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Tuesday’s 3,523/1 Lucky 15 – Our Four E/W Tips For 11th October

Five meetings go to post across the UK & Ireland on Tuesday, 11th October, with the action coming from Hereford, Huntingdon, Leicester, Newcastle and Punchestown. Our lucky 15 features a trio of picks on the flat card at Leicester, plus one selection over in Ireland at Punchestown.

Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Tuesday Lucky 15.

*Odds correct at time of posting – 5:05pm Monday 9th October*

*Hot Team (N/R) replaced by Sea Of Charm – 8:45am Tuesday 10th October*

An open race to open proceedings at Leicester, and with our initial selection Hot Team a non-runner, we’re going to side with Harry Dunlop’s SEA OF CHARM. He’s finished in the frame in all three turf starts this year and placed in his last race on the AW, and is down to his lowest mark since January. 

This is his optimum trip, with a 16242 (gained his sole win over this trip, plus two placed finishes) record over this trip, compared to 4262390833352463 (0-16) over other trips.  

His last effort over this trip saw him finish second at Doncaster, in a race which has worked out well since – the winner (Cathayensis) placed in a class 4 race next time out and third-placed won his next race.

Young jockey Rose Dawes is on board, and she’s been in fine form of late, winning two of her last six rides (33% strike-rate). She has had five rides at Leicester in her career so far, winning two and placing in another, so it’s clearly a track she knows how to ride! With the return to turf set to be a plus to Sea Of Charm’s chances, he looks a cracking option to take on the market leaders At Liberty and Mujid.

Caragio (2.30 Leicester) – 4/1

Highbank represents the Appleby/Buick team and will be a tough nut to crack dropping back into class 4 company. However, at the odds we’re willing to take him on with CARAGIO, who impressed on debut and should come on for the run. 

Roger Teal’s gelding only missed out by a neck when second on debut, going down to the more experienced Afterlife at Newbury. Just five horses from that race have been out since, and three of those placed – the third (Bloomwithgrace), eighth (Silvretta) and ninth (Bear Force), with Silvretta losing out by a short head in a good-looking class 3 race last Friday. 

The Godolphin runner Highbank is a deserved favourite, but he does have to give 7lb to his rivals here and with that in mind we’re willing to take him on, and the best option looks to be Caragio.

Glenquin Castle (4.40 Punchestown) – 9/1

Martin Brassil’s GLENQUIN CASTLE ran well enough on his reappearance run but he’s entitled to come on for that run, judging by his exploits last year and he looks good enough to land this. 

Last year he finished ninth on his reappearance run, before going on an incredible run of winning his next SEVEN races. He signed off for the season with a seventh placed finish at Fairyhouse, but never really got going that day, and the form of that race has worked out well since. The runner-up Alohamora won his next two, and the third-placed Young Dev won his next race, before placing in the Midlands Grand National. 

Mark Walsh has been on board for each of Glenquin Castle’s last 11 races and remains on board here, which is a positive considering the way he’s been riding lately (4 winners from his last 8 rides). He looks a cracking price considering the way he kicked on from his reappearance run last season, and we’re hoping he can do similar again this season.

Star Of Orion (4.50 Leicester) – 9/2

The small field here should be just what STAR OF ORION needs to see him get his head in front and land a third win of his career. His record in fields of nine or fewer runners reads 1172 (2-4), with the only blemish being the seventh over an unsuitable mile trip at Newmarket in Listed company last year. 

After a disappointing start to the season, Ralph Beckett applied blinkers to his 4YO and that seems to have helped, finishing a close second at Newmarket before an admirable fourth at Ascot on ground that would’ve been softer than ideal.

Trainer Ralph Beckett hasn’t sent many runners to Leicester this year, but it does usually pay to follow when he does – he’s had five winners from his twelve runners there. Star Of Orion is his sole runner on the card on Tuesday, so he looks a fantastic option to land this, at the chief expense of Inver Park and Shining Blue.