Tuesday’s 14,613/1 Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets On January 18
Horse Racing Tips on Tuesday, January 18
There are three meetings spread across Britain on Tuesday, January 18th with the action coming from Newcastle, Exeter and Southwell. Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Tuesday Lucky 15.
North Parade (1.25 Newcastle)
Sue Smith’s NORTH PARADE cut little ice in a pair of novice hurdles at the start of last year, but he looked much improved on his return from a break at Carlisle last month. He now makes his handicap debut in the Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Novices’ Handicap Hurdle and rates a potential improver.
North Parade bumped into the potentially smart Moonlight Spirit last time, and that run – his first in over seven months – was entitled to be needed.
That produced a career-best RPR figure of 107, which is slightly higher than the figure North Parade put up on debut, when a 40/1 fifth in a Wetherby bumper. The four horses directly in front of North Parade at Wetherby are now rated 133, 134, 138 and 124, whilst the two directly behind are rated 123 and 122.
That in isolation makes North Parade look potentially chucked in on handicap debut off a mark of just 97, particularly at a track where his trainer excels (over 20% strike-rate in the last five seasons).
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Nickelsonthedime (2.40 Exeter)
Although this certainly isn’t the first time he has been chanced, NICKELSONTHEDIME still looks worth siding with back at his favourite track for Tuesday’s Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle.
The 8yo failed to beat a single rival home in his first three starts of 2021, but he put up a much improved showing when fourth over an extended 2m5f last time out.
That improvement coincided with the addition of a tongue tie, as well as the return to Exeter, the track at which he posted his best RPR figure to date.
Nickelsonthedime only gave best late on that day, and that suggests dropping back to this extended 2m2f distance won’t inconvenience, whilst a pound rise is also manageable when considering that the horses that finished 1-2 have both won since.
Skipthescales (3.25 Newcastle)
Although clearly getting no younger, SKIPTHESCALES looks particularly interesting for the Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Hurdle. having only found one too strong at Kelso last time.
That run came at Class 3 level, so the drop back to this grade is an obvious plus, and whilst it is now over three years since Skipthescales got his head in front it is worth noting that his form figures here at Newcastle read an impressive 116, the latest effort coming in this very race two years ago when 12lb higher than his current rating.
Kit Alexander maintains the partnership here, and the stable as a whole is in particularly good form at present with their last six runners producing form figures of 313322.
Firenzo (3.40 Exeter)
The Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap Chase looks a good opportunity for FIRENZO to belatedly break his maiden tag under rules.
This Network gelding has generally struggled since joining the Walford yard, yet has been set some tough assignments during that period and ran as though his turn may not be far off when fifth at Plumpton last month.
That was Firenzo’s first start at Class 5 level and he looked right in the thick of the action turning for home before his lack of race fitness (first start in over a year) took its toll.
Firenzo is entitled to strip a good deal fitter for that outing and he comes into this on a 3lb lower mark, which he looks more than capable of capitalising upon.