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The Epsom Oaks – Our Runner-By-Runner Guide To Friday’s Feature Race

Bank Holiday Friday brings a couple of Group 1 races from Epsom, including the Cazoo Oaks. We’ve previewed all eleven runners here, before giving our expert 1-2-3 verdict! ↓


Concert Hall (A P O’Brien, Seamie Heffernan)

Another one in with a chance is Concert Hall, who stayed on strongly to snatch third in the Irish 1000 Guineas last month. She may have still finished behind stablemate Tuesday that day, but that was just her second start of the year and there’s every chance she can come on for that run. She looks a great E/W price.


Emily Upjohn (John & Thady Gosden, Frankie Dettori)

A deserved favourite, John & Thady Gosden’s unbeaten star has looked a superstar in the making in her three wins so far. After just doing enough to win on debut, she hasn’t had a rival come close to her in her two races since. Her demolition job in the Musidora Stakes at York was hugely impressive, and a repeat of that performance should be enough to land her a Group 1 victory at the first time of asking.

Emily Upjohn ridden by Frankie Dettori (right) goes on to win the Tattersalls Musidora Stakes during day one of the Dante Festival 2022 at York racecourse. Picture date: Wednesday May 11, 2021.


Kawida (Ed Walker, Jim Crowley)

Having finished in the top three in all five career starts, Kawida is a model of consistency. She finished third in a Group 3 over in France in her most recent run, with the winner that day going on to finish second in a Group 1 next time out (behind Above The Curve). She looks to have too much on her plate here, and it’s difficult to see finishing in the top three this time around.  


Moon De Vega (Ralph Beckett, Rossa Ryan)

Moon De Vega had a bit of a nightmare run when fourth in the Cheshire Oaks last month (won by Thoughts Of June), and will be hoping for more luck this time around. With a clearer run she would’ve undoubtedly finished closer to the front three, and providing the ground stays on the softer side, she could outrun her odds here. However, it would be a bit of a shock for her to challenge those at the head of the betting, and a top five finish would be a more realistic target for her.


Nashwa (John & Thady Gosden, Hollie Doyle)

Frankel filly Nashwa looks to have a solid chance at giving Hollie Doyle a first British Classic winner. She’s gone from strength to strength in her three races so far, with her most recent victory coming in Listed company. She may be the stable’s second string behind Emily Upjohn, but she should certainly be in the mix towards the end.

Nashwa ridden by Hollie Doyle on their way to victory in the Haras De Bouquetot Fillies' Trial Stakes at Newbury racecourse. Picture date: Saturday May 14, 2022.


Rogue Millennium (Tom Clover, Jack Mitchell)

Having been supplemented for the race, Rogue Millennium has already proved her stamina for this distance, having won the Listed Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes at Lingfield last month. However, that form doesn’t look that impressive, and it would be quite a shock if she was to challenge some of these rivals.


The Algarve (A P O’Brien, Colin Keane)

Comfortably beaten by Emily Upjohn in the Musidora, it would be a big shock if she could even reverse that form, let alone finish ahead of some of the other stars in this. Her sole win came on heavy ground (which she won’t get here), and there’s a reason she’s the outsider of the field.


Thoughts Of June (A P O’Brien, Wayne Lordan)

The Galileo filly Thoughts Of June made all to win the Listed Cheshire Oaks last time out, under an inspired ride from Ryan Moore. He’s chose to ride Tuesday in this, which isn’t much of a confidence booster for this one’s chances, but she has proven her stamina and if the ground softens any more she could be in with a chance.


Tranquil Lady (Joseph O’Brien, Tom Marquand)

After finishing fourth on her seasonal reappearance back in April (comfortably beaten by Concert Hall), Tranquil Lady stepped up to win the Group 3 Blue Wind Stakes next time out. That was a solid performance, comfortably beating some quality rivals, including Lily Pond and stablemate Tosen Lydia. She has a fair bit to find with Concert Hall on that reappearance run, but looks to have improved since and can’t be ruled out.


Tuesday (A P O’Brien, Ryan Moore)

A P O’Brien has won three of the last four renewals and his best chance this year looks to be Tuesday. She has failed in her two attempts at Group 1 company so far, but was far from disgraced in either race. She finished a close third in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket, before only finding Homeless Songs too good in the Irish 1000 Guineas. With three time Oaks winner Ryan Moore on board, she should have a chance of maintaining her trainer’s fantastic record in the race.

Tuesday ridden by Ryan Moore (centre) on their way to winning the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden at Naas racecourse. Picture date: Sunday March 27, 2022.


With The Moonlight (Charlie Appleby, William Buick)

Another Frankel filly, With The Moonlight is the sole representative for Charlie Appleby and she comes here in fine form. Her reappearance run in the Pretty Polly Stakes was impressive, staying on strongly to win by over four lengths. She should come on for that run, and providing the step up in trip isn’t too much for her, she looks to have a big chance at a double-figure price.

VERDICT

It’s hard to see past Emily Upjohn here, and she should take the world of beating. Stablemate Nashwa looks to have every chance of following her home, and a couple at big odds have every chance of finishing in the places, notably Concert Hall and With The Moonlight.

  1.  Emily Upjohn
  2.  Nashwa
  3.  Concert Hall