July 11 / 16.55 Ascot

16.55

Good

Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Handicap

  • Prize money: £10800
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 3
  • 13 runners
SKY
View Course
Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Handicap

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly sunny

Form: 20-655 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 10st 0lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 93

Form & Verdict
Stays further than this but fully effective at 6f; didn't get home having helped force the pace in the Buckingham Palace Stakes here (7f, good to firm) three weeks ago but it was still a solid effort; drops back into a Class 3 and he's an intriguing contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(5)

19th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 7f 1y

Class 4

16:52 Chester

Divine Libra

9st 13lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Charles Hills

It's 18 runs since she scored over C&D and she comes here on the back of a below-par ninth in 7f Southwell handicap last month; not easy to make a case for.

6/1

9th

13

(11)

16th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 3

15:40 Southwell (AW)

Divine Libra

9st 4lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Charles Hills

Three-time winner but now on a lengthy losing run and connections reverted to blinkers last time at Goodwood; needs to turn a corner.

20/1

11th

16

(4)

29th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

17:40 Goodwood

Divine Libra

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Charles Hills

Beaten on his last 16 starts going back to May 2024 and he didn't deliver on a hint he was on the way back at Chester in May when beaten 7l at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 25 days ago; just 1lb above his last winning mark, however, and first-time blinkers might help him put his best foot forward.

18/1

Form: 0-8211 CD

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 12lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced 4yo who has won four of his nine starts (all wins over 6f, on a variety of ground); overcame some adversity when winning at Epsom on Derby day and a 6lb rise was justified; 2-2 since a visor went on, including C&D, and he's a leading contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(1)

3rd Oct 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

15:55 Redcar

Sondad

9st 2lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Third good handicap win of an excellent summer when shading a tight finish in 20-runner event at the York Ebor meeting (6f, good to soft; acts on good to firm); creditable fourth of 24 at the Curragh (6f, yielding) since; below par in two previous attempts over 7f but the way he saw it out when successful over an extended 6f at the Curragh earlier in the year provides hope that this flat 7f should be within range; his form is more than good enough to be highly competitive at Listed level.

7/2

4th

1

(7)

13th Sep 2026

Yielding

0m 6f 0y

13:45 Curragh

Sondad

10st 4lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Scurry win (beating Dark Thirty) in July came over slightly further off 98, and most recently recorded seventh career win when landing a big pot at York last month (Coul Angel third) on good-to-soft; still improving 5yo up 16lb this season but has to be respected.

7/1

1st

2

(7)

22nd Aug 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:10 York

Sondad

9st 12lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

His career has been one of steady but consistent progress; won at Epsom (6f, soft) and the Currragh (6.2f, good to firm) this season and ran a sound race in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood, perhaps finding that sharp test on fast ground inadequate; can't call upon course form but the weather has turned in his favour and he has another major handicap in him.

12/1

OUR TIP

Form: 002-80 D

Last run: 69 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Smart 2yo; more miss than hit since then but his Yarmouth second last September was a good run and he's 2lb lower today; not at his best in two starts this year but blinkers are now tried and a promising 7lb claimer takes over in the saddle.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(6)

7th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

17:05 Gowran Park

Inishfallen

9st 12lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Form of penultimate neck second in a rated race at Limerick was franked by the winner (to whom he was conceding 6lb) who bolted up off 80 in a handicap at Galway last week; yielding ground not ideal on latest; could bounce back.

100/30

7th

7

(2)

28th Jul 2026

Good To Yielding

0m 7f 0y

19:15 Galway

Inishfallen

9st 10lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Only one win from 27 starts and that was on AW for Brian Meehan in 2023; fair AW form early this year and showed that a turf win could be within his range when second to Dancing Saxon at Limerick last time; form given a big boost by the winner in a Listed race; handicap mark reduced by a stone over the past 12 months; may come good now from low draw..

7/1

2nd

2

(2)

11th Jul 2026

Firm

0m 6f 150y

17:25 Limerick

Inishfallen

9st 11lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Only one win from 26 starts and that was on AW for Brian Meehan in 2023; fair AW form early this year; hard to fancy on recent form

14/1

Form: 15-12 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 9st 10lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Unexposed 3yo; ready winner at Doncaster on his reappearance and he confirmed himself a promising sprinter when second of 18 in a hot York event on last month's handicap debut (6f, good to firm); hit with a 5lb rise but he's got more to offer; tongue-tie now added.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(1)

14th Oct 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Fast Track Harry

9st 12lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Clive Cox

Inconsistent since returned to turf; came up short over C&D in March when bidding to take AW record to 3-3 but he's now 7lb lower and may still have more to offer in this sphere; one to consider.

4/1

5th

5

(8)

5th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:35 Ascot

Fast Track Harry

9st 9lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Clive Cox

Has come up short in major handicaps this summer but he ran a fine race when second over C&D (good to firm; cheekpieces first time) in July; Ripon may not have suited last time and he's not discounted.

