Thursday 7 November horse racing tips – Nicholls’ 2/1 chance can strike Newbury gold
Brian Healy looks ahead to Thursday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings and gives his race-by-race selections for every meeting.
A further six UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Thursday, with afternoon action over the sticks from Sedgefield, Market Rasen, Newbury and also Thurles in Ireland.
The Listed Bud Booth Mares’ Chase is the feature race of the afternoon and takes place at Market Rasen, getting underway at 2.15pm.
The evening all-weather line-up meanwhile consists of a meeting on the Chelmsford polytrack, as well as from Southwell who race on their fibresand surface.
Thurles (jumps) – 12.50 – 4.05pm (7 races)
Newbury (jumps) – 12.55 – 4.15pm (7 races)
Market Rasen (jumps) – 1.05 – 3.50pm (6 races)
Sedgefield (jumps) – 1.15 – 4.00pm (6 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 4.25 – 7.55pm (8 races)
Southwell (flat, aw) – 4.40 – 8.10pm (8 races)
THURSDAY 7 NOVEMBER NAP SELECTION
(1.55) FLICKER FLAME (Evens, Coral) has plenty of weight, but Joseph O’Brien’s charge might be able to get off the mark over hurdles nonetheless at the third attempt.
The Born To Sea mare was a dual-winner on the flat prior to switching codes, and following a decent introduction at Tipperary where he finished fifth, he subsequently bettered that outing when showing the benefit of experience to find only Rebel Og too good last month.
She was beaten around four lengths behind a potentially useful rival, and this looks an easier assignment so likely to improve again she might prove a tough nut to crack here.
(3.35) SHANWALLA (2/1, Paddy Power) has shaped with some promise in both starts over hurdles, and Paul Gilligan’s charge can get off the mark over timber at the third attempt.
The Dubai Destination gelding was a bumper winner at Listowel back in September, and he has made the frame in hurdles outings at both Roscommon and Punchestown latterly, beaten around six lengths on the latest occasion.
Still with the potential to do better, he steps up in trip here and if seeing out the longer yardage then he could improve on his two runs to date to open his account now.
12.50 – Deilginis
1.20 – Everlastingpromise
1.55 – Flicker Flame
2.30 – Whatucallher
3.00 – Pat’s Pearl
3.35 – Shanwalla
4.05 – Wingin A Prayer
(1.30) Useful flat performer SIR VALENTINE (7/4, Bet365) made a decent first fist of things on his hurdles debut at Chepstow last month, falling at the last when still holding chances to win, and if none the worse for that mishap then Nigel Twiston-Davies’ charge could be worth chancing to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Cacique gelding was making his first start for his new yard having left Alan King, and he was making his return from more than two years off the track with that latest effort, and he should come on for the outing.
There is a chance of course that he might ‘bounce’ while there’s no telling how much if anything the fall has taken out of him; but assuming the fall hasn’t dented his confidence then he could well go close here with a clear round and he can go close.
(2.35) After a sticky start, Paul Nicholls’ runners are coming more into form and SILVER FOREVER (2/1, Bet365) could be worth sticking with to follow up her latest Chepstow win last month.
The Jeremy mare is also a winner between the flags and in bumpers, and she found only one too strong in a Listed bumper at Sandown in March behind Misty Whisky which represents some decent form.
A ready winner on her hurdles debut, she can improve for the outing and experience, while the drop back in distance is unlikely to present an issue despite winning over further last time out. This is a decent race, but she could prove a progressive sort, and with potential to do better gets the vote to double her win tally over hurdles.
12.55 – Cosmeapolitan
1.30 – Sir Valentine
2.05 – Champ
2.35 – Silver Forever
3.10 – Geordie B
3.40 – Dustin Des Mottes
4.15 – Major Dundee
(1.40) MISS HONEY RYDER (7/2, Bet365) was bitterly disappointing on her hurdling debut at Ffos Las last month, but Warren Greatrex’s charge could be worth giving another chance to now she has that reappearance run under her belt.
A decent dual-bumper winner, the Stowaway mare finished fourth in a Grade Three contest at Punchestown in May before returning from six months off the track with a tame run that saw her beat only one home.
Possibly in need of that outing and perhaps not handling the softer ground, she nevertheless could be capable of better and having been sent off as second favourite for that race connections probably expected better.
She has to bounce back, but she ought to strip fitter for the run and the less testing surface here could help her to get back on track so no surprise if she posts a better effort this time around.
(2.15) THE BAY BIRCH (11/10, William Hill) is thriving at present, winning four of her last five starts, and Mark Sheppard’s charge can find another jolt of improvement to strike again having made a successul reappearance over Caid Du Lin at Chepstow last month following a six months’ break.
