Wednesday’s Lucky 15 Tips – Our UK Racing Best Bets on January 5
Horse Racing Tips on Wednesday, January 5
Ffos Las is the sole host of racing over jumps, with Wolverhampton and Kempton chipping in with all-weather meetings on Wednesday. The Welsh track and Wolverhampton are the focus of our editor’s 4,612/1 Lucky 15.
Maahi Ve (12:50 Wolverhampton)
Micahel Attwater’s stable have not been in superlative form, but his start to 2022 has begun to read much better.
Although his five runners since January 1st have been winless, four of them have finished in the top four. He is trending towards a winner and that might well come with MAAHI VE.
This is a very weak race, with clear favourite Million Reasons winless in 18 starts. Maahi Ve has the same record from 11 efforts, but two of her best three handicap performances have come over course and distance, including last time out just before Christmas.
She was beaten only a length that dya, a shorter distance than the favourite was when runner-up and the gap in the market between them is definitely wrong. She can take this off a mark of 50.
Tomshalfbrother (2:35 Wolverhampton)
Robert Cowell and Barry Mchugh don’t often team up, but if you’d backed their runners when they do, you’d be up two points for a level stake.
Anything above break even is usually a very good barometer and TOMSHALFBROTHER ran well to be third over course and distance on the 27th December on his latest outing.
Indeed in all three of his runs since November, he has earned an RPR above his official mark. Despite that, he has only been eased 1lb in the handicap during that time, continuing off a mark of 59 here.
In four runs over course and distance, he has been placed three times, one of those a victory and has never been beaten more than four lengths. Those stats bode well for his chances here.
Eleanor Bob (3:25 Ffos Las)
The only runner over jumps in this lineup and ELEANOR BOB should be able to deliver the goods for the currently formidable Venetia Williams-Charlie Deutsch pairing.
She lost her way over hurdles last season, but has run respectable races on all three chase starts. She was still travelling well in a Hereford novices’ handicap in February on her chase debut when taking a crashing fall from which she did not re-emerge until October.
That day she finished third over course and distance, with the winner running an excellent race in a Graduation Chase at Ascot next time out. Eleanor Bob meanwhile, was given a near-impossible task at Aintree in Listed company, but she was not disgraced despite being last of four.
This is much more realistic and from a career-low mark of 109, she should at least be able to make her presence felt provided a clear round.
Baileys Warrior (4:08 Wolverhampton)
Deborah Faulkner has campaigned this four-year-old almost exclusively at Wolverhampton, but after a lenient easing by 2lb, this looks the time for BAILEYS WARRIOR to belatedly get off the mark.
He has been second in two starts over course and distance in the autumn, at prices of 25/1 and 16/1, suggesting he is consistently underrated. His fourth over this track and trip in December may only have been in a field of six, but he took an early stumble from which he was never likely to challenge thereafter.
He is likely to find conditions to his liking again here, especially as he will be receiving weight all round once Tyler Heard’s 5lb claim is factored in.