Saturday 9 November horse racing tips – Keniry’s 5/4 chance can deliver another Oscar-winning performance at Kelso
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for all of Saturday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Five UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Saturday, with afternoon jumps racing meetings at Kelso, Aintree and Wincanton, where it is Elite Hurdle day and the Grade Two contest features on a quality racecard at the Somerset venue which also includes the Badger Ales Trophy.
There is also jumps racing in Ireland at Naas where there is Grade Three action headed by the Poplar Square Chase; while Saturday’s fixture list is completed by all-weather racing at Southwell on their fibresand surface.
Unfortunately, Doncaster’s schedule finale fixture to the 2019 Flat racing season was lost to the weather.
Naas (jumps) – 12.00 – 4.00pm (8 races)
Kelso (jumps) – 12.10 – 3.40pm (7 races)
Aintree (jumps) – 12.25 – 3.55pm (7 races)
Wincanton (jumps) – 12.40 – 4.10pm (7 races)
Southwell (flat, aw) – 4.40 – 8.10pm (8 races)
SATURDAY 9 NOVEMBER NAP SELECTION
(12.30) QUARTZ DU RHEU (5/1, Paddy Power) may just have been stretched by the longer trip at Galway last month, but Willie Mullins’ charge could get back to winning ways here back down in trip.
The Konig Turf gelding has won two of his four starts since moving from Guy Cherel’s French operation, latterly scoring at Down Patrick when beating Elwood by five lengths last month, and there could be better yet to come from him.
Owner JP McManus has won the last two renewals of this contest, last year with the ill-fated Espoir D’allen, and the Konig Turf could prove the pick of the owner’s trio in this race where he chould have more to offer and will likely appreciate this lesser stamina test.
(2.15) ARCTIC LIGHT (5/1, Bet365) has just one win to his name, but the Iffraaj gelding could be worth chancing to get back on the scoresheet having run well on both starts in 2019, latterly finishing just under six lengths’ third behind Mindsmadeup.
Cheekpieces appear to have delivered some improvement in the fortunes of Tom Mullins’ seven-year old who struck his sole win at Sligo last August, and he split a pair of next-time winners with his bronze medal finish last time out.
He hasn’t cut much ice previously over fences, but he switches back to the larger obstacles here where he makes his handicap chase debut from a basement mark, and if handling better the return to chasing then he can make his presence felt.
12.00 – Blackbow
12.30 – Quartz Du Rheu
1.05 – Cilaos Emery
1.40 – Nibblers Charm
2.15 – Arctic Light
2.50 – Elixir D’Ainay
3.25 – Tornado Flyer
4.00 – Beth Horan
(12.45) OSCAR CEREMONY (5/4, William Hill) ran out an easy course and distance winner last month, and Stef Keniry’s charge could be worth keeping onside to follow up here.
The Oscar gelding was making just his second chase start, and he sported a tongue-tie for the first time in that contest where he ran out a four lengths’ winner over Prince Dundee despite not always being foot-perfect.
He is 5lbs higher now, but he could have more to offer in this discipline and if he can jump cleaner then he could well defy his new mark to win again.
(2.30) KING’S WHARF (7/2, William Hill) might not be the force he was, but Sandy Thompson’s charge remains capable of a big run and the Clodovil gelding has rattled the crossbar the last twice in starts at Perth and Carlisle.
His last outing saw him beaten just under four lengths behind Le Frank, keeping on once headed, and he ought to appreciate this slightly stiffer test of stamina while the ground will hold no fears for him.
While he is 2lbs higher in the weights here, he has run well in the past from similar and higher marks, and he ought to continue to give a good account where he can get back on the scoresheet.
12.10 – Get Help
12.45 – Oscar Ceremony
1.20 – Court Baloo
1.55 – Pookie Pekan
2.30 – King’s Wharf
3.05 – Quids In
3.40 – Hart Of Steel
(12.55) CHAMPAGNE NOIR (4/1, Ladbrokes) shaped with plenty of promise when finding only one too strong on his hurdles debut at Carlisle last month, and the Stowaway gelding could be worth keeping onside to improve and go one place better.
Charlie Longsdon’s charge was beaten twelve lengths on that first run over hurdles, and he may just have needed the run so ought to strip fitter for this latest assignment.
He gets 6lbs from the standard-setting Mossy Fen who might find this lesser trip against him, and that weight concession could be enough to see him get home in front here with the potential for better still to come.
