Thursday 17 October horse racing tips – Botti’s 9/4 chance can turn Silver into gold at Brighton
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
Another six UK and Irish horse racing fixtures go to post on Thursday, and the day’s flat racing action in the afternoon comes from the card at Brighton; while over the sticks there are meetings from Carlisle, Wincanton and also Tramore in Ireland.
In the evening, there is another pair of all-weather fixtures with action on the tapeta at Wolverhampton, and the polytrack from Chelmsford.
Carlisle (flat) – 12.15 – 4.00pm (8 races)
Tramore (jumps) – 12.30 – 3.45pm (7 races)
Brighton (flat) – 1.25 – 4.40pm (7 races)
Wincanton (jumps) – 1.40 – 5.25pm (8 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.10 – 8.15pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
THURSDAY 17 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(1.15) BOURBON BORDERLINE (7/2, Bet365) was a winner between the flags for Colin Bowe prior to joining forces with Dan Skelton, and the Milan gelding made a promising introduction under Rules when finishing third in a Warwick bumper back in March.
Beaten around six lengths on that occasion behind Welsh Saint, he had two subsequent winner behind him and he could find improvement now switching to hurdling for a yard that has been amongst the winners in recent times.
He could be suited by this stiff track, and every chance he can make a successful hurdles debut here.
(2.20) ARCTIC ROAD (5/1, William Hill) made some good strides over hurdles last term, winning three of his last four starts in the campaign, and the Flemensfirth gelding can pick up where he left off if fully wound up ahead of his return.
Oliver Greenalls charge struck wins at Ayr, Newcastle and Bangor latterly, beating Legal Eyes by almost two lengths with the pair well clear of the rest which included a subsequent two-time winner.
He’s been raised 11lbs for that last win on his reappearance, but his progression last term showed no sign of halting and it is reasonable to assume he might have more still to offer. He could well strike again if fit to go at the first time of asking this season, and he looks worth chancing to find further improvement this campaign to land another win.
12.15 – Khage
12.45 – Black Ebony
1.15 – Bourbon Borderline
1.45 – Arthurs Gift
2.20 – Arctic Road
2.55 – Higgs
3.25 – Le Frank
4.00 – Blossoming Forth
(1.00) DEAUVILLE SOCIETY (5/1, Paddy Power) had looked to be steadily getting her act together over hurdles, posting a career-best effort when finishing third behind Presenting Sun at Downpatrick in September but getting no further than the first obstacle latest at Gowran Park.
Tom McCourt’s charge unseated her rider on that occasion having been hampered, but she could be worth chancing to bounce back quickly here where she remains relatively unexposed over hurdles.
This doesn’t look the strongest of contests, and the Society Rock filly can make amends if replicating the form of her earlier third place finish, while she could resume her earlier progress and atone for that early departure last time out.
(3.10) RONEY (11/2, Bet365) has hit the frame in each of her last three starts, and the Flemensfirth mare can get off the mark now switching back to chasing.
Paul Nolan’s charge boasts some fair form over hurdles from last season, chasing home the like of Mister Blue Sky, Getaway Katie Mai and Notebook, and he has shaped with promise on both his starts to date over the larger obstacles.
Last seen chasing at Wexford two starts ago where he was beaten only two lengths behind Licklighter, he turns out here on the back of finishing runner-up at this venue a couple of months back and could take advantage of his low weight with a good 7lbs claimer booked for this assignment.
12.30 – Alfa Mix
1.00 – Deauville Society
1.30 – Envol Pierji
2.00 – Bellgrove
2.35 – Dasmyhoss
3.10 – Roney
3.45 – Infinite Glory
(1.55) SILVER SAMURAI (9/4, Ladbrokes) still looked inexperienced when finishing runner-up at Chelmsford last month, but Marco Botti’s charge could be worth siding with to get off the mark at the third attempt with the potential for improvement to come.
The Cable Bay colt had finished third on debut at Wolverhampton, but he stepped up on that first run to go down only by a half-length latest where he was just unable to match the winner’s finishing effort.
Now tried on turf, he will have to show he can handle these testing conditions; but if he does take to the soft ground then he could well find another jolt of improvement where he could open his account.
(3.05) CAPLA CUBISTE (9/1, William Hill) wasn’t disgraced when finishing third behind an impressive winner at Brighton earlier in the month, and Sir Mark Prescott’s charge can find some improvement on the back of that performance to open his account at the second attempt.
The Archipenko filly was beaten around seven lengths behind Overwrite, possibly in need of the run but showing up well for a long way. She ought to have learnt plenty for the experience, and this additional furlong could unlock further improvement so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see her take a forward step for her shrewd yard.
