Lingfield Winter Million Sunday Selections – Tips For Every Race On The Day 3 Finale
Lingfield Sunday Tips on Day Three of the Winter Million
The final day of Lingfield’s Inaugural Winter Million festival takes place on Sunday with the track playing host to a seven-race card that includes the Class 2 Fleur De Lys Chase and the Surrey National. Here at Racing Tips, we have produced tips for all of the races at Lingfield on Sunday.
Estacas (12:50, Winter Million Open National Hunt Flat Race)
Running 2m on the all-weather wouldn’t have initially been at the forefront of many of these connections minds, but that comment may not apply so strongly to the German raider ESTACAS, who is impeccably-bred being closely related to three-time Group 1 winner Earl Of Tisdal.
He looked cooked turning for home on debut at Ascot in October, yet stayed on resolutely once given the full oracle and ultimately ran out a cosy winner.
Estacas has been gelded since and that could unlock improvement, whilst for connections hopes of the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham must hinge on victory here. Our Jester rates a clear second best albeit he may find things happening all too quickly at this track.
Recommended BetESTACAS (12:50pm Lingfield) 3/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Ballygrifincottage (1:20, Winter Million Novices’ Hurdle)
It is difficult to get away from the claims of BALLYGRIFINCOTTAGE for this 2m7f novices’ hurdle, with the 7yo going into more than one notebook after finishing third in a Cheltenham Grade 2 on last month’s rules debut.
Dan Skelton’s charge had landed a trio of point-to-points prior to that, and the Cheltenham form looked exceptionally strong with the winner Blazing Khal favourite for the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle prior to last week’s injury announcement.
Irish raider Fameaftertheglory can give the selection most to think about albeit he has now been beaten at prohibitive odds on both hurdles starts.
Recommended BetBALLYGRIFINCOTTAGE (1:20pm Lingfield) 2/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Il Ridoto (1:50, Cazoo Novices’ Chase)
This 2m contest looks wide-open and it could pay to side with IL RIDOTO, who had some useful form to his name in France last year.
Paul Nicholls’ charge has twice finished behind War Lord since joining current connections, but he looks best judged on his penultimate Newbury victory, where he looked a Graded horse running in a handicap.
That form received a boost courtesy of the third home Frero Banbou’s victory here on Friday, and a poor subsequent run in the Henry VIII at Sandown looks best forgiven considering that it came just a week after Newbury.
Recommended BetIL RIDOTO (1:50pm Lingfield) 10/3 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Goshen (2:25, Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Hurdle)
Brewin’upastorm still looked well in contention prior to crashing out at the final flight at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day, whilst one-time Champion Hurdle third Darver Star arrives on the back of a 20l Punchestown demolition that came just a day earlier.
Those horses are 9yo and 10yo respectively, however, and whilst he is far from the most reliable of horses, if there was a day for GOSHEN then it is surely here.
Gary Moore’s stable star evidently hasn’t reached the standards once expected of him, but it’s easy to forget that he remains just 6yo and in recent seasons his first hurdles starts of a calendar year have come on heavy ground (gets his conditions here) and have produced 11l and 22l victories.
It’s less than 12 months since he was sent off the 11/2 third favourite for the Champion Hurdle and these two main market rivals would surely be at least three times the price if ever contesting Cheltenham’s premier hurdles race.
Recommended BetGOSHEN (2:25pm Lingfield) 3/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Dashel Drasher (3:00, Fleur De Lys Chase)
Jeremy Scott’s DASHEL DRASHER rates the best bet on the card at Lingfield on Sunday.
It’s now exactly 12 months to the day since this gelding made all in a handicap chase at Ascot, and less than a month later he supplemented the victory at Grade 1 level in the Ascot Chase – accounting for the reopposing Master Tommytucker.
Good ground was no use back at that venue on seasonal reappearance, yet Dashel Drasher put up a much improved showing returned to softer ground at Newbury last time.
Connections post-race reported that they were slightly disappointed not to run him in the King George as they felt that he would have run a big race in that Grade 1 contest. This is a huge drop from that level, and with conditions to suit and the yard in fine form it is impossible to see past the 9yo in the feature Jumps’ race of the three-day Winter Million festival.
Recommended BetDASHEL DRASHER (3:00pm Lingfield) 3/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Laskalin (3:35, racehorselotto.com Surrey National Handicap Chase)
Plenty of exposed types make the line-up for this year’s Surrey National, yet if there is a runner who appears to have slipped under the handicapping radar somewhat then it is surely LASKALIN, who represents the bang in-form Venetia Williams yard.
This 7yo posted RPR’s in the 140s on three occasions when trained in France and although failing to match that level of form in three starts since joining this stable he put up what was – on the figures at least – his best performance when runner-up at Lingfield on New Year’s Day.
Marathon trips on bottomless ground look this horses forte, and a mark of 130 is surely workable considering he started life in Britain off a mark 13lb higher.
Chris Gordon’s Go Whatever rates the main danger having scored impressively at Plumpton last time.
Recommended BetLASKALIN (3:35pm Lingfield) 11/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Triple Trade (4:08, Winter Million Novices’ Handicap Hurdle)
The likes of Shearer, Nothin To Ask and Global Agreement all arrive in decent heart and sit towards the top of the market for this event, but at the prices, preference is for Colin Tizzard’s TRIPLE TRADE.
This 6yo Norse Dancer gelding finished a creditable third on handicap debut at Sandown last month, and the runner-up has since franked that form with a third-place of himself in a very competitive Newbury handicap hurdle.
On his penultimate run, Triple Trade finished fourth at Exeter behind the classy Jpr One, finishing just under 3l off the classy I Am Maximus (134-rated). That run in isolation suggests that a mark of 118 could underestimate him, but even so, it is identical to that of the 5/2 favourite Shearer who he meets on level weights.