Shock Alert! Three Overpriced Royal Ascot Runners on Friday
Three Outsiders for Royal Ascot Day 4
Royal Ascot has so far produced winners at odds of 40/1 and 50/1, and with this in mind, we’ve delved through the Friday card in an attempt to identify three big-priced runners which look a spot of value.
Flotus (3.05 Ascot) 50/1
The Ridler ran out a huge 50/1 winner of yesterday’s Norfolk Stakes, and at the same price, FLOTUS looks absolutely no no-hoper in Friday’s Commonwealth Cup.
This speedy filly looked to have slipped the field in last year’s Group 1 Middle Park before being run down late by Aidan O’Brien’s Tenebrism.
Purchased for 1 million guineas at the sales subsequently, Flotus has been kept in training with the Crisford’s by her new owner Katsumi Yoshida. Although beaten at odds-on on her 3yo debut at Newmarket in April, Flotus was much better at Haydock next time out, kicking clear before hanging left and being nabbed in the shadows of the post.
She’s back up in grade here, but fillies have a decent record in the Commonwealth Cup, whilst her natural speed should allow her to travel with these. It was promising to see the horse directly behind Flotus at Haydock, Benefit, frank the form with a Listed win at Salisbury last weekend, whilst her middle draw will provide jockey Silvestre De Sousa with options as to where best to position Flotus.
Flotus retains an official rating of 111, which is only 4lb below the top-rated Perfect Power, who she receives 3lb from, and purely on those weights and measurements, there is no way that Flotus should be the price that she is.
Recommended BetFLOTUS (3:05pm Ascot) 50/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Morgan Fairy (5.00 Ascot) 33/1
The Sandringham Stakes has produced two 33/1 winners in the last three renewals and at the same price here, MORGAN FAIRY looks too big to ignore.
William Haggas’s filly runs in the famous Sunderland Holding silks and she is bred to be above average being out of an unraced sister to the same connections Group 3 winner My Titania – dam of Tuesday’s St James’s Palace third My Prospero.
Morgan Fairy got off the mark at the third attempt when adding a Kempton maiden in December, showing a bright turn of foot to score by two and a half lengths. Off the track since, Morgan Fairy reappeared with a creditable third back at Kempton just over a fortnight ago, looking set to score when hitting the front a furlong out before the lack of a recent just appeared to take its toll late.
Morgan Fairy is expected to strip fitter here, whilst a 3lb rise still leaves her on a mark she looks capable of capitalising upon. Interestingly, today’s rider Rowan Scott is 1-1 when riding for trainer William Haggas.
Recommended BetMORGAN FAIRY (5:00pm Ascot) 33/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Romantic Time (6.10 Ascot) 33/1
Hollie Doyle has been amongst the winners already at Royal Ascot this week and she holds outside claims of getting another on the board in Friday’s closing Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes with ROMANTIC TIME.
This filly provided her Cambridgeshire-based stable with a big win last season when landing the Group 3 Dick Poole at Salisbury last September – flying home up the rail to score by a length under today’s rider Hollie Doyle.
Things didn’t go to plan for Romantic Time in her first two starts this season, but she bounced back to form with an excellent fourth at Newmarket last time out. The winner that day, Harry Three, has since gone in again impressively, so the form looks decent, and Romantic Time finds herself on a 2lb lower mark here.
Romantic Time appears to hold the speed for 5f, and it’s notable that Hollie Doyle is back aboard here for just the second time since that Salisbury win.