Thursday’s 3,013/1 Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets on January 20
Horse Racing Tips on Thursday, January 20
Ludlow, Wincanton and Newcastle go racing across the UK on Thursday. It is the first two meetings over jumps in which the four runners combine to make our editor’s 3,013/1 Lucky 15 tip for the day.
Ballaquane (2:00 Ludlow)
A few point to point recruits and other recent debutants have perhaps shown and promised more than BALLAQUANE did on his hurdles bow.
However on his bumper form, he looks certain to be a winner under rules sooner rather than later. His sole start in bumpers came at Wetherby in March 2020 in a seven-runner field. He finished second to Glencassley, who has won twice over hurdles since.
The fourth, fifth and sixth have all also won either over hurdles or fences, so while Ballaquane was only seventh at Uttoxeter when meeting hurdles for the first time, he is almost guaranteed to improve significantly, especially as that run came after a 640-day absence.
He is still a young enough horse and the late Trevore Hemmings always preached patience with the horses under his ownership. That can be rewarded here.
Recommended BetBALLAQUANE (2:00 Ludlow) 15/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Topofthecotswolds (2:30 Ludlow)
Nigel Twiston-Davies will not want to see too much rain fall between now and post time, but the ground is currently reading at good-to-soft at Ludlow.
That should help TOPOFTHECOTSWOLDS not only take part, but challenge for victory in this handicap chase. He may only have been seventh last time out, but that was in the Racing Post Gold Cup at Cheltenham, a far harder race than this.
He has been dropped 2lb for that run, meaning he is now 1lb lower than for his runner-up finish on return at Wetherby. That was to Palmers Hill, who has since bolted up at Ascot, making that form look very strong indeed.
This eight-year-old looks absolutely certain to play a part if the weather continues in his favour.
Recommended BetTOPOFTHECOTSWOLDS (2:30 Ludlow) 7/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Legends Gold (3:50 Wincanton)
In the feature Somerset National, LEGENDS GOLD is fancied to steal the prize for Rebecca Curtis.
The mare is a very hardy stayer, as proven when she finished second at Ffos Las last April over 3m 4f. That was in the West Wales National, so she has proven form in races with the National title, and this race is actually 1 ½ furlongs shorter than that event.
Since returning for the season, she has run three very decent races in defeat, bumping into Snow Leopardess and Quick Wave in handicap company, the former having won the Becher Chase since and the latter such a ready winner that he was likely unbeatable on the day.
Legends Gold was also third in a Mares’ Listed contest at Newbury in December. For all that, she has actually gone down 1lb in the handicap and looks dangerous to underestimate once again.
Carlo Du Berlais (4:00 Wincanton)
Fergal O’Brien is operating at a similar strike rate across all jumps formats, all at around a very useful 20%.
However, you would have made just shy of two points worth of profit if you had backed all of his bumper runners so far this season and CARLO DU BERLAIS could be another to make that tally more substantial.
He was bought for £80,000 in May, a fair sum for a jumps horse, having finished second in a point-to-point. Sea The Clouds may be a danger with a second-placed effort already under his belt, but the debutant edges the verdict.