October 24 / 19.00 Southwell (AW)

19.00

Standard

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 12 runners
SKY
View Course
Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

7/4 (Won)

  • Win: £2.63
  • Place: £1.30

Form: 470321 CD

Last run: 7 days

W: 10st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
In good form on AW early in the year, winning three 7f handicaps (including here) in February/March; a quiet summer saw him drop in the weights and he's back in the groove now, following a near miss at Chelmsford (6f) with an easy 7f win back there last week (backed up by the clock); 3lb well in under his penalty; obvious chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

10

(10)

12th Aug 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

19:00 Kempton (AW)

How Impressive

8st 12lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Hugo Palmer

Seven-time AW winner who was runner-up over C&D in March but has lost his way with heavy defeats in his last three runs; has a lot to prove and he needs to get back on track.

25/1

10th

5

(5)

10th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

20:12 Chester

How Impressive

9st 8lb

J: David Probert

T: Hugo Palmer

Seven-time AW winner but sole turf win was in 2023 and he was tailed off back in this sphere at Catterick (7f, good) in May; has something to prove after another break and others are preferred.

20/1

12th

4

(8)

11th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

14:30 Catterick

How Impressive

10st 0lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: Hugo Palmer

Runner-up at Kempton (7f, AW) two starts ago and he has a 9lb lower mark to work with on turf; however, he's been inconsistent this year and his sole turf win (from 15 attempts) came back in 2023.

8/1

12/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 314659 D

Last run: 3 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Three wins at Brighton this summer, all over 7f on fast ground; 0-16 on AW and only ninth of 12 over 1m here on Monday; others appeal more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

4

(5)

1st Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

18:45 Brighton

Shaw Park

9st 7lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Scott Dixon

Ran well in a higher level on the AW two weeks ago (125-1) and that was after a lengthy break; might be sharper this time and has competitive form here off this sort of mark.

8/1

4th

10

(6)

18th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 4

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Shaw Park

8st 11lb

J: Mikkel Mortensen

T: Scott Dixon

Generally struggled early in the year and returns from a break of five months; wins have all come after a recent outing and does most of his racing at a lower level now, so has a bit to overcome.

33/1

8th

8

(1)

11th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:15 Southwell (AW)

Shaw Park

9st 4lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Scott Dixon

Good third over a mile here last month but he failed to back it up over that same distance 11 days ago; perhaps vulnerable once again.

16/1

5/1

  • Place: £1.40

Form: -66622 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
0-5 this year but he's gone close here (1m) and at Ayr (7f) on his last two starts; creeping back up the weights but capable of another prominent showing.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

(6)

4th Sep 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:55 Ascot

Cancan In The Rain

10st 5lb

J: Miss Georgie Benson

T: Gihan Arnolda

Four-time winner who has been as good as ever in defeat this season, latterly with cheekpieces on for a visor at Newmarket (7f, good to firm; has won at 1m); has run well in his two previous starts at Ascot; respected.

5/1

3rd

5

(8)

20th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:20 Newmarket (July)

Cancan In The Rain

9st 13lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Gihan Arnolda

Two course wins at 1m; two good efforts for new yard this year but a promising-looking run came to nothing when back over 1m at York last time; still worth a look returned to 7f in his first course run since last summer's win; first-time cheekpieces replace regular visor.

8/1

8th

6

(14)

25th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 192y

Class 4

15:05 York

Cancan In The Rain

9st 7lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Gihan Arnolda

Won two from five last season and looks as good as ever this term, fourth in a big field at Ascot two weeks ago; effective at 7f and 1m; should be in the thick of things again.

15/2

Form: 777087 CD

Last run: 121 days

W: 9st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Hold-up handicapper with four course wins to his name; 8lb lower than for his 1m win here in January; has gone well after a break in the past and he's one to consider; strong pace would aid his cause.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

11

(11)

27th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 192y

Class 3

13:55 York

Eligible

9st 4lb

J: Lewis Chalkley

T: Michael & David Easterby

Veteran who has a better strike-rate on AW than on turf and hasn't prevailed in this sphere since York success three years ago; midfield when the 125-1 rank outsider back here last time.

