Saturday live TV best bets – ITV Racing tips for Ascot, York and Newmarket
Live TV best bets on Saturday’s ITV Racing broadcast
Another busy day of live TV horse racing action is in store for armchair punters with a bumper line-up of top-class contests featuring the best from three of the afternoon’s meetings. We’ve picked out our live TV best bets and tips for the day.
There is another top-class line-up of live TV horse racing action going to post on Friday where the ITV Racing cameras will have a bumper crop of eleven races live from three of the day’s fixtures across the UK.
It is day three of the Newmarket July Festival and Flat HQ offers five races to the ITV Racing schedule including the Group One July Cup which spearheads the Saturday racecard; while it is John Smith’s Cup day at York and the famous competitive handicap is the main event of the afternoon on the Knavesmire on a card which also includes Group Three racing action.
Not to be outdone Ascot also chips in with a couple of races including the Group Two Summer Mile Stakes and the competitive Heritage Handicap on a busy afternoon of racing.
Ed Chamberlain and the team will be on hand again with all their usual expert racing tips, insights and post-race analysis on every race and we’ve picked out our live TV best bets and tips for Saturday’s televised racing.
SATURDAY LIVE TV BEST BETS – ITV RACING TIPS FOR ASCOT, YORK & NEWMARKET
1:45 York – John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m
EAGLEWAY was a three-time winner in France prior to joining this yard and Ivan Furtado’s charge added another French success to his record when scoring at Chantilly last September on his first run for the yard.
The Sakhee’s Secret gelding disappointed in subsequent runs on the all-weather at Deauville but returned from more than five months off with an excellent second in a first-time hood at Ascot behind River Nymph in the Victoria Cup and he backed that up with a good third to Hartswood next time at Newcastle where he was beaten less than one length.
That was a good effort in the circumstances as the rider dropped her whip and he can compete from the same mark here so there’d be no shock in seeing him deliver another big effort where he can go close.
2:05 Newmarket – Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f
SAMOOT won her first two runs of the season, scoring at Wolverhampton and Salisbury before running a shade disappointingly back at Wolverhampton when only fifth to Glesga Girl although the race on that occasion wasn’t run to suit her and she was given too much to do off a slow pace.
Sir Michael Stoute’s charge ran on well to finish fifth on that occasion and bounced back with a much better performance at Ascot last month when finishing runner-up in the Sandringham where the heavy ground was possibly against her.
No match for the winner she was however clear of the rest and she might benefit and do better back on this quicker surface where a 3lbs rise for that last run looks very fair. Open to further improvement she can go well in this contest and there’d be little shock in seeing her going close.
2:20 York – John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f
ILARAAB is 2-2 at this venue, winning the Jorvik Handicap on his reappearance before having a crack at the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot where he met trouble in running and finished eighth behind impressive winner Wonderful Tonight.
William Haggas’ charge was only a half-length behind Sir Ron Priestley however who has won since and the Wootton Bassett colt might be worth chancing to quickly bounce back to winning form dropping into a Group Three contest.
He’s done all his winning to date in handicaps but he’s proven versatile with regards to the ground and this longer trip could unlock another level of improvement. Given he’s unbeaten here he looks worth chancing to shrug off his Ascot disappointment back at this venue and every chance he can turn in a big run.
2:40 Newmarket – bet365 Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m
Unbeaten ROYAL FLEET can take another forward step now tried in handicap company and the Dubawi colt can make it three wins from three.
Charlie Appleby’s charge struck at the first time of asking back in November when taking a Kempton novices’ contest and he returned from nearly five months off to run out an easy winner on his turf debut at Yarmouth, making all and seeing off Sunrise Valley by two lengths.
That form has been boosted since with both the runner-up and third winning since along with the seventh horse home and his opening 93 rating could prove to be a very workable mark on his debut in a handicap.
Open to significant progress he ought to make his presence felt here having looked a smart prospect and every chance he can bring up the three-timer.
3:00 Ascot – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m
TILSIT won twice last term, landing a Group Three at Glorious Goodwood for the second of his wins before running a very creditable fourth to Kameko in the Shadwell Joel Stakes.
Charlie Hills’ charge has been beaten on both starts since following breaks, but the First Defence colt ran well in defeat latest when denied only by a head by Skalleti in the Group One Prix D’Ispahan at Longchamp in May and he should be sharper for that outing which came on the back of a three-month absence.
He’s only had six career starts so there’s a strong likelihood that he has better still to come and taking a slight drop back in class he can get back to winning ways in this contest.
