All-Weather tips – best bets Tuesday, November 19
All-weather racing expert, Jack Haylett has three horses to back at Kempton.
Dubai Future (1.20 Kempton)
Duabi Future (2/1 Unibet) has run two very nice races so far, he managed to split now 98 and 90 rated rivals on what was a very promising debut effort, before showing a very willing attitude to win at the second time of asking. On both occasions I think he has shaped as a stayer in the making, and the step up in trip he now gets looks likely to suit well. He has been off the track since July so it is likely he met with a little setback, but I’d anticipate connections will have him fit enough to do himself justice here, and it may be that he is one that is kept on the go throughout the winter.
It is interesting connections also run the very long absent Beauvais, who, would not be without a chance, for all he is likelier to need the run. Casual Reply is the other potential threat, but I think the form of his two seconds this back-end is significantly weaker than that of my selection.
Laser Show (1.50 Kempton)
Laser Show (6/5 Paddy Power) posted a striking display on debut when learning on the job and staying on very well to wear down a now 92 rated rival late on, with the pair pulling five lengths clear of the field. Sent off as big as 14/1 that day it clearly hadn’t been expected, but I think he got through on natural ability alone and noted him down as a potential big improver next time, maybe even developing into a group horse.
Clearly things have not gone to plan since to only now be making the track, but I would expect him to be pretty fit for this return, particularly if connections have an eye on taking him over to Dubai as they do with so many. He must concede weight all around, but his form is superior to that of his likeliest challengers, Book Review and Hukum, and he is open to just as much improvement as they are. Ultimately I would be very disappointed were Laser Show not capable of winning this, and winning well at that.
Helvetian (4.25 Kempton)
The 4:25 looks quite an open contest, for all the market would say otherwise. I’m not so convinced by the short priced favourite Ice Cave, admittedly she is beautifully bred, but she won a weak race last time and has been given quite a harsh looking mark by the handicapper. I’m happy to take her on and I think the one to do so with is Helvetian (8/1 Paddy Power).
He made a winning stable debut over 5 furlongs at Wolverhampton just three weeks ago, the form of which isn’t necessarily that strong, but it was very much a step back in a positive direction for the selection whom was once rated as high as 102. He had appeared regressive with former trainer, but the yard switch may just have sparked him back to life. He won off a mark of 80 that day, and has risen 4lbs in the handicap, but with apprentice weight-claim now factored in he is effectively running off 79 here. Also factor in that Helvetian is a former course and distance winner then I think there is plenty reason to fancy him strongly.