6/1

Form: 89-157 CD

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Not far off his very best when landing a 6f handicap at Windsor in May; not so good twice since but this could set up more favourably than last time; not handicapped out of things.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(3)

5th Oct 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:45 Kempton (AW)

Buccabay

9st 7lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Goes well here and is 2lb lower than when winning over C&D late last year; well drawn for one happiest on the sharp end and a case could be made for him.

4/1

7th

6

(2)

19th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:00 Newmarket

Buccabay

9st 5lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Just two starts since March but they came last month at Windsor (6f, good to firm) and he ran with credit on both occasions; back on his last winning mark and he can go well again.

10/1

Form: 589317 CD BF

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 7lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
He had dropped a long way in the weights prior to his fine third at York's Dante meeting and he confirmed his wellbeing when seeing off 20 rivals back at York two weeks later (7f, good); ran poorly when an odds-on favourite at Chepstow one week later; fully effective over C&D; can't be dismissed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(12)

11th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:55 Ascot

Mums Tipple

9st 7lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Richard Hannon

He had dropped a long way in the weights prior to his fine third at York's Dante meeting and he confirmed his wellbeing when seeing off 20 rivals back at York two weeks later (7f, good); ran poorly when an odds-on favourite at Chepstow one week later; fully effective over C&D; can't be dismissed.

7/1

7th

1

(3)

7th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 4

19:00 Chepstow

Mums Tipple

10st 3lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

Useful in his younger days and, having regressed last year, has found his level again of late; easily beat a big field from the front at York last weekend and a 6lb rise may well be within range now he's back in the groove.

Evs

1st

1

(14)

31st May 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Mums Tipple

9st 9lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Richard Hannon

Last turf win came off an 11lb higher mark at Newmarket in August 2022 (6f, good to firm) but has won twice on AW since (6f/7f); sound run when close third to Delicacy over C&D last time last time (good to firm) and although 2lb higher is one with a chance.

13/2

Form: 21-17 D

Last run: 58 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Won 6f novice at Goodwood last May in good style; 11 months off before hard-fought win at Wolverhampton in April; only seventh on his handicap debut at York Dante meeting (7f, good to firm) but he travelled well before meeting trouble at a crucial stage; returning to 6f could spark further progress.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(13)

11th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:55 Ascot

Red Sand

9st 5lb

J: George Downing

T: Ed Walker

Won 6f novice at Goodwood last May in good style; 11 months off before hard-fought win at Wolverhampton in April; only seventh on his handicap debut at York Dante meeting (7f, good to firm) but he travelled well before meeting trouble at a crucial stage; returning to 6f could spark further progress.

6/1

7th

3

(3)

14th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

16:18 York

Red Sand

9st 5lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Ed Walker

Truncated 2yo campaign featured a Goodwood win (6f, good); narrowly defied a penalty in Wolverhampton novice event (7f, AW) on reappearance, taking form figures to 211; ties in with Jolly Roger on that running; still open to further progress and is one for the shortlist.

7/1

Form: 3-0051 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 5lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
The type that needs things to fall right for him but talented when they do, as evidenced by his emphatic success at Doncaster 13 days ago (6f, good to firm); hit with a 10lb rise but he still has handicapping scope; ran creditably in one previous visit to Ascot.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(9)

17th Oct 2026

Good

0m 5f 212y

Class 4

14:45 Catterick

Another Investment

8st 11lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Involved in two tight finishes over 6f on turf in midsummer but he hasn't been doing as well in the meantime and others look more likely.

20/1

9th

11

(8)

3rd Oct 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Another Investment

9st 5lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Hold-up sprinter who boasts a poor strike-rate; often run well on Tapeta, is back down to a career-low mark and should get this run to suit in a big field, so no surprise were he to pop up switched from turf.

14/1

12th

16

(14)

13th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 2y

Class 4

17:20 Doncaster

Another Investment

9st 1lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

7yo who has a poor strike-rate and was underwhelming at Carlisle and Ripon on last two outings; a return to form is needed but he was runner-up three times in a row earlier in the summer, with two of those over C&D, and his last win came over C&D; might not be far away back here.

16/1

Form: 31204

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
Not matched his maiden/novice form in two handicaps but it was a creditable effort at Newmarket three weeks ago (6f, good to firm); unexposed at 6f and could yet rate higher.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

(3)

19th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 5f 15y

Class 4

16:17 Chester

Sudden Flight

9st 13lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Richard Hughes

Dual winner on the AW last season (5f/6f); not scored so far this term, but was runner-up at Salisbury in June (6f, good to firm) and Windsor in July (6f, good to firm); handles soft ground and well drawn but drop in trip may not be ideal on this sharp track.

9/1

5th

13

(4)

30th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

14:35 Goodwood

Sudden Flight

9st 0lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Came up well short in series final (Class 2) at Windsor last time; knocking at the door otherwise this season but may ideally need a drop back in grade.

14/1

12th

7

(15)

10th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 2

19:15 Windsor

Sudden Flight

9st 1lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Both wins on AW; 0-9 on grass but cheekpieces seem to have bucked him up of late and he was very close to breaking his turf duck at Salisbury before making late inroads into Another Abbot's lead over this C&D last time; weighted to be thereabouts with that one and can't be ruled out.

