 over hurdles (last seen in this sphere in 2024) in Ireland and 1-14 in points; has changed hands and left Thomas Britten; chance rests on form in 2023.

40/1

7

5th May 2025

Good

2m 7f 50y

16:30 Down Royal

Suttons Hill

12st 0lb

J: Mr J L Gleeson

T: Richard John O’Brien

Record of 1-8 in points and was a close runner-up last time in a winners' race; maiden over hurdles is rated 106 in that sphere; will need to find improvement to score.

10/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £4.80
Straight Forecast £6.73
Trifecta £13.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Thickthorn Tom

WEST COUNTRY:

Atreides

TOPSPEED:

Atlanta Brave

RP RATINGS:

Thank You Blue

POSTDATA:

Thickthorn Tom

The Times:

Thickthorn Tom

Telegraph:

Thickthorn Tom

The Guardian:

Thickthorn Tom

Daily Mail:

Thickthorn Tom

Daily Mirror:

Thickthorn Tom

The Sun:

Thickthorn Tom

The Star:

Thickthorn Tom

Daily Record:

Thickthorn Tom

D Express:

Atreides