Sunday’s Daily Double – 12/1 double taking in two races at Carlisle
Jon Vine combines his NAP of the day and his Next Best into his Daily Double, covering two races at Carlisle on Sunday 15th December.
Considering the card at Navan is pretty poor, barring Andy Dufresne’s Grade Two bid, I’m going to take a risk and pick two horses running at Carlisle tomorrow. Hopefully the forecast rain isn’t torrential enough to abandon Sunday’s meeting!
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Sunday’s Daily Double
1:20pm Carlisle Like Racing TV On Facebook Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) (Class 3) 2m5f
Saint Fruele got up late in the day to beat my NAP, First Account when last seen at Hexham. Lucinda Russell’s charge needed plenty of encouragement to get the job done that day and the leap from 16 to 21 furlongs is fairly steep, especially for a horse who’s been beaten on all five of his starts over trips further than the minimum distance.
Chapel Stile is a very interesting runner, having run a blinder to place third in a hot novices’ handicap chase on his first start for 18 months. He could pose the biggest danger to market leader, CLOUDY GLEN (NAP), but I’m confident Venetia Williams’ charge will prove himself the class act in this small field.
Cloudy Glen burst onto the novice hurdle scene at Haydock last year, receiving an RPR of 135 after an eight-length handicap triumph at Haydock. Further victories followed at Chepstow and here at Carlisle, where Cloudy Glen – a 1/8 shot on the day – cantered to an effortless triumph over 19 furlongs on heavy ground.
On his first start over fences, Hugh Nugent decided to make the running in a three-miler at Exeter. Sadly, Cloudy Glen didn’t see out the trip that day, but he jumped nicely around a course which can be tricky for newcomers to cope with. Dropping back in distance seems a sensible move and Cloudy Glen will relish the heavy ground. Venetia Williams’ boasts a 25% strike rate here at Carlisle and I’m confident Cloudy Glen will progress far beyond his current mark of 127 as the season plays out.
2:25pm Carlisle Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (Class 3) 3m2f
Pookie Pekan bolted up in fine style here at Carlisle last month and looks capable of progressing further beyond his handicap mark. Three-and-a-quarter-miles will take some getting on Sunday, especially with the ground as heavy as it is, and I can’t be backing a horse who’s been beaten by 18 and 37 lengths on both of his previous attempts at three miles.
Shanroe Santos won the last time he dropped down to his current mark of 132 and could be capable of carrying 12-3 to victory. It has, however, only been eight days since Lucy Wadham’s charge was pulled up two-from-home in that fiasco of a London National at Sandown and that could prove to be a very quick turnaround.
So, with question marks against his market rivals, this looks a good opportunity for DIGER DAUDAIE (NB) to get back to winning ways.
Charlie Longsdon’s charge has been comfortably beaten on both of his first two starts over fences, fading late to lose by 12-lengths on his reappearance at Worcester, before an emphatic defeat as Perfect Candidate rolled back the years at Haydock.
Although his jumping hasn’t been as neat as his trainer would have hoped, Diger Daudaie will be more comfortable on a testing track like this than on the two flat courses he has run on so far. The softer the ground the better for this sturdy six-year-old and I have no doubts about his ability to see out this trip. 4/1 looks a solid bet!