Wednesday 30 October horse racing tips – Nicholls’ 11/10 chance can keep Taunton rivals at Bay
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Wednesday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
Wednesday sees six UK and Irish horse racing meetings taking place, and there is afternoon flat racing action from Nottingham, while jumps racing goes to post at Fakenham and Taunton.
Meanwhile, the evening all-weather action sees racing from Wolverhampton’s tapeta surface and also Kempton on polytrack, as well as Dundalk in Ireland where they also race on polytrack
Nottingham (flat) – 12.50 – 4.20pm (8 races)
Fakenham (jumps) – 1.10 – 4.10pm (7 races)
Taunton (jumps) – 1.30 – 4.30pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 4.40 – 8.10pm (8 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 4.50 – 8.20pm (8 races)
Dundalk (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
WEDNESDAY 30 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(1.20) It could be worth chancing on OUD METHA BRIDGE (8/1, William Hill) to bounce back having won in heavy ground at Yarmouth back in June, and with the underfoot conditions set to be similar here he might be the one best placed to cope.
Julia Fielden’s Helmet gelding had also won at the seaside track on quicker ground back in April, but more recent outings following her latest success have been uninspiring and he was last seen finishing around five lengths’ sixth to Redama at Carlisle back in August.
He’s been given a break since, as well as being eased 1lb in the weights, and with the conditions here no issue having already won on similar this term then he could go close.
(1.50) DAILY TIMES (3/1, Ladbrokes) has been going the right way, finishing runner-up in three of her four starts on turf and the all-weather before getting off the mark at the fifth try with a defeat of Hollaback Girl at Southwell latest.
John Gosden’s Gleneagles filly showed improvement for the application of a tongue-tie, while that run in the heavy fibresand surface suggested that she’ll handle the heavy conditions here.
She makes her handicap debut from a mark of 78 for this contest, and with the potential for further improvement could be worth siding with to follow up her breakthrough success here,
12.50 – Jumaira Bay
1.20 – Oud Metha Bridge
1.50 – Daily Times
2.20 – Bellevarde
2.50 – Buriram
3.20 – Visor
3.50 – Para Queen
4.20 – Manfadh
(1.10) Charlie Hills is much better known for his flat exploits, but he has an interesting and promising sort over hurdles in HIGH CHANGE (5/2, Bet365) who made a very pleasing introduction in a Ffos Las bumper back in June.
The High Chaparral gelding struck by almost three lengths over Heavey, who has won since over hurdles to boost the form, and assuming he can show progress switching now to obstacles then every chance he can follow up here.
(2.40) Smart hurdler NUBE NEGRA (10/11, Paddy Power) made a winning transition to chasing when scoring at Warwick earlier in the month, and Dan Skelton’s charge can show the benefit of that experience to progress and follow up here.
The Dink gelding ran out a three lengths’ winner over Ballymoy on that occasion, travelling well throughout and only needing to be pushed out to score readily having been eased down near the line, and he surely went into a few notebooks on the back of that outing.
This latest outing looks a bit more challenging, but he likely has better to come in this sphere and every chance he can find further progress with that outing under his belt to double up.
1.10 – High Change
1.40 – Affluence
2.10 – Juals Spirit
2.40 – Nube Negra
3.10 – The Darley Lama
3.40 – Between The Waters
4.10 – Presence Of Mind
(2.30) BATHSHEBA BAY (11/10, Paddy Power) was a fair sort on the flat for Richard Hannon prior to joining forces with Paul Nicholls, and the Footstepsinthesand gelding was far from disgraced when making his hurdling debut at Wincanton earlier in the month where he finished third of nine runners behind Nickolson.
That was his first run since September 2018 so the outing along with the experience were both probably needed; but now equipped with cheekpieces ahead of his second outing over obstacles then it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him find a jolt of improvement, and he can get off the mark now at the second attempt.
(3.30) COBY NINE (11/8, Unibet) has made the frame in each of his last three outings in handicap hurdles, and the Arcadio gelding can get off the mark here.
The latter of the trio came on his first outing for David Bridgwater, finishing just a neck second behind Magen’s Moon at Plumpton, and he ought to strip fitter for that run which was his first in some seven month so the outing might have been needed; while he didn’t help his cause with a couple of late mistakes.