3:15 Newmarket – bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f
DHABAB is forgiven his run in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot where he met with trouble in running and still looked in need of the experience; but with this extra furlong expected to suit John and Thady Gosden’s charge he could improve to get back on the scoresheet.
The No Nay Never colt had been impressive on his first start at Leicester, running out a two lengths’ winner over Sweeping who has since ran fourth in a Listed contest and he was sent off favourite when tried in the Coventry Stakes only to finish sixth.
There’s likely better to come from him however as he gains further experience and this smaller field may suit him better. He’s expected to progress again over the extra furlong here and arguably the pick on form he looks worth another chance to bounce back from that Ascot effort with Dettori taking over.
3:35 Ascot – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f
TIS MARVELLOUS won this race in 2019 and Clive Cox’s charge might be worth chancing to get back to winning ways assuming the ground doesn’t become too testing with rain forecast.
The Harbour Watch gelding is operating 2lbs below the mark from which he won this race two years ago and he’s largely acquitted himself well in defeat since in Pattern company where he’s made the frame on a couple of occasions.
His latest win came at Leicester in a conditions event where Blue De Vega was behind him and he stepped up on his reappearance to finish fourth at Newbury latest in April. That form has worked out quite well and he’s handicapped on his current mark to turn in a big performance.
Assuming the conditions underfoot don’t become too testing then he could make his presence felt here and he has run quite well on softer ground in the past so no surprise to see him running well.
3:50 Newmarket – bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f
JUMAIRA BAY was disappointing on his reappearance in the Victoria Cup in May, shaping as if possibly amiss and likely needing the run when trailing home last of the big field; however Roger Varian’s charge quickly made amends for that effort when scoring readily at Chelmsford next time and the Siyouni gelding can follow up here.
Also a winner at Chepstow last term he ran well in defeat on a number of occasions in decent handicaps and there could be more to come from him now he’s back on track following that latest victory.
He has a 6lbs penalty to shoulder here but he is 2lbs well in on his current rating and further progress ought to see him firmly in the mix given he’s still relatively unexposed. This is certainly competitive however and his strongest challenge to date, but with the yard in decent form he can go well and every chance he can feature at the finish.
4:05 York – John Smith’s Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f
It might be worth siding with the Godolphin runner BRIGHT START who has rattled the crossbar on each of his last three starts on dirt and the all-weather, but returning to turf here Saeed Bin Suroor’s charge could go one better.
Progressive last term without winning the Medaglia d’Oro gelding got off the mark when scoring by eight lengths at Meydan in January following a couple of months’ break, beating Zero To A Hundred in good style.
He finished runner-up on both subsequent runs in the Emirates before returning to these shores and he returned from another three months off to run the useful Montather to just a short-head at Chelmsford last month and he can compete here from the same mark before going up in the ratings in future runs.
He was only run down in the last strides there having tried to make all the running but he’ll be sharper with that under his belt and he’s proven over both the trip and on turf from past runs so a big performance here wouldn’t come as a surprise given he’s still relatively unexposed.
4:25 Newmarket – Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f
This looks a cracking contest and a chance is taken that CREATIVE FORCE can continue on his rapid upward curve and take another forward step.
Charlie Appleby’s Dubawi gelding has really progressed this term with four straight wins which include the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot last month where he readily saw off Naval Crown and others to register a convincing victory.
He’s a three-time winner on the Rowley Mile course and while this is a step up in grade into a Group One contest he’s clearly one going the right way and it is likely there’s even more to come from him. The drop back to six furlongs will be no issue despite winning over seven furlongs latest and he’s proven adept on a range of underfoot conditions so there’s no fears over the ground.
Despite hanging badly left in that Ascot success he was well on top at the finish and scored going away; he’s worth a crack at this higher level and he can post a big run with further improvement expected.
4:40 York – John Smith’s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f
MOSS GILL hasn’t won since landing this race twelve months ago but Ed Bethell’s charge can make a successful title defence here and take the prize for a second straight year.
The No Nay Never gelding backed up that last win with a very good third in the Nunthorpe behind Battaash although he disappointed in his last couple of runs prior to a break and he’s returned this term in decent fettle where he’s twice finished runner-up from three starts with the latest coming when just denied by a neck by King’s Lynn in the recent Achilles Stakes at Haydock where he wore cheekpieces for the first time.
He did well there considering he was awkward away from the stalls and gave up some ground so to get in a challenging position and lead into the final furlong can credit that performance and he only lost out close home with the front two pulling a couple of lengths clear.
That form looks very fair and with a decent course record to call upon at this venue where he’s yet to finish out of the frame in five starts which includes two wins then he ought to go well again and he should be on the premises at the business end.