ITV Racing Selections – Tips For All Eight Races On Saturday
ITV Racing’s show is set to a busy one on Saturday, with eight races across three different tracks. We have selections in every race from Sandown, York and Chester below.
Vee Sight (1.40 Sandown)
It appears that the three set to head the market in this three-year-old handicap will be the trio who have made the fewest appearances.
Aldhaja comes off the back of a promising victory, while Maplewood is an obvious candidate for Godolphin in first-time cheekpieces. However, William Buick is at York, suggesting Charlie Appleby’s protagonists will mostly be up north for the day.
Instead, it is the thrice-raced VEE SIGHT who looks a fascinating contender on his seasonal debut. Though he has been unplaced in his three races to date, they have looked especially strong ones for the level he has contested.
He has also steadily improved for each start and his mark of 74 for a first run in handicap company is very gentle. He is a three-part brother to Group 1 winner Scope and is a half-sibling (or more closely-related) to five winners with RPRs of 93 or above for his trainer Ralph Beckett.
Being by Churchill, this step up to 1m1f should be cosily within his range and he is confidently expected to go well here. It is notable that his relatives have tended to improve between two and three as well.
Topanticipation (2.00 York)
The Queen Mother’s Cup Handicap is for female amateur jockeys and having a rider with significant winning experience.
Last year’s winning jockey Amie Waugh does not return, but the second, third and fourth do in Becky Smith, Serena Brotherton and Emily Easterby. The first-named was runner-up on Arctic Fox last year, but she takes the ride this term on the in-form TOPANTICIPATION.
Smith has been very successful on the flat. Indeed if you had backed all of her 138 rides since the start of 2018 on the level, 26 of which have been victorious, you would have made greater than a 16-point profit. Two of those winners have come in her ten rides this year.
Her mount was successful in a course and distance apprentice handicap for Pierre-Louis Jamin last time out. Indeed, Topanticipation’s record over track and trip now reads 221 and given she looks to have improved this term, she looks a solid bet here.
Ouzo (2.15 Sandown)
Lyndon B is nearly tempting enough to turn the form around with OUZO from their last meeting. However, John Flint’s charge may need at least one more run before he finds full fitness, despite excelling over course and distance.
Instead, the top-weight Ouzo may prove superior again. He was making his first appearance for Jamie Osborne when a very narrow runner-up here last month. Had the winner, Rebel Territory, not been running, he would have been a 5½ length winner over Lyndon B.
A 4lb rise for that excellent stable debut does not look too harsh, and had the duo’s positions been first and second as opposed to second and third, the 5lb swing would probably have been greater. His mark is now 94, but he was a fine fourth in the Royal Hunt Cup last term when fourth of 30 off a rating of 96.
He can remain very competitive here and it is very promising that his recent first run for Osborne was close to, if not a career best.
Lion Tower (2.35 York)
Tim Easterby’s Boardman has been in excellent form recently and is a previous course and distance winner. However, his task at Chester last time was probably easier than that which of a few of his market rivals faced.
On collateral form with the consistent Mykonos St John, it is Challet’s form which comes out best in terms of swings in the handicap when compared with Boardman and Maywake. Nevertheless, all may find themselves gazumped here by LION TOWER.
Grant Tuer’s horses of four-years-old and older have run above expectations this season, with a level stake profit for their 101 outings. Lion Tower has come close to adding to that tally, with form this year of 532 in fields of 15, 13 and 20 runners.
He is only up 1lb for those three efforts over 1m, and though his one run over 7f at York was a little disappointing, but came at the end of a busy season last year. If forgiven that, he should go even closer in this smaller field.
Live In The Dream (2.50 Sandown)
Group 2 winner Caturra has an obvious chance, but LIVE IN THE DREAM made such a striking impression when winning over course and distance earlier this season that he could take the beating here.
He will be in receipt of 5lb from Clive Cox’s favourite here and has been on the upgrade throughout his time on turf in 2022. Soft ground prevented his best efforts at Thirsk, but on good-to-firm ground, he was a rampant winner here in April.
Thereafter, he was an equally emphatic winner at Chester under Ryan Moore. Those two wins served to increase his rating by 15lb and that proved too much for him when fifth in the Epsom Dash on Derby day.
However, that was still a respectable effort, as he did best of those in the top half of the draw despite trying to set an unsustainable pace. Back at this track and with Frankie Dettori aboard, he can make the step up to Listed company.
Kemari (3.05 York)
The class act in York’s highlight is probably KEMARI, who can make William Buick’s decision to go north worthwhile.
Brian Meehan’s Mandoob may have been in better recent form, but Kemari has the back class to rediscover his mojo in this race. After a great start to his career with two wins in three starts, including the Group 2 Queen’s vase over this trip of 1m6f, he has failed to maintain any consistency.
His best run since was when second to stablemate Manobo in another Longchamp Group 2 on soft ground. Otherwise, he has been beaten upwards of 10 lengths in similar levels of company.
This six-runner field is not filled with burgeoning staying superstars though. A recurrence of anything like his best form could easily be enough.
Outgate (3.20 Chester)
A recent winner over course and distance, OUTGATE has a fabulous chance of doing so again for Derby winning jockey Richard Kingscote.
His form of 213 this season is the best in this field, with his second at Newmarket being behind a very promising horse. He was drawn in stall one when successful here at the start of May, but stall two is just as beneficial.
He was third at Haydock last time under Tom Marquand when not getting the best of starts. That would be slightly concerning back at this track, though he still managed to place in third, finishing only behind an unbeaten winner and a very progressive runner-up.
That he can compete off the same mark of 93 here is useful and he looks very likely to be involved.
Ingra Tor (3.40 York)
This may be one of the biggest fields on Saturday afternoon, but the favourite INGRA TOR has unquestionably the strongest recent form.
Mick Channon’s three-year-old is very well-bred, being by Churchill out of a Listed winning mare. He made a very low-key debut at Newmarket last term, but has been transformed since reappearing at Southwell in March.
Over 6f, he got off the mark in novice company, before bumping into a 50/1 shot in Nationwide, who he was conceding 2lb to at Kempton. That horse soon racked up a hat-trick and is now rated 89. That narrow defeat did not get in the way of Ingra Tor’s improvement though, as he was a ruthless winner over this trip at Newmarket most recently.
The runner-up, Harry Three, has won since and there is therefore only a 1lb swing between them for a 2¼ length margin. A 9lb rise given the strength of that form is no negative at all and being drawn 11 should enable him some flexibility depending on any track bias.