September 30 / 14.30 Killarney

14.30

Soft

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  • Prize money: £6526.55
  • 1m 0f 30y
  • 7 runners
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Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

3/1 (Won)

  • Win: £3.40
  • Place: £2.30

Form: -42275

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Hasn't delivered on the promise of his 2yo form; gelded after disappointing on seasonal debut then ran solid races when second over C&D and at Galway in the summer; below that form at Bellewstown and Listowel lately; needs his best with blinkers added.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

20th

24

(23)

15th Mar 2026

Heavy

1m 0f 0y

17:30 Curragh

Simpsons Paradox

8st 10lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Without a win since 2023 and so signs of ending the drought on the Flat or over hurdles in 2025; beaten 5l on the AW last time out; others appeal more.

12/1

7th

6

(9)

13th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 0y

18:00 Dundalk (AW)

Simpsons Paradox

9st 10lb

J: James Ryan

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Dual-purpose; 1-17 on the Flat; 0-4 over hurdles; pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse when last seen; AW debut; hard to fancy.

25/1

6/1

  • Place: £3.60

Form: 440370

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Has finished in the frame on three of her six starts from 7f to just short of 1m2f; however, has been below her best the last twice and blinkers are reached for; has handled heavy ground.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(1)

16th Oct 2023

Heavy

1m 1f 100y

14:50 Gowran Park

Time To Soar

9st 3lb

J: Andrew Slattery

T: Andrew Slattery

in touch with leaders on inner, outpaced towards far side over 1f out

4/1

2nd

9

(7)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

1m 0f 30y

14:30 Killarney

Time To Soar

9st 3lb

J: Andrew Slattery

T: Andrew Slattery

Has finished in the frame on three of her six starts from 7f to just short of 1m2f; however, has been below her best the last twice and blinkers are reached for; has handled heavy ground.

6/1

Form: 26

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Finished 2nd to stablemate Space Age on debut at Tipperary (soft) but was further behind the same horse on more favourable terms over C&D (yld) since; chance if resuming progress.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(7)

10th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

19:12 Ayr

Helter Skelter

9st 11lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Rebecca Menzies

midfield

100/30

2nd

4

(5)

22nd Jul 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

17:25 Ayr

Helter Skelter

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Rebecca Menzies

0-11 but has run really well in second the last twice at Carlisle (1m, soft) and Hamilton (1m, good to soft); beaten just a nose last time when wearing a first-time visor; every chance he'll go one better today.

15/8

2nd

6

(5)

13th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 4

20:00 Hamilton

Helter Skelter

9st 7lb

J: Andrew Slattery

T: Rebecca Menzies

Expensive to follow for this yard but he's well capable off this sort of mark and he was a good second at Carlisle 26 days ago (Arkenstaar third); new visor replaces cheekpieces this time.

7/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; closely related to US 5f-6f turf winner Dirty (inc stakes; RPR 101), half-sister to two other US dirt winners; dam US 5.5f-6f dirt winner; cost USD40,000 as a weanling and USD145,000 as a yearling; by a Preakness Stakes winner but this ground might not suit; seems yard's second-string.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

8

(6)

12th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 6

19:35 Chepstow

Royal Toast

9st 4lb

J: Jack Doughty

T: Tony Carroll

Ex-Irish maiden who's struggled badly under both codes for this yard; would be a shock winner of a competitive handicap in first-time headgear (tongue-tie comes off again).

66/1

12th

1

(7)

7th Jun 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:35 Goodwood

Royal Toast

9st 13lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: Tony Carroll

Maiden under both codes, formerly with Joseph O'Brien; certainly not improving and this is no easier back in a novice.

100/1

11th

11

(4)

6th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 37y

Class 5

16:00 Bath

Royal Toast

9st 2lb

J: Millie Wonnacott

T: Tony Carroll

Poor under both codes since joining from Joseph O'Brien for 10,000gns last autumn; needs a lot of improvement now handicapping and Celebrating Ethel looks her yard's best shout.

33/1

Form: 6

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Ran respectably on debut at Bellewstown over this trip and should have come forward after that; the ground is much softer today but can run well if handling it.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

2

(12)

2nd Jul 2025

Good

1m 1f 0y

20:20 Tipperary

Princess Rabab

10st 2lb

J: Seamie Heffernan

T: M J Phillips

Won a 1m4f Dundalk handicap early last year for Joseph O'Brien; this trip may be inadequate, and she has to overcome a lengthy absence on her first run for Michael Phillips.

8/1

1st

9

(6)

15th Mar 2024

Standard

1m 4f 0y

18:20 Dundalk (AW)

Princess Rabab

9st 7lb

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Promise in maidens including a fifth here last month; handicapper looks to have given her a chance and every prospect that the trip will suit.

8/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Third foal; half-sister to 7f AW 2yo winner Imperial Butterfly (RPR 72); dam 1m winner (82), half-sister to 1m Group 1 winner Amazing Maria (by Mastercraftsman); cost 24,000gns as a 3yo in July; well-bred but best watched for future reference unless market support.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

16

24th Apr 2024

Yielding

2m 1f 0y

16:45 Bellewstown

Minella Butterfly

11st 0lb

J: Phillip Enright

T: John J Nallen

prominent, pecked on landing 2 out

50/1

10th

16

24th Apr 2024

Yielding

2m 1f 0y

16:45 Bellewstown

Minella Butterfly

11st 0lb

J: Phillip Enright

T: John J Nallen

prominent, pecked on landing 2 out

50/1

28/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; dam US 5.5f turf 2yo/5f dirt winner, half-sister to North American stakes-placed 5f-1m turf winner Originator; cost 5,000euros as a yearling; best watched for future reference unless market support.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

7

(8)

15th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 0f 0y

17:45 Dundalk (AW)

Irredentist

9st 3lb

J: Leigh Roche

T: P J F Murphy

towards rear

200/1

12th

8

(6)

31st Oct 2023

Heavy

1m 4f 0y

14:32 Curragh

Irredentist

9st 3lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: P J F Murphy

towards rear

100/1

Non-runners

Highland Rahy, Summer Holiday

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta €18.50
Straight Forecast €29.78
Trifecta €86.30

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Simpson's Paradox

The Irish Sun:

Princess Rabab

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Highland Rahy

SPOTLIGHT:

Helter Skelter

POSTDATA:

Simpson's Paradox