The Beneficial mare ran out a three lengths’ winner that day, scoring easily, and although the form has taken a couple of knocks since she could be up the task of stepping up in grade into Listed company.
Trip and ground are no problem however, and she could be worth keeping onside with the potential for better still. The tongue-tie has seen her win four of five starts since its’ application, and every chance she can make her presence felt here.
1.05 – Notre Pare
1.40 – Miss Honey Ryder
2.15 – The Bay Birch
2.45 – Sojourn
3.20 – Our Uncle Pat
3.50 – Ulysses
(1.50) Brian Ellison has his string in decent heart, and JUALS SPIRIT (14/1, Paddy Power) offered something to work with when finishing fourth on his hurdles debut at Fakenham last month, probably needing the experience although the sharp track might not have been to her liking.
The Raven’s Pass filly was only a moderate sort on the flat previously, but he could improve for his first experience of hurdling and this stiffer track may suit him better than the tight turns of Fakenham.
Entitled to improve, he represents a yard in good heart at present and can take advantage of his feather weight in this contest with the excellend Danny McMenamin taking off a handy 5lbs. He can progress on the back of that debut effort to do better this time around, and it would be no surprise to see him getting competitive here.
(2.55) TANGO BOY (2/1, Bet365) was well backed when making a winning debut in a Market Rasen bumper, and Neil Mulholland’s charge made a promising switch to hurdling when finishing third at Carlisle last month behind Multellie.
The Flemensfirth gelding sported a first-time tongue-tie that day, and he should strip fitter for that outing which was his first in seven months. Although well beaten, he had pulled clear of the fourth and rest, and although the form looks ordinary he could have more to offer.
This longer trip could help to elicit some further improvement, and likely to progress he could go close for a yard amongst the winners.
1.15 – Starplex
1.50 – Juals Spirit
2.25 – Sutter’s Mill
2.55 – Tango Boy
3.30 – Two Hoots
4.00 – Bannixtown Glory
(5.25) PEPPER BAY (7/2, Bet365) shaped with some promise on debut to find only one too good at Kempton back in September, and Michael Bell’s charge duly showed some improvement on that first run to get off the mark next time over the same course and distance.
The Cable Bay filly was trained by Archie Watson when posting that first run, beating Cry Havoc and appearing to do the job a shade readily.
She could have more to offer then, and proven on this surface with the potential to improve further then she gets the vote to double up here on her first start for her new handler.
(5.55) KASBAAN (11/4, William Hill) could be worth chancing to quickly get back on track having been denied in his hat-trick bid latest at Kempton where he wasn’t seen to best effect, trapped wide turning in and conceding first run where he eventually finished fourth.
Michael Appleby’s Dansili gelding had won both previous starts at that venue, including under a penalty, and he could be worth chancing stepping back up in distance here to resume winning ways from the same mark.
He has won over this trip previously when scoring at Lingfield, and he could have more still to offer at this yardage so could be worth chancing to get back to winning ways.
4.25 – Reehaam
4.55 – Taste The Nectar
5.25 – Pepper Bay
5.55 – Kasbaan
6.25 – Boy In The Bar
6.55 – The Gill Brothers
7.25 – Spirited Guest
7.55 – Terri Rules
(5.40) RATHAGAN (15/2, William Hill) stepped up on his debut at Chelmsford where he finished fifth to find only one too good at Nottingham latest, and Richard Hughes’ charge can get off the mark at the third attempt.
The Kyllachy colt was denied by just over two lengths behind Spirit Of The Sky, where he still looked inexperienced having fluffed the start; but he can do better now and continue to improve for racing, while that outing on heavy ground could see him adapt well to this surface.
He could be worth chancing to progress again, and every chance he can get off the mark now.
(6.10) HAREEM QUEEN (9/4, Ladbrokes) could be worth chancing to find another jolt of improvement, having got off the mark at the third attempt here last month with a four lengths’ defeat of Sambucca Spirit who runs earlier in the card and could give that form a further boost as both the third and fourth horses home have registered subsequent wins.
Karl Burke’s Dark Angel filly appeared suited by the drop to the minimum distance, running out an easy winner of her maiden, and there could be further improvement to come from her after just three career starts.
She switches now to a handicap where an opening mark of 78 is perhaps on the stiff side given her accomplishments to date; but she could well find further progress taking on more exposed rivals and she looks worth taking a chance on that she can follow up here.
4.40 – Ventura Destiny
5.10 – Sambucca Spirit
5.40 – Rathagan
6.10 – Hareem Queen
6.40 – Tadaany
7.10 – Dashing Poet
7.40 – Geography Teacher
8.10 – Blyton Lass