October 28 / 17.15 Newcastle (AW)

17.15

Standard To Slow

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

15/8 (Won)

  • Win: £3.00
  • Place: £1.20

Form: 443

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Frankel filly who cost 425,000gns as a foal; has shown consistent form at maiden/novice level (6f, turf/AW) and looks open to progress now handicapping; warrants respect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(7)

28th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:15 Newcastle (AW)

Maissara

9st 7lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Roger Varian

disputed lead, led clearly after 1f

15/8

1st

2

(7)

28th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:15 Newcastle (AW)

Maissara

9st 7lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Roger Varian

disputed lead, led clearly after 1f

15/8

3rd

8

(2)

11th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:15 Kempton (AW)

Maissara

9st 2lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

took keen hold, prominent, led 2f out, headed final 110yds, no extra towards finish

6/1

9/1

  • Place: £1.60

Form: 250685

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 6lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Went close at Windsor in May but has failed to repeat that form since; chance depends on how well he responds to change of surface (AW debut) and first-time headgear.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

1

(9)

14th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

14:08 Salisbury

Arabian Cobra

10st 0lb

J: Alfie Redman

T: Adrian Wintle

Won at Thirsk (6f, good) last June before following up at Chester (6f, good) a week later; well beaten in the Ayr Bronze Cup on his final start for Hugo Palmer and he beat only one rival home at Bath on his stable debut 27 days ago; visor back on (replacing cheekpieces worn last time).

14/1

10th

2

(10)

17th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 160y

Class 4

17:20 Bath

Arabian Cobra

9st 9lb

J: David Probert

T: Adrian Wintle

Ended last season with a heavy defeat in the Ayr Bronze Cup but he did well for Hugo Palmer last summer including a brave win off this mark at Chester (6f, good); returns in new headgear for new yard but he went close on his reappearance last term and he needs watching in market.

16/1

63

19th Sep 2025

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:40 Ayr

Arabian Cobra

9st 2lb

T: Hugo Palmer

3yo who won two in a row in June (6f, good) before close thirds on his next two starts (including over C&D on good to soft); his form dipped at Chester three weeks ago but he's an each-way possible if bouncing back.

20/1

11/2

  • Place: £4.60

Form: 2175

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Gained his maiden win at a sharper course and was seemingly outstayed here on latest 7f start; combination of drop in distance and another 2lb drop puts him in the picture.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

10

(8)

18th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 4

12:23 Catterick

Chuti Manika

8st 12lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Charlie Johnston

Difficult to recommend judged on last five starts, in which he's beaten very few opponents; supporters will cling to the hope that blinkers (replacing a visor) will help and that his two successes have come at Catterick.

16/1

2

(6)

22nd Sep 2025

Soft

0m 6f 6y

Class 5

16:43 Hamilton

Chuti Manika

9st 7lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Charlie Johnston

Below par on his last four starts, but Catterick (5f, good) a fortnight ago was a step back in the right direction and he won there (6f, good to soft) in July on his last encounter with slow ground; not ruled out.

10/1

10

(7)

9th Sep 2025

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:40 Catterick

Chuti Manika

9st 6lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

6f win here in July off 1lb higher; not beaten many home in three runs since and a visor is now reached for (has been wearing cheekpieces).

20/1

8/1

Form: 92700

Last run: 67 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Has one stand-out performance on turf; not totally solid but had a lot on his plate at major festivals the last twice (gelded since) and this is more realistic on AW debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(3)

27th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

14:30 Leicester

Cracking Man

8st 7lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Michael Attwater

A fair maiden for Karl Burke but he has offered little on both runs for his current yard, failing to beat a rival in 6f Kempton handicap 20 days ago; others are preferred.

14/1

5

(3)

27th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

14:30 Leicester

Cracking Man

8st 7lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Michael Attwater

A fair maiden for Karl Burke but he has offered little on both runs for his current yard, failing to beat a rival in 6f Kempton handicap 20 days ago; others are preferred.

14/1

11th

3

(5)

7th May 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Cracking Man

9st 9lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Michael Attwater

Good chance on the pick of his 2yo form for Karl Burke but he was sold cheaply in January and finished a well-beaten fifth (125-1) on his stable debut last week; this low-grade handicap is more suitable but he still carries risk.