11/2

Form: 511164 CD

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
2-2 at Ascot, winning the same Class 4 event in May in 2024 and 2025 (stable debut); handicapper may now have caught up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

13

(14)

2nd Oct 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:10 Ascot

Northcliff

8st 12lb

J: Toby Moore

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Dual C&D winner (also third last month) who made a successful start for the Jane Chapple-Hyam stable over 6f at Newmarket (good) 13 days ago, well on top at the finish and recording a career-best RPR; had the advantage of the rail but his 7lb rise is offset by Toby Moore's claim and his record here affords him respect.

10/1

1st

5

(9)

19th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:00 Newmarket

Northcliff

9st 7lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Five-time turf winner who was in good form when placed on his last four starts for Ross Burdon, notably when 9lb out of the handicap but third at Ascot (6f, good to firm; Fifty Nifty a head in front) a fortnight ago; bought for 11,000gns on Wednesday and he's effectively off the same mark with Billy Loughnane taking over; two runs in blinkers (2023) were not his best but still looks a player on stable debut.

7/2

3rd

15

(7)

5th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:35 Ascot

Northcliff

8st 9lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: Ross Burdon

Two C&D wins to his name; back to form for Ross Burdon, runner-up in his last three starts, but he's upped in class today and has it to do from 9lb out of the weights.

33/1

Form: 7-1430 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
Made all to win a 6f handicap at Pontefract in April; respectable efforts in defeat since without suggesting there was much wiggle-room off this mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(8)

19th Oct 2026

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 3

18:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Dark Cloud Rising

9st 12lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

In-and-out performer but has bagged four wins on turf and scored on AW at Newcastle (5f) last November; doesn't look one to rely on.

8/1

5th

3

(8)

26th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:28 Ripon

Dark Cloud Rising

9st 7lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

Scored over C&D in June and in good form subsequently until finishing only sixth of nine in 6f handicap at Thirsk three weeks ago; the sort to bounce back though.

8/1

6th

2

(10)

5th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:50 Thirsk

Dark Cloud Rising

9st 13lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: David O’Meara

C&D winner who made all at Ripon (6f, good) in June and he had an excuse after missing the break in the Great St Wilfrid there last time; now drops back in grade and he's a big player if he can get back near best.

3/1

Form: 103573 D

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 0lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Won three times on AW over the winter and now back to the last winning mark; more to prove on turf though and others have greater potential.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(10)

27th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Rebel Empire

9st 12lb

J: John Fahy

T: Richard Hannon

All three wins have been on AW and latest was at Chelmsford (6f) in January; now 4lb lower than for that success but he's been tailed off in last two runs (turf/Tapeta) and needs a major revival.

10/1

13th

7

(8)

31st Jul 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 4

17:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Rebel Empire

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Richard Hannon

Better on AW than turf and wouldn't judge him too harshly on latest Ascot run (reportedly unsuited by the fast ground); 2lb lower than for his Chelmsford win in January (6f); not discounted.

16/1

12

(5)

11th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:55 Ascot

Rebel Empire

9st 0lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Richard Hannon

Won three times on AW over the winter and now back to the last winning mark; more to prove on turf though and others have greater potential.

25/1

Form: 304242 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Yet to win a handicap but he has some solid form to his name, notably seconds at Haydock and Wolverhampton; 2lb well in but there are other improving sorts on show.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(1)

16th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Don Pacifico

9st 11lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Yet to win a handicap but there have been some near misses this summer, including when half a length behind Abbey Heights at Wolverhampton in June; gelded since last in action and he returns with his stable going well; good draw and he's high on the list.

4/1

13

(8)

11th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:55 Ascot

Don Pacifico

8st 13lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Yet to win a handicap but he has some solid form to his name, notably seconds at Haydock and Wolverhampton; 2lb well in but there are other improving sorts on show.

12/1

4

(5)

30th Jun 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 4

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Don Pacifico

9st 8lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Won over 6f on Southwell Tapeta on second start; can probably still raise his game in 6f handicaps, having had a poor run at Newcastle on first attempt and running to a useful level at Haydock in May before a shade onepaced in fourth at Windsor since; the likely good pace here will suit.

4/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £72.40
Straight Forecast £91.49
Tricast £1265.84
Trifecta £1448.20

Selections

LAMBOURN:

Fast Track Harry

TOPSPEED:

Dark Cloud Rising

RP RATINGS:

Another Investment

NEWMARKET:

Don Pacifico

THE NORTH:

Sondad

SPOTLIGHT:

Divine Libra

Daily Mail:

Northcliff

POSTDATA:

Mums Tipple

The Times:

Fast Track Harry

The Guardian:

Fast Track Harry

Daily Mirror:

Fast Track Harry

The Sun:

Fast Track Harry

The Star:

Fast Track Harry

Daily Record:

Fast Track Harry

Telegraph:

Dark Cloud Rising

D Express:

Another Investment