Monday 25 November horse racing tips – Murphy’s 11/10 chance can strike at Kempton
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Monday's UK horse racing meetings.
The week kicks off with a programme of four UK horse racing meetings which takes in afternoon action over the sticks from the cards at Ludlow, Musselburgh and Kempton; while over there is also action on the all-weather from Chelmsford on their polytrack surface.
There is Listed action on the card at Kempton with the Racing TV Mares’ Hurdle the feature race of the afternoon.
Ludlow (jumps) – 12.35 – 3.50pm (7 races)
Musselburgh (jumps) – 12.45 – 3.30 (6 races)
Kempton (jumps) – 12.55 – 3.40pm (6 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 3.25 – 7.00pm (8 races)
BRIAN HEALY’S NAP OF THE DAY – MONDAY 25 NOVEMBER
1.30 Kempton – THOMAS DARBY (11/10, Paddy Power)
(1.05) LOUD AS LIONS (6/4, Paddy Power) has plenty of weight to carry, but the Flemensfirth gelding can improve for his reappearance success over fences at Hereford earlier in the month, and Tom Symonds’ charge can follow up here.
Relatively lightly-raced over hurdles, he ran out a ten lengths’ victor over Stockburn in a first-time tongue-tie and with the potential for better to come in this discipline then he could go well despite having been raised 9lbs for that last win.
He does have a good 5lbs claimer up however, which will help somewhat with his weight burden, and he can step up on his promising chase debut win last time out to double up here.
(2.15) COURT ROYALE (5/1, William Hill) has finished runner-up the last twice since being switched to chasing, but Evan Williams’ charge can open his account over fences here at the third attempt.
The Court Cave gelding won three times over hurdles last campaign, two of which came at this venue, and he stepped up on a promising chase debut at Newton Abbot in September to finish just two lengths’ runner-up behind What’s Occuring over course and distance last month.
He was halted by a mistake at the second-last fence when travelling best otherwise he might well have won, and raised just 2lbs could well get off the mark if running to a similar level here.
12.35 – Rock On Tiger
1.05 – Loud As Lions
1.40 – Hurricane Harvey
2.15 – Court Royale
2.45 – Wilde Spirit
3.20 – Kingofthecotswolds
3.50 – Love The Leader
(12.45) TIMETOCHILL (Evens, Coral) showed some good form in bumpers, winning a Listed event on her second outing at Huntingdon last December although she failed to land a blow behind The Glancing Queen at Aintree in April.
Kelly Morgan’s Scorpion mare however shaped well on her hurdles debut at Huntingdon last month, finishing third, and she stepped up on that effort to get off the mark over timber at the second attempt with a defeat of Notre Pari at Market Rasen when last seen earlier in the month.
She made all the running that day, and she looked to idle slightly in front although was always holding the runner-up, and similar tactics here could see her prove hard to catch.
She has to concede weight to this field due to having to carry a penalty, but there is likely better still to come from her and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her following up here.
(1.55) TRAPPER PEAK (2/1, William Hill) is thriving at present, rounding off his time with Stef Keniry with back-to-back wins at Sedgefield and Catterick, and the Westerner gelding has continued the good work for current handler Justin Landy for whom he has registered further successes at Southwell and Fakenham latest.
He appeared to win a shade readily in that latest outing where he struck by almost two lengths from Haafapiece with the pair clear of the rest, and the runner-up and sixth horse hoe from that run have both found the winners’ enclosure since.
A 7lbs rise demands more, and he has plenty of weight here even allowing for the 5lbs allowance of the excellent Danny McMenamin; but given his recent purple patch of form, he looks worth sticking with to go in again.
12.45 – Timetochill
1.20 – Chateau Robin
1.55 – Trapper Peak
2.25 – Sporting Press
3.00 – Astute Boy
3.30 – Petite Ganache
(1.30) THOMAS DARBY (11/10, Paddy Power) shaped with plenty of promise on his chase debut behind a potentially smart rival in Maire Banrigh on his chase debut at Warwick earlier in the month, and with that experience under his belt the Beneficial gelding can go one better.
Olly Murphy’s charge was beaten only one length into second in that first outing, not helped by a couple of late mistakes. But he’ll have learned plenty from that outing and should be sharper for what was his seasonal return.
He looks the one to beat in this contest given that he is open to improvement over the larger obstacles on the back of that outing, and he can get off the mark at the second attempt over fences.
(2.05) CULTURE DE SIVOLA (10/3, William Hill) struck her last success over this course and distance, and Nick Williams’ charge can get back on the scoresheet returned to this venue.
The Assessor mare struggled in Graded company in two of her next three starts, but she ran well inbetween those runs at Exeter when finishing fifth to Flemcara, and she made a pleasing return to action behind Sirobbie at Uttoxeter last month where she finished third.
That form isn’t really standing up well despite a subsequent winner coming out of the race; but she looks the one to beat on her form here last season, and if building on her reappearance then she ought to go close under Lizzie Kelly.
12.55 – Coeur Serein
1.30 – Thomas Darby
2.05 – Culture De Sivola
2.35 – Timoteo
3.10 – Sandy Boy
3.40 – Storm Rising
(4.00) PROVOCATION (10/3, Bet365) could be the answer here having shaped with some promise in three starts to date, and Mark Johnston’s charge can open his account here.
The Lawman colt most had shown promise on turf at Pontefract on his debut, and he bounced back from a lesser run at Newcastle to finish just over one length third over this course and distance behind Stepney Causeway where he possibly just did too much too soon.
He showed a decent attitude though to keep running on, and a repeat might be good enough to see him get off the mark now in what looks a very winnable contest.
(5.30) INDIE ANGEL (6/4, Bet365) wasn’t given a hard time on her debut at Kempton last month, and John Gosden’s charge can show the benefit of that experience to do better here.
The Dark Angel filly finished five lengths’ fifth in that contest behind Little Becky, racing green early before finishing off well under some considerate handling, and the experience won’t have been lost on her.
She can do better here with that run under her belt, and every chance she can make her presence felt where she can get off the mark at the second attempt.
3.25 – Far Rockaway
4.00 – Provocation
4.30 – Majestic Noor
5.00 – Voice Of A Leader
5.30 – Indie Angel
6.00 – Must Be An Angel
6.30 – Prince Rock
7.00 – Catapult
BRIAN HEALY’S BEST BETS FOR MONDAY 25 NOVEMBER
12.45 Musselburgh – TIMETOCHILL (Evens, Coral)
1.05 Ludlow – LOUD AS LIONS (6/4, Paddy Power)
1.30 Kempton – THOMAS DARBY (11/10, Paddy Power)
1.55 Musselburgh – TRAPPER PEAK (2/1, William Hill)
2.05 Kempton – CULTURE DE SIVOLA (10/3, William Hill)
2.15 Ludlow – COURT ROYALE (5/1, William Hill)
4.00 Chelmsford – PROVOCATION (10/3, Bet365)
5.30 Chelmsford – INDIE ANGEL (6/4, Bet365)