July 17 / 15.45 Chepstow

15.45

Good To Firm

Bailey Family Handicap

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 6f 16y
  • Class 5
  • 6 runners
SKY
View Course
Bailey Family Handicap

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £5.00
  • Place: £2.30

Form: 160444 D BF

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
AW maiden winner in January; yet to win a handicap but clear signs this summer that his mark is in range; should make another bold bid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

(5)

31st Aug 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 3y

Class 5

13:50 Epsom

Em Four

10st 0lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Prominent racer; arrives on the back of a Brighton win (5.3f, good to firm) last week, form boosted by the runner-up's win on Friday; took this race 12 months ago off a 7lb lower mark; lots to like but the suitability of ground slower than good is still to be proven.

7/2

1st

1

(5)

24th Aug 2026

Good

0m 5f 60y

Class 5

14:30 Brighton

Em Four

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Back on his last successful mark (AW) and wins at Epsom and Chepstow (both on good ground) last summer suggest today's course should be fine; won't mind the return to 5f, either, having been pestered in front last time, and is one to consider.

7/1

5th

5

(3)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 4

19:20 Windsor

Em Four

9st 10lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Two turf wins last summer and three AW wins this year, the latest at Wolverhampton in April; ran well when third of five at Salisbury next time but three lesser runs have followed and he needs to raise his game.

12/1

100/30

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 3-2419 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Ran on well to collar Connie's Rose over C&D last month; pulled hard when disappointing at Kempton a fortnight ago but she's still a leading contender back on turf with Oisin Murphy booked to ride.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(1)

9th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 160y

Class 5

16:47 Bath

Papabella

8st 13lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Stuart Kittow

Denied Connie's Rose close home off 2lb higher at Chepstow in June (6f, good to firm), but behind that rival the last twice (softer ground not to blame) and her season is starting to trail off; others persuade more.

20/1

11

(12)

22nd Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:38 Leicester

Papabella

9st 6lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Stuart Kittow

Again inclined to hang left behind Connie's Rose last time, when well below market expectations; won over C&D this time last year but that was off a 7lb lower mark and she's weighted to her best.

10/1

2

(8)

2nd Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

16:20 Chepstow

Papabella

9st 7lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Stuart Kittow

Added a C&D win (a little to find with the runner-up Connie's Rose) in June to two over 6f (good to firm and soft) in 2024; shade below best at Ffos Las four weeks ago but can't rule out back on this course.

8/1

Form: 327723 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 10lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Six of her nine wins have come here and she has had a couple of near misses this time around, including when second to Papabella over C&D 31 days ago; 3lb better off with that rival today and possible a change of headgear will help (won when tried in cheekpieces for the first time and also when wearing a tongue-tie for the first time); contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(7)

31st Aug 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 16y

Class 5

17:10 Chepstow

Connies Rose

9st 8lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Grace Harris

Acts on any ground and mainly consistent, again running with credit when third of eight here (7f, good to soft) on Saturday; has only managed to win one of her last 32 starts, though, and may prefer further than this now.

4/1

3rd

4

(3)

29th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 16y

Class 6

18:45 Chepstow

Connies Rose

9st 6lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: Grace Harris

Acts on any ground, but the last nine of her ten wins have been over sprint trips; has had some close calls over C&D this summer but she's not easy to predict and has been well held in her last two runs; risks attached.

8/1

3rd

3

(7)

18th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

17:00 Chepstow

Connies Rose

9st 8lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Grace Harris

Seven-time course winner who's become hard to win with, landing just one of her last 30 starts; she's not been this low in the weights for years but isn't as good now; yard also responsible for Savannah Smiles.

8/1

11/4

Form: 375533 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
Both wins on AW but he has run two fine races on turf since cheekpieces were fitted, third over C&D before a career best at Newbury last week (6f, good to firm), keeping on well once headed; 2lb well in and should give it another good go.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(4)

18th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)

Saffredi

9st 8lb

J: William Carson

T: Grace Harris

Ended 2024 by winning the corresponding race off 5lb lower; returned from 170 days off to win another C&D handicap in April (off this mark); not at his best in a Class 5 here two weeks ago but he was caught wide and shouldn't have that issue from stall 4; one to consider.

9/2

10

(9)

4th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Saffredi

9st 4lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Grace Harris

Handy sort who has been running well on turf lately including when second of five at Chepstow (6f, good) last time; looks interesting now returned here with his record over C&D reading 113; high on list.

6/1

2nd

3

(7)

19th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

19:00 Chepstow

Saffredi

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Grace Harris

Largely consistent since returning from break with 6f AW win in April, and lost out only by two necks when third in slightly better race than this at Newbury (6f, good to firm) last month; below that form when favourite over C&D soon afterwards but still features prominently in calculations.

4/1

OUR TIP

Form: 22-2 BF

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
He has finished second in all three starts in maiden/novice company (up to 6f on a variety of ground); could be sharper with last month's reappearance behind him and he moves into handicaps with the potential for more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

(8)

28th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:55 Goodwood

Rory Rocket

9st 12lb

J: Toby Moore

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Second in the corresponding race 12 months ago when rated 4lb lower; three wins this year, the latest a runaway success at Brighton last month, but his progress has stalled on his last two starts; needs to raise his game again.

10/1

19th

16

(7)

29th Jul 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:00 Goodwood

Rory Rocket

9st 6lb

J: Jude Fernandes

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Can miss the break and is usually ridden from off the pace; back-to-back wins over the extended 5f at Brighton this summer, the latter by a wide margin under Jude Fernandes this month; below-form third turned out under a penalty at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) four days later and another 4lb higher now.

20/1

3rd

1

(5)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:05 Salisbury

Rory Rocket

10st 5lb

J: Jude Fernandes

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Can miss the break and is usually ridden from off the pace; won a Brighton handicap (5.3f) by a wide margin on Tuesday for Jude Fernandes; that made it three wins from his last four starts and he is a leading player under his penalty.

4/6

Form: 16456- D

Last run: 259 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Won three of his first four starts for Tony Carroll last season; the handicapper seemed to have his measure in the autumn but he returns from his 259-day break on a winning mark; betting to guide.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(4)

26th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

14:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Sub Thirteen

9st 9lb

J: Olivia Tubb

T: Jeremy Scott

All four wins have come on turf (5f-6f) but he has run well on AW on his last two starts (1m/7f); drop back in trip demands he's sharper at the stalls but he is a major player all the same.

3/1

4th

10

(6)

4th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

17:18 Lingfield (AW)

Sub Thirteen

8st 11lb

J: Olivia Tubb

T: Jeremy Scott

Spent most of his career running in sprints but has been fine with 1m lately, latterly when chasing home a subsequent winner at Kempton; fairly treated now back in form and is one to consider.

6/1

2nd

8

(11)

8th Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

20:55 Kempton (AW)

Sub Thirteen

8st 12lb

J: Georgia Dobie

T: Jeremy Scott

Got back on song for his new yard with third of ten in 1m Chepstow handicap 23 days ago; no forlorn hope off an easing mark.

11/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £14.20
Straight Forecast £13.65
Trifecta £37.70

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Saffredi

The Star:

Rory Rocket

SPOTLIGHT:

Papabella

LAMBOURN:

Em Four

Daily Record:

Rory Rocket

TOPSPEED:

Saffredi

POSTDATA:

Saffredi

The Times:

Saffredi

Telegraph:

Saffredi

The Guardian:

Saffredi

Daily Mail:

Saffredi

Daily Mirror:

Saffredi

The Sun:

Saffredi

D Express:

Papabella