He can race off the same mark here, while cheekpieces applied for the first time might help to elicit some further improvement and he could open his account here if running to a similar standard as at Plumpton minus the late errors then he ought to go close.
1.30 – Realta Dawn
2.00 – Cottonvale
2.30 – Bathsheba Bay
3.00 -Way Out West
3.30 – Coby Nine
4.00 – Howlongisafoot
4.30 – Libbdan
(5.40) QUEEN GAMRAH (9/4, Bet365) offered something to work on when finishing sixth on debut at Newmarket earlier in the month, and Mark Johnston’s charge can step up on that experience to do better this time around.
The Toronado filly ran green early, eventually crossing the line some seven lengths’ adrift of the winner Chamade; but he is sure to come on for that experience, and the longer trip is likely to suit so every possibility that she’ll progress for the outing.
That Newmarket contest she took in might prove to be a useful affair in time, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see her take a forward step now on the back of that outing.
(6.10) ROMAN SPINNER (6/1, William Hill) has been out of sorts on her last couple of outings, but the Intikhab filly might be worth chancing to bounce back returned to this venue where she has gone well in the past.
Rae Guest’s charge had twice finished runner-up in turf earlier in the season at Chepstow and Yarmouth, but he latterly finished only seventh of 13 runners behind Dawaaween here latest and she needs to bounce back having also run below her best the time before although both those runs were over seven furlongs.
Her last win had come over this course and distance back in November last year from a mark of 75, and she turns out here off just 67 so she has obvious claims on ratings if able to recapture her best, and she is chanced to do so here.
4.40 – Pour La Victoire
5.10 – Bowling Russian
5.40 – Queen Gamrah
6.10 – Roman Spinner
7.10 – Casa Comigo
7.40 – The Trader
8.10 – Fields Of Dreams
(5.50) FOUR MILE BRIDGE (5/1, William Hill) wasn’t best placed when finishing just a half-length third behind Pike Corner Cross at this venue earlier in the month, but the application of cheekpieces for that run seemed to sharpen him up, and Mark Usher’s charge could be worth chancing to build on that outing.
The Acclamation gelding had posted a mixed bag of results prior to that run which was a step back in the right direction, but he’ll have to back up the outing, which could be possible if the headgear has the same positive effect.
Still a maiden, his 1lb rise in the weights is offset by his good claiming rider’s allowance, and if he can run up to a similar level as that latest outing then he can go close here.
(6.20) MORE THAN LIKELY (4/5, Coral) posted her latest win in this grade when successful at Lingfield in August, beating Terri Rules, and the More Than Likely filly can get back to winning ways returning to this level having contested stronger grades the last twice.
Richard Hughes’ charge subsequently finished third of six runners behind Secretfact at Bath on her next outing, while her latest outing is forgiven as she met with trouble in running and so her finishing position can’t be taken literally.
This is a good deal easier than either of those contests, and she looks to hold solid claims back in selling company if able to return to her best.
4.50 – Good Job Power
5.20 – Puchita
5.50 – Four Mile Bridge
6.20 – More Than Likely
6.50 – Charlie Arthur
7.20 – Blyton Lass
7.50 – Kesia
8.20 – Vandella
(5.30) MERRICOURT (SP) has been steadily progressive this term since returning from a break, twice finishing third in starts at Leopardstown and Listowel before getting off the mark over course and distance, and Ger Lyons’ charge could follow up here.
The Mizzen Mast gelding beat Pocotaligo by three-parts of a length in that latest outing which came in a claimer, keeping on well over the longer trip, while the runner-up has won since to give the form a boost.
He could have more to offer over this longer distance where he is still unexposed, and with the potential for better to come he could be worth chancing to strike again.
(6.30) KAFU () has found only one too good on each of his last two starts, but Ger Lyons’ charge might be able to go one better here and get back on the scoresheet for the first time since scoring at Down Royal last June.
The No Nay Never gelding most recently was beaten three lengths behind Dancing On A Dream, no match for the winner but pulling clear of the rest and the return to one mile could suit given the way he finished off that contest.
He’s been upped 3lbs in the weights following that latest run, but with the potential for better to come he ought to be involved in the finish here and no surprise to see him get back to winning ways.
5.00 – Yale
5.30 – Merricourt
6.00 – Khafaaq
6.30 – Kafu
7.00 – No Days Off
7.30 – Footsteps At Dawn
8.00 – Masalai
8.30 – Watchman