Saturday’s all-weather tips – Three runners to back at Lingfield this afternoon
All-weather expert, Jack Haylett takes a look through Saturday’s card at Lingfield and highlights his best three bets on Saturday 28th December.
Jack Haylett has been firing in the winners left, right and centre with his all-weather column in recent weeks. Lingfield features in the ITV coverage this afternoon, so we’ve asked Jack to take a look through the card in full and pick out his best three best with meeting-sponsors Ladbrokes.
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Saturday’s All-Weather Tips
I think the 1:00 is a reasonable enough novice for the time of the year, but I’m happy to take a chance on Vape (14/1 Ladbrokes) at a huge price. I think it was notable that he was heavily backed all day for his debut when simply running way too green to do himself justice. I think that was for a stronger race than this and clearly he must have been showing plenty at home given most of his trainers horses need their racecourse debut.
He is a nicely bred son of Dark Angel and I would not be surprised were he to prove a completely different proposition at the second time of asking. Richard Kingscote is riding extremely well at present, so hopefully he can secure a nice racing position from his wide stall post – the major negative to the selections chance.
Of the opposition then it would be Corvair whom I would see as the greatest threat, but I am happy to oppose favourite Prince Caspian, in fact I wouldn’t be surprised if he missed the places altogether.
It would be rare that Hughie Morrison has one ready enough to strike first time out, so the run Kipps (10/11 Ladbrokes) put in on debut was highly promising. He was given a very tender ride but still managed to come home a good ½ length second, in a race that is beginning to work out well, with the fourth home winning just yesterday.
Kipps was a huge eyecatcher that day, and the market certainly hasn’t missed him second up, but in all honesty, I would be very surprised were he beaten here. Indigo Lake, the likely second favourite must improve significantly on the form of his debut, for all he is with top connections and would be expected to do so. He is the main threat but behind that one I’m not sure how deep the field is.
Kipps rates an extremely confident selection, and I would be expectant of him winning this very well.
This is not a very strong race at all, and in all likelihood will turn into a match between Bridgewater Bay and Albadr (9/4 Ladbrokes). For me however the latter has the strongest form claims, and given he is available at a bigger price it makes him a very easy choice in the race. Having previously been trained by John Gosden then he showed a fair level of ability, running in a hot maiden early in the year behind two rivals now rated in the 90s, before progressing and getting his head in front at the second time of asking. That day beating a 77 rated rival into second.
What has been notable during this geldings short career is that he has not been able to put a string of runs together, I think it was telling therefore that having been moved on at the Autumn horses in training sales he made as much as 32,000gns. I suspect he is just quite a backward type and may actually benefit for the switch to a smaller stable, and having had just two starts so far could be open to any amount of improvement yet.
I’d be very confident of a big run and I’d be surprised were he not going very close.