Wednesday’s all-weather tips – Three runners to back at Wolverhampton and Southwell
All-weather expert, Jack Haylett has three top tips for you today, covering races at Wolverhampton and Southwell on Wednesday 15th January.
Wednesday’s All-Weather Tips
There is plenty of reason if looking at Dana Forever’s (11/4 Paddy Power) best form to consider her a very well handicapped filly. She was second twice in the summer, on the first occasion beaten just a length by a now 84 rated gelding, and on the second run she managed to beat a 96 filly, when going down just three quarters of a length to the winner who was fourth in a group three on next start.
Clearly a mark of 72 looks very workable, and it is notable that those two runs came at the track, it may well be she is somewhat of an all-weather specialist. I would expect her to be fit for this reappearance and I’m not sure how strong the race is.
The form of favourite, Batchelor Boy, has taken knocks, and the other runners have a more exposed look to their profile. It may well be that Dana Forever is somewhat of a handicap blot, and she rates a very confident selection here.
The 4:10 is an interesting looking race, with a mix of flat performers, and runners you’d more commonly associate with running over jumps. For me however there is a clear standout amongst the field, that being Purdey’s Gift (7/2 Betway).
I was most impressed with this horse when he powered home to win at this track three starts back, and only raised 4lbs for that I expected him to go in again. In two subsequent starts however he has only managed to finish third (on both occasions), he has been staying on late, but just lacking the turn of foot of his opposition. I’m hoping that now stepped up a further 4 furlongs he can get back to winning ways though as I’m sure there’s a big engine there.
Clearly it is a sizeable step up in trip, but I am extremely confident in his ability to stay this far, and think actually he will improve for it. Most of the field look handicapped to the hilt, whereas Purdeys Gift remains unexposed and may just be too good for this field. At the prices I think he is a very fair bet.
This looks a winnable race, and to be quite honest I would be disappointed were Ladyleys Beluga (Evens Unibet) not able to secure a first career success. She only made her debut last month, but it was a most promising one, when only a half-length behind an 89 rated rival.
Admittedly the selection was getting plenty of weight from that rival, and her mark is inflated, but the race should still work out well – the winner has already placed subsequently. She was a little unlucky to not have finished closer also, having been a little short for room before staying on well. I’m sure connections will have been thrilled with the run though and her trainer, Karl Burke, tends to have his runners improve significantly for their debuts.
That form looks about as strong as anything else has run too in the field, but with the progression looking likely then it is easy to see why Ladyleys Beluga is the clear market leader. She holds outstanding claims and I think anything odds against she is a great bet.