Southwell and Newcastle tips – Thursday all-weather picks
Brian Healy assesses Thursday’s all-weather racecards and gives his Southwell and Newcastle tips for every race and best bets for both fixtures.
Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing action sees two all-weather race-meetings and there is afternoon action on the Southwell fibresand; while under the floodlights in the evening is a fixture on the tapeta at Newcastle.
Southwell (flat, aw) – 2.00 – 4.50pm (6 races)
Newcastle (flat, aw) – 4.55 – 8.30pm (8 races)
Brian Healy looks over both of the Thursday all-weather fixtures and gives his Southwell and Newcastle tips and best bets for each of the meetings.
SOUTHWELL AND NEWCASTLE TIPS AT A GLANCE
2.00 Southwell – LIGHT LILY (7/4, William Hill)
3.10 Southwell – LACAN (13/2, William Hill)
5.30 Newcastle – SUPERIORITY (9/4, William Hill)
6.30 Newcastle – I KNOW NOW (3/1, William Hill)
7.00 Newcastle – HARRY GEORGE (15/8, William Hill)
SOUTHWELL RACING TIPS
LIGHT LILY (7/4, William Hill) is thriving at present and Paul D’Arcy’s filly can land a quick three-timer.
The Iffraaj filly has improved since being fitted with a tongue-strap, winning back-to-back races here, latterly over this trip under a penalty. She beat Never Said Nothing by a comfortable five lengths on that occassion and her improvement might not yet have reached its’ ceiling.
She’s up another 4lbs for that last win; but she’s due to go even higher in the weights in future runs so she could capitalise on this mark to land the hat-trick.
Michael Appleby does well with his first-timers at this venue so LACAN (13/2, William Hill) could be worth chancing to make a winning start for the shrewd handler having moved from Michael Bell.
The New Approach gelding didn’t show a great deal for that handler; but he had shown ability earlier in his career and racked up a number of wins for several trainers including Ralph Beckett. He’s been around a few yards and Appleby will be his sixth handler.
His last win came at Chelmsford back in March 2018 and he was once rated as high as 96 (winner off 93) at his peak. He runs here off just 48 and first-time blinkers could help spark a revival of fortunes.
The yard are adept with these sorts and it wouldn’t come as a huge surprise to see a big effort if he can recapture something akin to his previous best form.
2.00 – Light Lily
2.35 – Mesmeric
3.10 – Lacan
3.45 – Charlie Arthur
4.20 – Doc Sportello
4.50 – Mukha Magic
NEWCASTLE RACING TIPS
It might be worth chancing SUPERIORITY (9/4, William Hill) to live up to her name returning from a break and Karl Burke’s charge can get off the mark.
The Exceed and Excel filly has shaped with some promise in her three starts to date, possibly not at her best when last seen on the Southwell fibresand back in October. However she makes her handicap debut here in what looks a winnable contest and she could go close.
She has seen the winner of that Southwell outing win twice since and a mark of 64 could prove workable if coping with the drop back to the minimum trip although a 7lbs claimer eases her burden at the weights and every chance she could make her presence felt here.
I KNOW NOW (3/1, William Hill) has taken his form up a notch since being fitted with blinkers, scoring at Carlisle in September and finishing fourth or better in four of his five subsequent outings which includes a pair of wins over course and distance.
The Epaulette gelding latterly ran out a two lengths’ winner over Indian Sounds, appearing to win a shade readily following a break and a subsequent winner has come out of that race. He’s been hit with a 6lbs rise in the weights but he can continue to improve and defy his new mark if the headgear continues to have a positive effect.
This is a step up in class but he’s clearly thriving at present and if he can continue in his current vein of form then he ought to go close again despite his hike in the handicap.
HARRY GEORGE (15/8, William Hill) won three times here – twice over the distance – back in the autumn of 2018 when trained by Rae Guest, but the Big Bad Bob gelding hasn’t fired in two starts for Brian Ellison following wind surgery and a lengthy absence.
He possibly needed his first run however at Wolverhampton last month, and he perhaps can’t be judged too harshly on his last run where he met trouble in running when trying to mount a challenge.
He’s been eased 1lb in the weights following that run, but he could prove the answer here back at this venue where he can go close with a bit more luck on his side.
4.55 – Agreed
5.30 – Superiority
6.00 – Jonboy
6.30 – I Know Now
7.00 – Harry George
7.30 – Don’t Be Surprised
8.00 – Full Secret
8.30 – Patrick