Friday’s all-weather racing tips – Three horses to back at Newcastle and Dundalk
All-weather expert, Jack Haylett picks out three horses to back at today’s all-weather meetings from Newcastle and Dundalk on Friday 6th November.
Friday’s All-Weather Tips
Clearly not everything has gone to plan with Dulas having made his debut in July, and only run once since, but I’m sure there is a big engine there if they can get things right with him. He made his debut in what was the hottest 2yo novice of the season, and he ran an incredibly promising race to be beaten just over 5 lengths that day. I was fully expectant of him to turn up and win comfortably second up, but he ran his race completely wrong that day pulling hard and then hanging late on.
Potentially something was amiss that day and I’m happy to give him another chance. Charlie Hills isn’t running many at present but those that he is are running well, and I hope this drop back in trip will really suit Dulas. The form of his debut is significantly better than anything else in this field, so if able to bounce back now he will take an awful lot of beating.
I’ve always been a sucker for a nice unexposed handicapper, and I miss the days when first time out winners were allotted handicap marks. Brushwork is almost a bit of a throwback in this scenario, as I’m backing him purely on the basis of his debut win, that day he beat rivals rated 82, 85 and 94. He done so with incredible ease, powering away over course and distance to score by nearly three lengths, and there certainly would appear scope for him to be winning from the handicap mark he has been allotted of 85.
I wouldn’t be taking much from his second win, sent off as short as 1/25 he had little to beat and it was just an easy bit of work for him, however having really only had one run to assess him on then I think the handicapper has taken a chance with the selection. This is a much different proposition here, facing battle hardened handicappers, but I’m hopeful Brushwork could just be a class above this field.
Lapilli is a horse that has seemingly regressed significantly from his early form, having at one time been rated as high as 87. He runs here off 56 now, with his last win coming off 52 so he is clearly around a winning mark, particularly if factoring in his useful apprentice’s 7lb weight allowance. He caught the eye on recent debut for new yard, when not really put into the race and staying on under a tender ride into fourth, beaten around two lengths.
He is much better drawn now though and I’d be hopeful of him taking another step forward, for all he is in a better race. I hope that the yard switch has revitalised Lapilli, and any market support I do think would be noteworthy. At current prices however I think he represents a very fair betting proposition, and I’d be surprised if he wasn’t going close.