Monday’s Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets on January 10
Horse Racing Tips on Monday, January 10
Taunton, Ludlow and Wolverhampton go racing on Monday. It is over the jumps at the first two tracks where our Lucky 15 is concerned, with our editor’s selections combining at odds of 8,220/1
Legends Gold (1:15 Ludlow)
Ladbrokes Trophy fifth Demachine heads the field in what is a significantly weaker event.
However, put up in opposition is LEGENDS GOLD, a mare who was third in a Listed event against her own sex most recently. She has not been as prolific over fences as she was over hurdles, but her two runs since returning from a break, including third in a hot handicap on her return, have hinted that a return to the winners’ enclosure could be imminent.
Moreover, eight of Rebecca Curtis’ nine winners so far this season have come over trips longer than 2m 6f and this is clearly the Welsh handler’s speciality. This is Legends Gold’s most winnable opportunity this term and jockey Sean Bowen’s 23% strike rate in chases this season is also superb.
Wrong Shape Ball (2:15 Ludlow)
There will be plenty of maiden hurdles stronger than this over the remainder of the season and neither of Jet Plane or Go Sacre Go, the two clear favourites, appeal on their novice form so far.
The former would have won in handicap company last time but for falling at the last and that sets the standard, but WRONG SHAPE BALL is worth taking a chance on at longer odds.
He was second at Catterick on his hurdles bow behind a horse who has gone on to win impressively again since. Nicky Martin’s six-year-old had a six length gap back to the third that day as well.
A repeat of that performance should ensure he gives account, but improvement would see him right in the mix.
Birds Of Prey (3:00 Taunton)
Three course and distance winners go in this field and by far the biggest price of those is BIRDS OF PREY.
First string for Paul Nicholls appears to be Cap Du Mathan on jockey bookings, but Bryony Frost is operating at a very high strike rate of her own right and this useful flat performer can almost certainly be forgiven his run on return.
He has never quite performed to the same high level over hurdles, but he has still won twice in this format, both coming over course and distance in 2019.
One of those was on soft ground as well and this is now a career-low mark he was running off. Although only eighth at Exeter last month, he had not raced previously for 645 days and he is capable of making this mark look far too generous at decent odds.
Gaot (4:05 Taunton)
Harry Fry has almost exclusively campaigned GAOT on ground that has been good-to-soft or quicker, most likely due to an underwhelming debut in a maiden hurdle at Wetherby in December 2019 on soft.
His mare did win on heavy in France prior to that though and there is a chance it could significantly aid her cause now. Six subsequent races after that Wetherby effort have been winless, but she has gone close twice off this mark of 98.
Two runner-up finishes have suggested she will not be a maiden forever and Lorcan Murtagh’s 3lb claim is another plus.