Monday’s Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets on January 31
Horse Racing Tips on Monday, January 31
A bumper day’s racing takes place on Monday with no fewer than four meetings taking place across Britain and Ireland. Plumpton and Wolverhampton are the tracks in focus for our top judge’s 1,341/1 Lucky 15.
Brummie Boys (3.10 Plumpton)
BRUMMIE BOYS has been ridden by Johnathan Burke on his last three starts which makes it interesting that Oliver Sherwood now employs 10lb claimer Alfie Jordan, who has his first winner earlier this season.
Utilising such a claim is usually a statement of intent from connections, as if Jordan is good for his claim, Brummie Boys will be running off lower than 112. Even then, that would be only 2lb above the mark off which he won at Southwell last May.
He was pulled up on his reappearance at Uttoxeter over fences, but his jumping was occasionally wayward and he was entitled to have needed the run anyway.
First time cheekpieces may also sharpen him up and he looks one of the more surefire stayers in the lineup.
Recommended BetBRUMMIE BOYS 10/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
The Domino Effect (3.40 Plumpton)
Chris Gordon’s chasers are operating at a healthy enough 18% strike rate this season and the switch to fences could well be a bonus for THE DOMINO EFFECT too.
He will be having his second start for the yard at Plumpton after running respectively enough at Ascot over hurdles in the first. However, the fact he faded that day contributed to a 3lb easing to his mark.
As such, this lightly-raced eight-year-old will be running off a career-low mark for his chase debut, but he was good enough to win a maiden hurdle comfortably for Emma Lavelle. Moreover, a step back up to three miles on good ground is also a big bonus for him.
Recommended BetTHE DOMINO EFFECT 7/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Systemic (4.10 Plumpton)
The form figures don’t look pretty for SYSTEMIC, but the one time he met conditions similar to these over course and distance, he ran his best race.
That came when fifth on his second hurdles start, while two useful horses won the other two races he contested without any realistic chance. A mark of 91 is reasonable for a horse making his debut after three unplaced efforts so far.
It is always difficult to gauge whether he will have anything or little to come, but Systemic was rated as high as 78 on the flat for Hugo Palmer, and 73 by the time he switched to Gary Moore’s.
If he could translate that form over hurdles now faced with handicaps, he would plausibly have plenty in hand and he was always going to be a horse for handicaps over hurdles.
Recommended BetSYSTEMIC 9/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Sir Duke (4.30 Wolverhampton)
Still inexperienced after just six starts, there have been signs that SIR DUKE would be capable of winning races and he comes out well at the figures here.
Ann Duffiels has tried various headgear on Sir Duke’s two starts for her since joining in December and while it has fostered little, the three-year-old may strike in this claimer.
This is his weakest race yet and with 7lb claimer Aiden Brookes aboard, he is better off comfortably than he would be in a handicap. Similarly, he now runs back over six furlongs, at which he put in his two best performances for Ivan Furtado.
A repeat of either of those efforts would see him go close.