September 08 / 17.40 Newcastle (AW)

17.40

Standard

Northumbrian Water Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4104
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
View Course
Northumbrian Water Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Mostly sunny

OUR TIP

11/10 (Won)

  • Win: £1.91
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 41 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Left debut effort behind when winning a 6f Ayr maiden three weeks ago; highly likely has more to offer and should make a bold bid to defy the penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(4)

10th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

18:30 Southwell (AW)

Love Lies

9st 0lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Archie Watson

Found an ordinary turf maiden and Tapeta novice for her two wins last summer and had her limitations exposed in handicap company latterly (2lb higher) having been very easy to back; needs to have improved for the winter break.

10/1

5th

3

(5)

24th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 6y

Class 4

16:00 Hamilton

Love Lies

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Archie Watson

In need of the experience on debut but she has left that form behind her with wins at Ayr and Newcastle on her last two starts; slower ground to contend with on her handicap debut but she's capable of better and her opening mark looks fair.

11/4

1st

1

(4)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Love Lies

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Archie Watson

Left debut effort behind when winning a 6f Ayr maiden three weeks ago; highly likely has more to offer and should make a bold bid to defy the penalty.

11/10

6/5

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 3

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Night Of Thunder filly who showed promise when third of 12 on her 7f Doncaster debut 20 days ago; not certain to benefit from the drop to 6f, but can be expected to improve and she receives 7lb from likely main rival Love Lies.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

7

(6)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Thunder Princess

9st 0lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: James Fanshawe

Night Of Thunder filly who showed promise when third of 12 on her 7f Doncaster debut 20 days ago; not certain to benefit from the drop to 6f, but can be expected to improve and she receives 7lb from likely main rival Love Lies.

6/5

3rd

12

(4)

19th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:40 Doncaster

Thunder Princess

9st 2lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: James Fanshawe

in touch with leaders early, soon steadied and dropped to midfield

9/1

Form:

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
150-1, lost ground at the start and always behind on 7f Doncaster debut (Thunder Princess well ahead in third) 20 days ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(10)

4th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 173y

Class 6

18:39 Carlisle

Top Gun Tina

10st 0lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: David Thompson

Three runs here include a neck defeat by stablemate Where's The Crumpet (1m, good to soft) last May and when taking a division of this race (soft) under Gina Mangan last year; that remains her only win and she's been off since April; market may help to decipher if this has been the target.

16/1

5th

14

(5)

20th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Top Gun Tina

9st 0lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: David Thompson

Off the mark at Carlisle (1m) last July but her more recent form is less encouraging and she's finished down the field here (1m/7f) in last three starts; overall record is 1-31 and others are preferred; yard also runs Martin's Brig and Wheres The Crumpet.

20/1

8th

10

(3)

19th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Top Gun Tina

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: David Thompson

Got off the mark at Carlisle (1m) last July but her more recent form is less encouraging, finishing behind Woodrafff and Starshot over 1m here a fortnight ago.

20/1

11/2

Form: 73

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Showed ability in two outings over 7f on turf last month; the form is nothing special but he looks capable of better; drops in trip for this third start.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(5)

21st Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 50y

Class 6

14:45 Nottingham

Charencey

9st 9lb

J: Toby Moore

T: Ian Williams

Over two years since the last of his three wins; yet to shine in 2026 but he drops into a 0-50 classified for the first time and he can't be discounted.

7/2

6th

3

(8)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

15:20 Leicester

Charencey

9st 6lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: Ian Williams

Goes well here but hasn't won in two years and become expensive to follow, finishing a beaten-favourite in two runs back; soft ground may have been behind his latest effort but he was withdrawn twice in May on account of good to firm, which is a worry.

6/1

7th

2

(4)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 14y

Class 6

19:55 Chepstow

Charencey

9st 8lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Ian Williams

His losing run goes back to July 2024 and his mark has plummeted since but he could build on April's fifth at Nottingham; not discounted.

11/2

Form: 8-0

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Mayson filly who has offered little in two runs on turf just over a year apart.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(5)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Minchinhampton

9st 0lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Alan Brown

Mayson filly who has offered little in two runs on turf just over a year apart.

100/1

13th

10

(5)

11th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

15:40 Thirsk

Minchinhampton

8st 13lb

J: Charlie Bennett

T: Alan Brown

awkward start, soon recovered and midfield

66/1

Form:

Last run: 27 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
100-1, always rear on 7f Redcar debut four weeks ago; can only watch after that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(2)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Hello Menahi

9st 5lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

100-1, always rear on 7f Redcar debut four weeks ago; can only watch after that.

100/1

11th

7

(11)

12th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

14:03 Redcar

Hello Menahi

9st 5lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

dwelt start, in rear, ran green early

25/1

50/1

Form: 68

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Down the field in sprint maiden/novice events on turf last month and unlikely to be of interest until handicapping.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

3

(2)

2nd Feb 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Bonny Scot

9st 2lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Down the field in three sprint runs last August/September; more realistic assignment here but still not easily recommended.

20/1

7th

4

(1)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Bonny Scot

9st 0lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Down the field in sprint maiden/novice events on turf last month and unlikely to be of interest until handicapping.

50/1

8th

6

(5)

17th Aug 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:42 Ayr

Bonny Scot

9st 2lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Didn't show much over 5f on soft on debut last week; makes no appeal up in distance.

40/1

Form:

Last run: 199 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
66-1, tenth of 13 in 6f Southwell novice on her debut in February; lots more is required.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(2)

2nd Apr 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Margot Robbie

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

led, headed and prominent after 1f, disputing second 1f out, short of room and switched right inside final furlong, soon no impression

100/30

3rd

5

(2)

2nd Apr 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Margot Robbie

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

led, headed and prominent after 1f, disputing second 1f out, short of room and switched right inside final furlong, soon no impression

100/30

1st

4

(6)

7th Mar 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Margot Robbie

9st 9lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

Close second at Southwell three weeks ago on her first attempt at 7f (cheekpieces first time, retained); that form isn't working out though and others appeal more for win purposes.

9/4

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £2.30
Straight Forecast £2.55
Trifecta £52.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Thunder Princess

POSTDATA:

Love Lies

RP RATINGS:

Thunder Princess

NEWMARKET:

Thunder Princess

The Times:

Thunder Princess

The Guardian:

Thunder Princess

Daily Mail:

Thunder Princess

Daily Mirror:

Thunder Princess

The Star:

Thunder Princess

Daily Record:

Thunder Princess

LAMBOURN:

Love Lies

Telegraph:

Love Lies

D Express:

Love Lies

The Sun:

Love Lies