66/1

10th

8

(21)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

13:50 York

Eligible

9st 9lb

J: Lewis Chalkley

T: Michael & David Easterby

Veteran who won over 7f at Southwell in January but has been operating below his best since; drawn widest and likely best to look elsewhere.

40/1

4th

4

(1)

26th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 219y

Class 4

15:50 Redcar

Eligible

9st 6lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Veteran who won over 7f at Southwell in January but has been rather below his best since; equally effective on turf and has won over 1m on fast ground; others look better handicapped.

16/1

Form: 728604

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
All wins at 6f but he ran creditably over this trip at Kempton ten days ago (cheekpieces on for the first time); due to drop 2lb at the weekend but he still warrants respect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

12

(1)

19th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 195y

Class 4

16:20 Carlisle

Vince Lombardi

9st 1lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: Seb Spencer

First three wins were on turf but last three have come on Tapeta; only 1lb higher than for his Wolverhampton win in January but that was a Class 5 and he finished out the back in his final run during the winter; now goes back up in grade and he has work to do after 189 days off.

25/1

10th

9

(8)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

16:14 Southwell (AW)

Vince Lombardi

9st 6lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Completed a double over C&D in November and he got back on the scoresheet when making all at Wolverhampton (7f) three weeks ago; that was a narrow success but he's only 1lb higher and could make another bold bid back in trip.

8/1

1st

8

(1)

19th Jan 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Vince Lombardi

9st 4lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

6f wins at Wolverhampton and Southwell in the autumn; runner-up twice since and he wasn't beaten far when favourite at Southwell (fifth of eighth) last time; now returns to 7f but he has plenty of form at this trip and he's in the mix.

10/1

Form: 242382 D

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Yet to win in 2024 but he's run some fine races, notably a close second in a 17-runner handicap at York in July; another runner-up finish at Beverley last month; appears to handle Tapeta; each-way shout.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

(10)

28th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

14:13 Newcastle (AW)

Finbars Lad

9st 11lb

J: Sam Feilden

T: John & Sean Quinn

Only 2lb higher than for his front-running win at Chelmsford in July but he hasn't matched it in three runs since, including back at Chelmsford 17 days ago; others appeal more.

16/1

2

(3)

11th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

16:50 Chelmsford (AW)

Finbars Lad

9st 12lb

J: Neil Callan

T: John & Sean Quinn

Returned to winning form when making all over C&D in July; twice held on turf in the meantime, but one for the shortlist if the return here galvanises him.

10/1

Form: 191565 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Two wins this summer, the second of them coming over C&D off 2lb lower; last two runs have been disappointing though and he'll be 2lb lower from the weekend.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(6)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

19:10 Southwell (AW)

Roaring Ralph

9st 8lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael Dods

Four of his five AW wins have been at this track and the other at Wolverhampton; only 1lb higher than for June's Wetherby win but hasn't been at best on his last two starts; better is needed back on the AW but he's capable.

11/1

7th

1

(3)

14th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 5

19:50 Thirsk

Roaring Ralph

9st 9lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: Michael Dods

Five wins this year (7f-1m) have come at a cost mark-wise and has to bounce back from below-par run at York three weeks ago (jockey said he ran flat).

12/1

Form: -70847 D

Last run: 61 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Won five times in 2022 but he's now gone 26 months without a win; ran okay in first-time cheekpieces at Redcar in August but couldn't build on it back at that track two weeks later; the cheekpieces are now dispensed with; opposable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(6)

7th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 9lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Has done his winning at 7f-1m but recent form features two encouraging efforts over 1m2f (turf/AW); long losing spell remains a cause for concern, however.

6/1

4th

2

(4)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Six-time winner but his last success was in August 2022; on much reduced mark and was creditable third at Beverley (1m2f; tongue-tie added) in July but he was beaten 13l at Ripon last time and that took his losing run to 20; down the list.

12/1

4

(6)

25th Aug 2025

Good

1m 2f 190y

Class 6

17:33 Ripon

Carnival Zain

10st 13lb

J: Miss Becky Smith

T: Micky Hammond

Much lower in the weights than for the latest of five wins in 2022 and ran well when third of 14 behind a couple of dead-heaters (including Star Start) at Beverley (1m2f, good to firm) last time; each-way claims again despite a losing run of 19.

