Horse Racing Tips on Thursday, December 16th
Ascot headline Friday’s meetings, but there is racing around the UK from Uttoxeter, Southwell and Kempton as well. Our editor has picked out four tips, all at significant prices, that combine to make Friday’s 16,457/1 Lucky 15.
Colonel Mustard (2:20 Ascot)
In a race with significant strength in depth, the one to perform at the highest level thus far is Lorna Fowler’s COLONEL MUSTARD.
Jonbon, Knappers Hill and Elle Est Belle all arrive with taller reputations, but the Irish raider, though winless last season, finished second in a Grade 1, beaten only 3 ¼ lengths by Echoes In Rain, at the Punchestown Festival. He finished ahead of Blue Lord that day and showed that was no fluke by winning very easily on his seasonal return.
His trainer had entered him in this country last month so there has clearly been an intention to challenge on these shores and if he has improved from last season, which there is every chance he has given his profile, he is far too big a price and a perfect first entry for an each-way Lucky 15.
Just Don’t Know (2:35 Uttoxeter)
In calmer waters at Uttoxeter, JUST DON’T KNOW has a consistent if unremarkable profile having finished fifth in each of his four rules starts.
That might not initially appeal to many, but he contested two very strong novice hurdles earlier this year before turning his attention fences.
He wasn’t far from getting off the mark off 5lbs higher at Carlisle in April on his chasing debut and he may have needed the run when returning at Ayr. Given he won a point-to-point over three miles, the step up in trip is unlikely to be an issue and this looks like his best opportunity so far.
Authorised Speed (3:30 Ascot)
This Listed bumper has been won by horses as varied as Shutthefrotdoor and Supasundae in recent years.
For this renewal, though Paul Nicholls’ is double-handed with Henri The Second and Hugos New Horse, it is the Moore team who are sided with.
Their AUTHORISED SPEED was an incredibly unlucky loser when favourite for his debut at Market Rasen back in May. Despite meeting trouble in running on numerous occasions, once almost colliding and being brought to a halt next to the rails, he still regained significant momentum where less talented horses would barely have raised a gallop again.
He finished second, beaten only three lengths and putting a healthy margin between himself and the third. It will be very interesting to see how he goes with a clearer run.
Ducal Crown (4:15 Kempton)
For a level stake, you would be up a remarkable 89 points for having backed all of Andrew Balding’s two-year-olds this year. That is an astonishing profit rate.
That owes to the market being more generous about his runners than the Gosdens’ and that is likely to be the case again when DUCAL CROWN lines up for Kempton’s opener under the lights.
She is out of a South African Group 1 winner and related to further Pattern winners from that country. Meanwhile, though his sire, Duke Of Marmalade, is better known for fathering stayers, his progeny have won more races between 7-9f than at any other trip.