Wednesday’s 6,398/1 Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets On June 8
Wednesday’s racing features busy action from seven different tracks across Britain and Ireland. Our 6,298/1 Lucky 15 top tips come features four of those cards at Haydock, Fontwell, Yarmouth and Cork.
Winter Crown (2.55 Haydock)
Haydock is the first track visited in Wednesday’s lucky 15 and two Godolphin horses go to post in this two-year-old novice event.
It may be worth siding with the supposed second string and favourite Courageous Knight did not inspire great confidence on his debut. There were no obvious signs that he ran particularly green either, whereas WINTER CROWN certainly seemed to at Newbury.
The son of Invincible Spirit was seventh of 14 under an eventually gentle ride by Jim Crowley when the game was up. That was a much deeper contest in both quantity and potentially quality that Courageous Knight faced when fourth of seven at Nottingham.
It is intriguing that Adam Kirby’s mount is sent over 7f as a son of the speedy Invincible Spirit. However, there may not be too much to split the Charlie Appleby runners here despite William Buick favouring the other.
Shoal Bay (3.20 Fontwell)
This is a very bold choice given SHOAL BAY has failed to complete on five of his last six starts.
However, this Fontwell handicap is not packed with strength in depth. Similarly, you do not have to go too far back in the nine-year-old’s formbook to believe he is very well-treated in this kind of contest.
His last victory came at Ludlow in October 2020 in a handicap chase. 329 days later, he reappeared at Worcester for the Tizzard team, from whom he switched to Olly Murphy in March. He was cruising to success that day when Brendan Powell’s saddle slipped after the last, ensuring he was unshipped before the line.
That was off a mark of 133 over fences and though the horse has lost his confidence somewhat since, he may be very well-suited by going back over hurdles. His rating over timber is just 118, 15lb lower than the mark he would have won off as recently as September.
State Secretary (3.38 Yarmouth)
STATE SECRETARY has made a promising enough start to life with Stuart Williams and could easily find himself involved in this contest.
He made seven starts for Richard Hannon, securing his only victory at Wolverhampton last November from a mark of 74. He is now only 2lb higher than that after four subsequent runs have produced form of 5544.
The two fourths were for his new yard. His effort at Chelmsford, sporting a first-time tongue over 7f was far from exciting, but back on turf, he improved over course and distance. The results may have been the same, but he was beaten only two lengths last time under 5lb claimer Luke Catton, who keeps the ride.
He is down another 2lb in the handicap since and that would likely have been enough to see him go very close at 25/1 last time. Here’s hoping for something similar here.
Rosscarbery (7.10 Cork)
The Group 3 Munster Oaks is the highest quality race of the day, coming from Cork in the evening.
A number of fillies and mares boast competitive Group race form in their pasts, but the improving ROSSCARBERY is positively the one to keep on side in the race. She has substantially risen through the ranks for the switch to Paddy Twomey’s yard.
She was twice beaten in Pattern races for previous trainer John Joseph Murphy, for whom she placed in the top four six time without winning. It is fair to say Twomey has changed that.
She has won all three starts for the yard, claiming a Dundalk maiden before back-to-back handicap successes at Sligo and Roscommon. They have seen her go up 19lb in the handicap to a mark of 102, leaving handicaps behind her.
A Group 3 asks a new question, but she is performing like a completely different horse compared to the last time she contested such a race.