Friday’s all-weather tips – Three tips from Southwell, Wolverhampton and Dundalk
All-weather expert, Jack Haylett takes a look at today’s cards at Southwell, Wolverhampton and Dundalk and picks out his best bet at each meeting on Friday 20th December.
Friday’s All-Weather Tips
I posted Holiday Magic as a bet at the end of November, and having won for us that day I think there is certainly reason to stick with him once more. He made all that day and showed a very likeable attitude in doing so. A 3lb rise is very fair, and this looks a similarly weak handicap. In fact, the weight rise he now gets is actually negated if factoring in his jockey’s weight claim, for all Paddy Bradley is quite a sizeable jockey downgrade from Tom Marquand.
The switch to the rather specialist Southwell is no concern, he has won and placed a further four times from seven starts here so clearly handles the surface well. He is clearly in great form at present, and I think the 5/1 available is very fair. Jazz Hands would look his main rival, he is 2/2 at the track and remains unexposed, that said I’d be hopeful Holiday Magic would have his number.
I think the 5:30 is all about one horse, that being Global Esteem. He shaped with significant promise on debut, notably green that day he didn’t really know how to race. Pulling hard for most of the trip he eventually tired late, but he done well to hold on for a place, and with that run under his belt I would be expecting to see a much-improved performance now.
The switch to the all weather should pose no concern for this expensive son of Kodiac, and I think he has been found a very winnable race. If looking at his main market rivals then it is easy to find reason to take them on; Blake’s Vision looks a typically well purchased colt for Mark Johnston, but he concedes a winners penalty and will find that tough, whereas I would be very negative on the form of Amazing News’ debut. With that in mind then it is easy to make Global Esteem a very confident selection, in fact I would be disappointed were he beaten.
Already four times a course winner then I’d have been surprised had you told me Settle for Bay would be running at Dundalk again following his mighty impressive Royal Hunt Cup win in 2018. Clearly things have not gone to plan since, but following five runs, he has dropped back to his winning mark that day, and clearly this a much easier race.
He has been absent since the Hunt Cup this year, so must of had injury problems, but he returns for a yard in form and I think he may just be too good for this field. My one concern with him is that they may be running here simply as a prep before taking him to Dubai as they did last season.
Having had issues however, then I doubt they would be sending him to the track lacking too much fitness, and if anywhere near his best he will win this, at the prices therefore I think Settle For Bay is certainly worth chancing. Of the field then it would be Tommy Taylor, who is well treated on first start for new yard that would concern me the most.