That debut effort came in soft ground,and she didn’t appear to be fazed by the conditions so should have little to fear from the ground here; she can progress, and ought to be competitive in what looks a fairly ordinary heat.
1.25 – Firenze Rosa
1.55 – Silver Samurai
2.30 – Thechildren’strust
3.05 – Capla Cubiste
3.35 – Ramatuelle
4.10 – Field Of Vision
4.40 – The Lamplighter
(2.45) DO YOU KNOW WHAT (6/4, Bet365) won a hurdles contest at Worcerster in July, and the Dubai Destination mare has run well in defeat on both subsequent starts where she has finished runner-up each time.
Dan Skelton’s charge now tries her hand over fences where she can make an immediate impact as she has a win in the point-to-point sphere to her name when trained by Colin Bowe.
Her latest run at Worcester saw her just run down late behind North Star Oscar where she looked the likeliest winner before tying up late, and the pair had pulled well clear of the third and rest of the field.
She switches to chasing here from the same mark, and she can exploit this rating to make a winning chase debut.
(3.20) GREY DIAMOND (6/1, William Hill) doesn’t look the easiest of rides, and the Gris De Gris gelding has shown a tendency to pull hard including when getting off the mark for Nigel Twiston-Davies at Perth last month.
Formerly a winner when trained by Alan King, he boasts some solid hurdles form overall, and he struck over the smaller obstacles latest with a five lengths defeat of Green Zone latest. He found plenty despite fighting jockey Tom Bellamy for much of the way, and a subsequent 7lbs rise will demand more if he’s to follow up.
However he remains open to improvement still, and if he can settle better on the back of that outing which was his first for four months then he could follow up here.
1.40 – Nickolson
2.10 – Ecco
2.45- Do You Know What
3.20 – Grey Diamond
3.55 – Flying Verse
4.25 – Heavey
4.55 – Enrilo
5.25 – Our Uncle Pat
(5.45) NABEYLA (11/4, William Hill) made an impressive start to her career when running out an easy six lengths’ winner over seven furlongs at this venue back in Feburary, and Roger Varian’s charge can follow up on her reappearance.
The New Approach filly struck easily over Soul Searching, always travelling well and pulling clear to score and she looked a smart prospect. She hasn’t been seen since which is a slight concern, while the form perhaps doesn’t look particularly strong.
However, she could do no more than win and the well-bred sort could well find significant improvement on the back of that experience to double up here although this does look quite a decent contest.
(7.15) Turned out quickly it could be worth chancing FRESHWATER CLIFFS (25/1, Paddy Power) to bounce back having possibly found heavy ground too much to handle at Yarmouth on Monday where Richard Hughes’ charge failed to beat a rival home.
The Canford Cliffs colt wasn’t given a hard time, and he is forgiven that run; he had looked a fair sort in posting a decent runner-up effort at Chelmsford in September where only Cobber Kain was too good for him by two lengths, and a repeat of that effort back on the all-weather might be good enough to see him going close here.
A hood is deployed for this outing, while he drops back to six furlongs and has a good 3lbs claimer up so might be worth chancing to bounce back at a big price.
5.10 – Hooflepuff
5.45 – Nabeyla
6.15 – The King’s Steed
6.45 – Hard Solution
7.15 – Freshwater Cliffs
7.45 – Ned Pepper
8.15 – Steal The Scene
(6.30) SOUTHERN DANCER (12/1, William Hill) ran a fair third on debut at Sandown last month, beaten around ten lengths behind Palace Pier, and Bryan Meehan’s charge can show improvement for that first run to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Cable Bay gelding always raced prominently and kept on without quite matching the effort of the winner who had made all the running before asserting; but he ought to have learned plenty from that first run and could progress.
The form of that debut has taken a couple of knocks, but he could improve on the back of that initial outing and every chance he can open his account here with the potential for better still.
(7.30) FURQAAN (11/4, Coral) shaped with promise on her debut at Wolverhampton last December, finishing third behind The Night Watch, and although she hasn’t been seen out since it could be worth chancing on the Dark Angel filly to take a big step forward here.
Owen Burrows’ charge wasn’t seen to best effect having raced with early inexperience following a slow start; but she caught the eye with the way she ran on late and she should have learned plenty from that first run.
The winner, runner-up and fourth from that debut run have all run since, and if she’s fit enough to do herself justice following eleven months off the track then it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her step up to go close here.
5.30 – Good Reason
6.00 – School Of Thought
6.30 – Southern Dancer
7.00 – Aluqair
7.30 – Furqaan
8.00 – Parknacilla
8.30 – Jeweller