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Monaco Grand Prix: F1 Betting Tips, Race Prediction and Latest Odds

Formula 1 has barely had a chance to breathe since Max Verstappen stormed to a third straight victory in Barcelona on Sunday.

The world champion leapt to the top of the championship after Charles Leclerc was forced out of the race from first position with a power issue.

But Ferrari head into the Monaco weekend in high spirits, with Leclerc and team-mate Carlos Sainz expected to have the best package for the intricate street circuit.

Red Bull certainly won’t make life easy for the Scuderia, and Mercedes look like a coming force after taking a giant step forward under the heat of the Spanish sun. Throw in the possibility of rain and Lewis Hamilton could well be in his element as he attempts to navigate the wet conditions on a Monaco track he knows so well.

Monaco Grand Prix Latest Outright Odds

Charles Leclerc EVS
Max Verstappen 7/5
Lewis Hamilton 14/1
George Russell 16/1
Sergio Perez 16/1
Carlos Sainz 16/1
Valtteri Bottas 90/1
All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (10:00, 27/05/2022). 18+ BeGambleAware.

Leclerc fastest qualifier and race winner (15/8)

It is surely only a matter of time before Charles Leclerc ends his rotten sequence on home tarmac and delivers a Ferrari victory at the Monaco Grand Prix. Leclerc hasn’t finished a Formula 1 race in the Principality in three attempts and also failed to reach the flag in two F2 appearances at the same circuit.

At the Monaco Historic earlier in May he encountered more misery at his home track when the classic 1974 Ferrari he was piloting suffered a brake issue on the entry to La Rascasse.

The track should suit the Prancing Horses over their title rivals, with Red Bull’s straight line advantage undermined by the narrow, twisting nature of much of the Monte Carlo circuit. Leclerc also boasts qualifying superiority over Red Bull this season, with four pole positions out of six, and Saturday’s session will take on greater importance at a track where it’s very difficult to pass.

Lewis Hamilton to finish on the podium (5/2)

Whisper it quietly, but Mercedes might be back. Toto Wolff said Hamilton “would have raced for the win” in Spain were it not for contact with Kevin Magnussen’s Haas on the opening lap. As it was, team-mate George Russell picked up another podium finish and Hamilton delivered an incredible recovery drive to secure P5.

While it might be premature to suggest Mercedes are on terms with both Ferrari and Red Bull, they have certainly bridged the gap and it might not be long before we have a genuine three-way scrap at the top of the field. However, the Silver Arrows look sharper in race trim and both drivers know the unforgiving nature of a Monaco race weekend means a minor misstep in qualifying could scupper their hopes. That’s where Hamilton’s experience could play a key role.

Charles Leclerc to win, Max Verstappen podium finish, Lewis Hamilton top six and Sergio Perez points finish (7/1)

We’ve covered Charles Leclerc’s chances of superiority in the city where he grew up, but Max Verstappen will be sure to push the Monegasque all the way. Verstappen arrives in Monaco as championship leader following a hat-trick of wins, and Red Bull have won five of the last 11 Monaco Grands Prix.

There’s not much value in a Verstappen podium finish at 4/11, but you can throw in a Leclerc victory, a resurgent Hamilton troubling the top six and a Sergio Perez points finish for a 7/1 punt. Checo has not finished outside the top four since his nightmare in the Bahrain season opener and has proved an able wingman to Verstappen during the world champion’s early title defence.

Race prediction (11/2):

1 – Charles Leclerc

2 – Max Verstappen

3 – Lewis Hamilton