33/1

Form: 3647

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 3lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Best 7f form when making the frame at Ayr and Newcastle; soft ground was a plausible excuse last time; first win is possible, provided he's aided by this drop in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(9)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 3

16:47 Thirsk

Impartiality

9st 4lb

J: Shane Gray

T: Phillip Makin

Winner of his first three handicaps in 2025 (up to about 1m; good) and showed this mark wasn't beyond him when going close at Glorious Goodwood (1m, heavy) last July; should come on for his recent reappearance and have a say with cheekpieces back on.

10/1

9th

7

(11)

12th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 3

17:15 Musselburgh

Impartiality

9st 0lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Phillip Makin

Won his first three starts in 2025 so the 195-day absence isn't a major concern, but he is still 12lb above his last winning mark; cheekpieces worn in last four outings removed.

12/1

OUR TIP

Form: 4175 D

Last run: 54 days

W: 9st 11lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
AW debutante who may prove suited by this test, having shown best turf form when winning over the stiff 6f at Hamilton; heavy ground was a possible excuse last time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(9)

20th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Ziggys Ariel

9st 11lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Alice Haynes

Prominent racer; dropped right away at Lingfield last week (6f) and the widest stall won't make life easy this time.

16/1

9th

4

(3)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 1y

Class 5

17:05 Lingfield (AW)

Ziggys Ariel

9st 9lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Alice Haynes

Made all to win a 6f handicap at Ripon in April off this mark; dips back into Class 5 company for the first time since; well drawn to attack and she's not ruled out.

8/1

6th

5

(11)

26th Aug 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:35 Ripon

Ziggys Ariel

9st 9lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Alice Haynes

3yo whose best efforts this season have come here, winning over C&D (good) in April and going close over C&D (good) in June; fourth of 15 over C&D ten days ago and she's firmly in calculations.

8/1

Form: 85842

Last run: 42 days

W: 9st 1lb

2 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Improved form since handicapping and upped to 6f, finishing fourth at Southwell (AW) then second at Thirsk; clear possibilities, provided he takes well to first-time headgear.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(7)

21st Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Fallen Soldier

9st 3lb

J: James Sullivan

T: John & Sean Quinn

0-18 (5f/6f); beaten only a nose at Newcastle (5f, AW) in January but regressed in recent months and now steps up to 7f which is an unknown.

4/1

8

(8)

1st Aug 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

16:30 Newcastle (AW)

Fallen Soldier

9st 4lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: John & Sean Quinn

Has been placed a few times on the AW as when beaten a nose in a 0-75 handicap over C&D in January, but has regressed in recent months and now 0-17; stable also runs Beerwah.

14/1

10

(13)

7th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

16:05 Ayr

Fallen Soldier

9st 4lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John & Sean Quinn

Competitively treated on best efforts; however, remains a maiden and failed to beat a rival last time; hard to be confident about him.

16/1

16/1

Form: 5447

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 1lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Has something to find on turf figures and, by extension, opening mark doesn't look generous; needs to show improvement on AW/handicap debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(4)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Auntie Jo

9st 6lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: David O’Meara

Only win was over C&D in March when wearing a visor for the first time; best run since when second at Redcar last week (5f, good to firm); chance.

15/8

2nd

4

(4)

26th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

16:50 Redcar

Auntie Jo

9st 5lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

1-23 and her very best form has come on the AW, but she was only beaten just over 2l into fourth of 14 from 3lb higher at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) on her penultimate outing; possibilities if back to that sort of form.

100/30

9th

6

(6)

7th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

17:15 Redcar

Auntie Jo

9st 6lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: David O’Meara

Running well since the visor went on, most recently keeping on for fourth at Doncaster 13 days ago (5f, good to firm); each-way shout with a promising 7lb claimer enlisted.

4/1

Non-runners

Hundred Caps

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £12.60
Straight Forecast £8.81
Tricast £123.54
Trifecta £164.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Maissara

D Express:

Fallen Soldier

Daily Mail:

Ziggy's Ariel

RP RATINGS:

Maissara

POSTDATA:

Maissara

NEWMARKET:

Maissara

The Times:

Maissara

Telegraph:

Maissara

The Guardian:

Maissara

Daily Mirror:

Maissara

The Sun:

Maissara

Daily Record:

Maissara

The Star:

Fallen Soldier