(2.40) SKANDIBURG (10/3, Bet365) might have won on his reappearace at Market Rasen last month but for a momentum-stopping mistake at the last, and Olly Murphy’s charge can go one place better here.
The Sageburg gelding won three of his six starts over hurdles in the 2018/19 season, and he looked set to collect on his return before his late error although he finished the race off well and almost managed to pull the win out of the fire.
He is likely to be sharper now with that run under his belt, and along with the eventual winner pulled a long way clear of the rest of the field. He’s been raised 4lbs as a consequence, but the step up in trip could prove a catalyst for further improvement and he can get back to winning ways here.
12.20 – Champagne Mystery
12.55 – Champagne Noir
1.30 – The Last Day
2.05 – Riders Onthe Storm
2.40 – Skandiburg
3.15 – Roksana
3.50 – Let Me Be
(1.50) DEPUTY’S OSCAR (7/1, Ladbrokes) arrives here chasing a hat-trick of wins, and Stuart Edmunds’ charge could be worth siding with to get the job done once more and land her three-timer.
The Oscar mare was a winner between the flags previously, and after two runs back in the early weeks of the year which included finishing third on her hurdles debut at Huntingdon, she has returned from more than six months off the track with a pair of Market Rasen victories.
The latest of those came last month when running out a three lengths’ winner over Misty Whisky, scoring readily having made all the running, and she has only been pushed up 2lbs in the weights following that easy win.
This is tougher, but she is low mileage over hurdles and could have more to offer so is taken to find the necessary improvement to strike again.
(3.35) Present Man look set to mount another bold bid as he looks to collect this prize for the third year in succession, but it could be worth taking a chance on ROYAL VACATION (16/1, Bet365) to get back on the scoresheet, and Colin Tizzard’s charge arrives here with the benefit of having had a run.
The King’s Theatre gelding is capable of good form, having gone close at Cheltenham on his reappearance last term, after which he might just have found the ground against him in the London National next time.
However, he beat The Last Samurai readily at Taunton in the Portman Cup, and was far from disgraced in finishing fourth to Robinsfirth at Haydock in the Grand National Trial although he crossed the line some 30 lengths in arrears.
He rounded off his campaign with a poor run in the Ultima Chase, pulled up, but may have needed his return at Chepstow last month behind Ballyoptic and that form has been boosted since with the winner going on to land the recent Charlie Hall Chase.
Those poor runs see him compete here from his last winning mark, while he ought to be sharper for his reappearance and the better ground here will suit so it wouldn’t come as the greatest shock to see him coming back to form with a big run.
12.40 – Flic Ou Voyou
1.15 – Keep Moving
1.50 – Deputy’s Oscar
2.25 – Reserve Tank
3.00 – Fusil Raffles
3.35 – Royal Vacation
4.10 – Forever Des Long
(5.10) The drop to six furlongs worked well for ROYAL SANDS (2/1, William Hill) who scored over this course last month, and James Given’s charge could follow up that run now dropping to the minimum distance.
The Dabirsim gelding scored by just over one length on that occasion, racing prominently before going to the front at the two pole and keeping on well, and he showed decent enough speed in that contest to suggest the drop to this trip should hold no fears.
A mark of 72 here might still leave him with some scope for improvement, and he looks worth chancing against course specialist Requited given he is much more lightly-raced and potentially less exposed.
(7.40) BO SAMRAAN (2/1, Bet365) is improving with every start and arrives here on a hat-trick having been forced to miss his intended run in the November Handicap following the loss of the racecard.
The Sea The Stars colt made the frame in each of his first four starts over the summer, but since encountering softer ground the last twice he has taken his form up a notch with wins at Pontefract and Catterick latterly, albeit in a lesser grade than this.
He hasn’t won either by far, beating Sod’s Law in soft ground by a head before turning out again eight days later under a penalty to strike a quick double with a defeat of Jabbaar in heavy ground, finding plenty for pressure in a sustained battle to the line.
There is a fear that last run might have left a mark, but his ability to handle deep ground could stand him in good stead on this surface, and he could post a big run if taking to fibresand
4.40 – Clipsham Tiger
5.10 – Royal Sands
5.40 – Ormesher
6.10 – Tigray
6.40 – Esprit De Corps
7.10 – Sommer Katze
7.40 – Bo Samraan
8.10 – Strict