Tuesday’s Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets On July 12
Horse Racing Tips on Tuesday, July 12
Four meetings go to post across Britain on Tuesday, July 12th with the action coming from Bath, Beverley, Chelmsford (AW) and Southwell. Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Tuesday Lucky 15.
Mrs U S A (2:10 Beverley) 9/2
George Boughey’s MRS U S A looks excellent value to reverse form with Lady Hollywood in this. As impressive as the winner was that day, she had race experience already under her belt and Mrs U S A meets her again on much better terms this time around.
She started slowly on that first run and finished impressively, flying past the other runners. If she breaks well here she will definitely be up there at the finish! Jockey Ben Curtis takes over the ride from Hayler Turner, and he rides well here (see next selection for stats), so that’s a further positive for our selection.
Trainer George Boughey has sent seven runners to Beverley this year – resulting in three winners, a second and a third. That works out as a 43% strike-rate, which is some going!
Lady Hollywood was clearly very impressive last time out, and is a rightful favourite, but with Mrs U S A reopposing on 7lb better terms that should see our selection finish much closer and hopefully get her nose in front.
Gorgeous General (3:10 Beverley) 13/2
It’s difficult to ignore the price on offer for GORGEOUS GENERAL. He’s placed in two of his last three races, with the other race being over 6f which didn’t see him to best effect. Last time out he was less than a length off the winner and didn’t have the smoothest of routes when making his run. He’s been dropped 1lb since that ride and with a clearer run here he should get even closer.
Ben Curtis takes the ride and not many jockeys ride this course better than him. In just 23 rides this year, he’s ridden 7 winners (30% strike-rate), so he knows exactly how to get in front when it matters. Only William Buick is ahead of him currently in the flat jockey championship (correct at time of writing) and he’ll be determined to keep pushing him.
Gorgeous General is drawn nicely in stall 3 and is down to his lowest mark in over three years. After a couple of placed finishes recently, now looks like the time to side with Gorgeous General!
High Counsel (5:40 Southwell) 8/1
The opener at Southwell looks like a tricky affair, but it’s the 13-y-o HIGH COUNSEL who has caught our eye. It doesn’t look a particularly strong field and Gary Hanmer’s gelding has been thereabouts in most of his races this season, so looks an excellent price to at least place here.
His last two races on good ground over this trip have seen him win both times, including the most recent effort at Warwick back in May. The form of that win received a boost when sixth-placed Oceans Red won comfortably next time out in a similar event.
Sean Bowen takes over the ride, which looks a top choice considering he currently leads the jump jockey championship and is operating at a staggering 41% strike-rate in recent weeks (correct at time of writing).
You can pick holes in the majority of the other runners form:
- On The Bandwagon,Wells Gold and Glacier Fox are yet to win a race over fences
- Mackie Dee hasn’t won over fences since his first effort back in 2020
- Miss Wachit and Fortyfive West will be having their first go over fences
His biggest rival will undoubtedly be Motown Lake, but he is yet to win on good ground. With that in mind, providing High Counsel maintains his recent form it’s difficult to see him finishing outside the top three, and we’re expecting a bold bid from the old boy!
Sir Oliver (6:50 Chelmsford) 8/1
Chris Dwyer’s SIR OLIVER looks one of the best bets on the card at Chelmsford’s evening meeting. His last two runs over C&D have resulted in a win and a close second. Silvestre De Sousa was on board for that win and he remains on board for this.
That victory last month saw him get the better of Karibana, who went out and won a similar race next time out. He clearly has a liking for the AW, with his record reading 33124145415321 (both fifth placed finishes were in Class 2 races), but if you narrow that down to 7f it reads 415321 (33% strike-rate).
Market leader Mobadro won nicely at Kempton last time he was seen, but that was back in November and although he has won fresh in the past, he may need the run here off a 6lb higher mark. Billy Mill has been running well of late but that was over a mile trip, and personally we don’t think he’s been crying out for a drop back to 7f.
Sir Oliver is the only runner Chris Dwyer has tomorrow, and he’s sending him on a near 400-mile round trip. He has only sent four runners to Chelmsford so far this year, resulting in a winner, one second and a fourth, so he isn’t sending him there purely for a runaround!
*Odds correct at time of writing – 4pm Monday 11th July*