ITV Racing Selections – Tips For All Seven Races On Day Five Of Royal Ascot
Royal Ascot Day 5: Selections Through the Card
Royal Ascot comes to a dramatic crescendo on Saturday as the track plays host to an ultra-competitive seven-race card which includes a vintage renewal of the Platinum Jubilee Stakes. Check out our horse racing expert’s selections through the card on the fifth and final day of the Royal Meeting.
Alfred Munnings (2.30 Ascot) 1/1
Backing once-raced even money shots at Royal Ascot is usually a surefire route to the poorhouse, but you get the strong suspicion that team Ballydoyle thinks plenty of ALFRED MUNNINGS and considering that he’s their sole representative in a race they’ve won in 2016, 2017, 2020 and 2021, there’s a fair chance that he’ll prove too strong for this field.
This colt has an incredible pedigree being a half-brother to last season’s exceptional filly Snowfall, both horses out of a Group 3 winning full sister to Arc winner Found.
Alfred Munnings was sent off the 8/11F for a Leopardstown maiden on debut last month and he justified those odds in very impressive fashion, after which the Chesham was named as his immediate target.
He can land the spoils here ahead of Alzahir, who was far too keen to do himself justice in an incredibly slowly run Yarmouth novice last time. Crypto Force was picked up for £900,000 at the sales earlier this week and is another worthy of mention in what looks like a race well worth following.
Recommended BetALFRED MUNNINGS (2:30pm Ascot) 1/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Toimy Son (3.05 Ascot) 20/1
Noble Stuff has been far from the easiest ride in the past and there’s no real shock to see connections now geld him. How he’ll handle these preliminaries is a notable concern.
The Jersey Stakes often sees runners that contested a Guineas of some description and an interesting runner that fits that description is Star Girls Aalmal, who was fourth in a strong Irish 1000 Guineas last time out.
She has to enter calculations, but whether this ground will prove too fast is a legitimate concern, and at a significantly greater price, TOIMY SON is worth chancing.
The French took this race with Le Brivido in 2017 and in truth it’s a little surprising that they haven’t landed more renewals recently as their race schedule seems far more suited to these competitive 7f races than in Britain.
Toimy Son has always been held in high regard by connections, contesting races like the Prix Morny and Criterium International as a juvenile. He shaped with plenty of encouragement on 3yo debut when runner-up at Saint-Cloud and backed that up with an impressive victory in Listed company at Longchamp last month.
This is obviously far tougher, but the runner-up from that Longchamp race has since landed the German 1000 Guineas and the third has gone in at Listed level himself, so the form reads very well.
A hold-up performer, Toimy Son is always going to find it tricky in his native France where the races are often run at a steady pace before a sprint develops in the home straight, and at Ascot with a strong pace likely courtesy of Noble Stuff, things could fall into his lap late on.
Recommended BetTOIMY SON (3:05pm Ascot) 20/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Mostahdaf (3.40 Ascot) 10/1
If Hurricane Lane brings his A-game he’ll be very tough to beat, but he’s yet to race on ground quicker than good and with all roads leading back to Longchamp in October he’s not expected to be arriving here anywhere near fully fit.
Last year’s runner-up Broome is interesting and given Sir Michael Stoute’s record in this contest, Solid Stone can’t be discounted.
If there is one in this line-up that’s been a little discounted, however, it appears to be MOSTAHDAF.
This colt is a half-brother to the same connections Duke Of Cambridge Stakes winner Nazeef and comes into this having won four of his six starts to date, with an excuse for his heavy defeat in the St James’s Palace here 12 months ago (badly hampered).
Mostahdaf was a beaten favourite in the Group 3 Brigadier Gerard at Sandown last time, but considering that he was attempting to concede 3lb to Wednesday’s Prince Of Wales’s runner-up Bay Bridge there it was always likely to be a tough ask.
The big question mark here surrounds Mostahdaf’s stamina on his first try at 1m4f, but his sire Frankel offers hope for his ability to see out this distance and cheekpieces go on, which looks interesting.
Recommended BetMOSTAHDAF (3:40pm Ascot) 10/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Campanelle (4.20 Ascot) 11/1
Home Affairs represents the Waller – McDonald partnership which dismantled the King’s Stand earlier in the week and given he was ahead of that winner on the penultimate run he’s obviously worthy of respect here.
At the prices, however, preference instead goes to CAMPANELLE, who is already a dual Royal Ascot winner, her 2020 Queen Mary victory followed by a Commonwealth Cup win (albeit which came in the stewards’ room).
Campanelle made a winning start to this season in the Listed Giant’s Causeway at Keeneland in April, and that was an eyecatching victory as she made her challenge very wide on the Keeneland bend.
Campanelle’s season is very likely to have revolved around a return to the Royal Meeting, and although jockey Irad Ortiz Jr hasn’t enjoyed a particularly good Royal Ascot up to now, his luck could be about to change here.
Recommended BetCAMPANELLE (4:20pm Ascot) 11/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Silver Samurai (5.00 Ascot) 12/1
A typically competitive renewal of the Wokingham here. Fresh is always worthy of respect in these big-field handicaps but might prefer slightly softer ground whilst the well-punted Irish raider Quarantine Dreams reverts to handicaps but just seems, regardless of the trip, to be a horse that only really gets going once the race is over.
Preference goes to SILVER SAMURAI, who is on the real crest of a wave at present, a cosy Newbury win followed by an even more impressive victory at Haydock three weeks ago.
That Haydock form has been franked since with the second winning next time out, and a 5lb penalty for that win leaves Silver Samurai a pound well in on his revised handicap mark. Low-to-middle draws have been the go-to at this year’s Royal Ascot and that would suggest that Silver Samurai could be well berthed here in stall 5. Trainer Marco Botti’s horses have been in flying form at present and that includes a winner at the Royal meeting earlier in the week – his fine run can continue with victory in the Wokingham.
Recommended BetSILVER SAMURAI (5:00pm Ascot) 12/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Trojan Horse (5.35 Ascot) 25/1
Falling Shadow, Missed The Cut and Aldous Huxley come into this with the sexy profiles and are preferred in that order, but if there is one at a bigger price here who it could just pay to chance then it is surely TROJAN HORSE.
The Johnston’s have had a quiet Royal Ascot so far but their runners are always worthy of respect, particularly in the middle distance handicaps, and Trojan Horse caught the eye with a cosy success at Ripon on 3yo debut.
Trojan Horse hasn’t added to that success in his next two starts, but on both occasions, he’s led the field 2f out before being passed late on. Those showings would suggest that if Trojan Horse can be let loose here on the front end (which looks very possible from stall 2) he could be difficult to catch dropped back to this trip.
Recommended BetTROJAN HORSE (5:35pm Ascot) 25/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Falcon Eight (6.10 Ascot) 13/2
A change in weather forecast makes Trueshan a likely non-runner here, as connections would only consider running if the ground turned soft and rain now no longer expected until later in the evening.
Whilst the forecast is a negative for his connections, it’s certainly not that for those associated with FALCON EIGHT, who was in the exact opposite position 12 months ago when favourite for this race.
The soft ground went against Falcon Eight there, and he failed to justify the market support, but he’s got conditions much more in his favour today and was a big eyecatcher in the Chester Cup last month when staying on from an uncompromising position into fifth.
That race has worked out very well, and Tom Marquand now takes over in the saddle. Expect Falcon Eight to once again be ridden cold here and he should be making up ground when others have long cried enough.