Wednesday’s all-weather tips – Three horses to back at Newcastle and Kempton
All-weather expert, Jack Haylett looks across today’s cards at Newcastle and Kempton and highlights his top three bets on Wednesday 8th January.
Wednesday’s All-Weather Tips
I put up this horse when he has an impressive winner last time, and think having been raised just 6lbs for that win there is an easy case to be made for going in again. Admittedly that race wasn’t the strongest, but Wasntexpectingthat travelled all over the field that day, and despite suffering traffic issues quickened up nicely to ultimately win going away.
This is now a better grade of race, but he tackles many rivals that simply don’t like winning races, and he is a perfect two from two over course and distance. He has proved somewhat of a revelation since switching to artificial surfaces, and time may prove that he is still a very well treated animal in this sphere.
Of the field then it would be Astro Jakk, who impressed winning yesterday that I would be most concerned about – clearly it would be a big question mark if he is even turned out again so quickly though. I’m happy to oppose though and make Wasntexpectingthat a strong selection.
I don’t think the 4:30 is a very competitive looking handicap and feel there is a clear standout amongst the field, that being Fortamour. With just four career starts to his name then clearly he is a thoroughly unexposed gelding, but he does already boast a victory over the course and distance.
Last seen in a strong looking class four handicap he was far from disgraced finishing fourth, and he will find this easier now dropped back in grade. The form of that run is beginning to work out with the second winning, and the third beaten just a ½ length on their next starts.
I feel it was particularly generous of the handicapper to drop the selection a pound for that run, and with the likelihood of further improvement coming now it is very easy to make Fortamour a strong fancy amongst this field. In all honesty I would be disappointed were he not winning this.
Straight Right has not been seen at his best for some time, but I thought he shaped okay on reappearance and should now improve on second start following absence. He raced keenly that day, and I wonder whether as this gelding has gotten older, he’s gotten a little quicker, so whilst all his best form is over 7 furlongs, I would not be concerned regards the 6 furlong trip he tackles here.
Once rated as high as 108 there is no doubt Straight Right would win this if running to that form, and whilst I think that may be a struggle, I would certainly not be surprised to see him run to a mark in the low 100s, which would see him very competitive here. I think he has been overlooked in the market and am very surprised this all-weather specialist is as big as 7/1.
I would be respectful of the market leader; Soldiers Minute, who is the obvious one to beat, but I’m happy to oppose the rest of the field. Expect to see Straight Right staying on well late on and hopefully getting up close to home.