Pertemps Final Tips – Irish challenger can run away with hot handicap
Pertemps Final Tips
Daryl Carter (@DarylCarter7) gives the latest of his Cheltenham day 3 tips here as he runs the rule over the Pertemps Network Final
As with all handicaps at the Cheltenham Festival, this looks tough to solve, but some horses at the head of the market look as if they have been laid out for a tilt at Cheltenham festival glory.
Pertemps Final Tips – Ante-post favourite has class
There is plenty to like about ante-post favourite PHOENIX WAY. He’s as short as 6/1 in places but is deserving of his place at the head of the market.
The unexposed former point-to-point winner has had just four starts over hurdles and returned with a fine effort on his first attempt at three miles when winning at Huntingdon in January after 383 days off the track in a first-time tongue-tie.
All his form, including his novice hurdle runs, stack up extremely well and the manner of his return victory suggests he is a horse going places. He resides on a handicap mark of 140, which looks extremely lenient despite a 7lb rise for his return victory and the negatives are extremely hard to find. He has an excellent chance of making it into the Cheltenham Festival winner’s enclosure
Last year’s winner could do it again
SIRE DU BERLAIS was rated 152 on his last start by the british handicapper when finishing fourth in a qualifier for this race, so a pound or two may ome off that rating, but he was value for more than the winning margin last term when winning the 2019 Pertemps Final off a mark of 145.
Tobefair finished second last year and that horse is now rated 17lb higher, with Sire Du Berlais giving that rival 9lb on the day. The third is also rated 7lb higher and you can ignore everything Sire Du Berlais has done since as the plan has always been to come back to this race. His talent holds no bounds and his course experience is a huge positive.
Elliott holding the nap hand
Gordon Elliott holds a very strong hand with his two runners at the top of the market and THE STORYTELLER brought cheers from the Leopardstown crowd when finishing sixth in a Pertempts qualifier for this race.
Connections have always had this in mind for their horse who sits on a 16lb lower hurdle mark than over fences. A Grade 1 winning novice chaser in 2018, hehas to be taken seriously despite being likely to get a few extra pounds from the British handicapper.
Thrown in at the deep end
ONE FOR THE TEAM showed he was no back number when running out an impressive winner on his recent start at Newbury off a handicap mark of 130.
A 12lb rise for that victory may be enough to find him out though and this represents much deeper waters than he has ever encountered. He could be one to avoid with your Cheltenham betting offers
Attractive handicap mark puts him in contention
TOUT EST PERMIS is an interesting runner for Noel Meade and reverts from chasing to cash in on a lowly handicap mark 26lbs lower over hurdles.
However, unlike The Storyteller, he has only managed to win one hurdle start in eleven attempts with three of those coming this season and despite the attractive handicap mark, he may just be a better horse over fences. He’s not forming part of my Cheltenham day 3 tips.
Nicholls runner looked good last time
WELSH SAINT qualified for this race at the final hour but improved on previous form with the step up in trip to three miles and cosily won his qualifying race at Haydock.
He will need to take another step forward to come out on top here but is unexposed at the trip and has course experience behind some good novice hurdlers this term. He has a decent chance for champion trainer Paul Nicholls.
Left Mullins and looking to bounce back
Relegate won the Champion Bumper in 2018 but has been out of sorts recently and has left trainer Willie Mullins.
A fine fourth on her return from a break, she is starting to look attractively handicapped and will not be the worst 20/1 shot at this year’s Cheltenham Festival.
Pertemps Final Tips – Big-race Verdict
This race is very difficult to weigh up at this stage and those at the top of the market all look attractive propositions.
The Storyteller looks to have been targeted at this race for quite some time and Gordon Elliott has played a masterful game in these types of handicaps. Stick with him and you will hit the frame at least.