7/1

16/1

Form: 970020

Last run: 60 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Struggled for Archie Watson this year, his one placed effort coming when second in a Beverley seller in July (8.5f, good to firm); last of ten back in a handicap in August; too much to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(10)

24th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Assessment

9st 6lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Struggled for Archie Watson this year, his one placed effort coming when second in a Beverley seller in July (8.5f, good to firm); last of ten back in a handicap in August; too much to prove.

16/1

10th

5

(8)

25th Aug 2024

Good

1m 0f 100y

Class 5

17:00 Beverley

Assessment

10st 1lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Archie Watson

Looked useful when winning 1m AW handicap for Sir Michael Stoute in spring 2023 but has largely been disappointing for new stable this year; went close in C&D seller (good to firm) last month but almost certainly needs to better that performance in this handicap.

13/2

2nd

3

(2)

5th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 0f 100y

Class 6

18:35 Beverley

Assessment

10st 2lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Archie Watson

soon led

7/1

10/1

Form: 467654 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Better effort when a front-running fourth at Newcastle last week (1m); returning to 7f no problem but others appeal more for win purposes.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(7)

24th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Prairie Falcon

9st 4lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Michael Dods

Better effort when a front-running fourth at Newcastle last week (1m); returning to 7f no problem but others appeal more for win purposes.

10/1

4th

3

(6)

15th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Prairie Falcon

9st 9lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Michael Dods

Winless since his 2yo days; went close off 4lb higher here in March (7f) but he hasn't matched it in six runs since; stamina not proven.

12/1

Form: 11108- C

Last run: 488 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Completed a 6f hat-trick in spring 2023 (including here) for Stella Barclay; sold for 35,000gns last July but hasn't made the track for 488 days; stays 7f and effective on AW but best watched after the layoff.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

(5)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

20:10 Southwell (AW)

Papa Cocktail

9st 7lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

Still 3lb higher than for Wolverhampton (6f) win in January but has largely remained in good form since; ought to be right in thick of things.

10/1

4th

6

(6)

15th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 143y

Class 4

16:10 Doncaster

Papa Cocktail

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Michael Herrington

Scored at Wolverhampton (6f) in January and largely in good nick since, challenging wide when sixth of ten in another 6f handicap there last time; can make his presence felt.

12/1

6th

4

(10)

31st Jul 2026

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 4

16:55 Wolverhampton (AW)

Papa Cocktail

9st 9lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Michael Herrington

Only 3lb higher than for January's C&D win and has continued to run well; 6f specialist with a solid chance, despite stall 10.

6/1

50/1

Form: 151490 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Won two of his four starts for James Owen in August/September; huge prices and well beaten in two runs for new yard this month; opposable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(8)

15th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:50 Thirsk

B Associates

9st 9lb

J: Jason Hart

T: James Owen

Two wins in 7f classified events last month; runner-up in his last two completed starts; unseated rider early at Chester on Friday; each-way shout but hardly an unknown quantity.

8/1

10

(7)

12th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 17y

Class 5

16:55 Chester

B Associates

9st 5lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: James Owen

Fourth, nearest at the finish, to Hallowed Time in this last year; back with James Owen again and arrives in the midst of a productive spell, recent second-place finishes (visored) to add to earlier wins at Yarmouth and Brighton (7f); can often miss the break though, which isn't ideal at Chester.

5/1

2nd

3

(8)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

15:58 Lingfield (AW)

B Associates

9st 8lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: James Owen

Nine of his ten wins have been on turf and he came from off the pace when good second off this mark at Brighton (6f; first-time visor) last month; has claims if he can repeat that form but he's 1-12 on AW and that success was in a claimer.

7/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £21.80
Straight Forecast £21.97
Tricast £54.86
Trifecta £73.50

Selections

TOPSPEED:

How Impressive

POSTDATA:

Cancan In The Rain

SPOTLIGHT:

Eligible

D Express:

Cancan In The Rain

Daily Record:

Cancan In The Rain

The Times:

How Impressive

Telegraph:

How Impressive

The Guardian:

How Impressive

Daily Mail:

How Impressive

Daily Mirror:

How Impressive

The Sun:

How Impressive

The Star:

How Impressive

RP RATINGS:

Eligible